Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 14

Bryce Elder takes the mound for the Atlanta Braves on Thursday at Citi Field against Juan Soto and the New York Mets. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. The favored Mets have -188 moneyline odds against the underdog Braves, who are listed at +156. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for this contest (with -122 odds on the over and +102 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Juan Soto goes DEEP to extend Mets lead over Braves

Juan Soto went DEEP against the Atlanta Braves for his 29th HR of the year, extending the New York Mets lead 5-0.

Mets vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, August 14, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to watch on TV: SNY and FDSSO

Mets vs. Braves Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 4, Braves 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 55%, Braves 45%

Mets vs. Braves Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 84 times and won 51, or 60.7%, of those games.
• New York is 19-5 this season when entering a game favored by -188 or more on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 65.3% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Braves have been chosen as underdogs in 35 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (25.7%) in those games.
• This season, Atlanta has been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +156 or longer on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 39.1% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 2-5 across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
• The Mets have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Soto has left the yard 29 times this season, the highest mark on the Mets, while hitting .251 with 69 RBI.
• Soto ranks seventh in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Soto carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .282 with four home runs, seven walks and six RBIs.
• Pete Alonso's 98 RBI and .272 batting average both pace his team.
• Alonso ranks ninth in home runs and first in RBI on the season.
• Alonso enters this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .429 with three doubles, three home runs and seven RBIs.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .245 with 23 doubles, 21 home runs and 41 walks.
• Lindor has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .158 with a double and four walks.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .251 with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 41 walks.
• Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .167 with a double, a home run, four walks and three RBIs.

Mets Team Props

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Braves had a record of 3-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Braves have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Matt Olson has recorded a team-high batting average of .262 and paces the Braves in runs batted in with a mark of 71.
• In all of the big leagues, Olson is 48th in homers and 23rd in RBI.
• Marcell Ozuna's 20 home runs pace his team.
• Ozuna ranks 41st in home runs and 61st in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Ozzie Albies is hitting .222 with 15 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 46 walks.
• Michael Harris II is batting .246 with 19 doubles, six triples, 13 home runs and 13 walks.

Braves Team Props

Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

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