
Mariners vs. Tigers ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 7
Game 3 of the ALDS on Tuesday will feature the Seattle Mariners traveling to take on the Detroit Tigers. The teams will look to break the 1-1 series deadlock when action begins at 4:08 p.m. ET on FS1, live from Comerica Park. Bookmakers list the Mariners as -136 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Tigers +115 moneyline odds to win. Seattle is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The game's over/under is listed at 8 runs.
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Jorge Polanco smashes solo home run to give Mariners the lead over Tigers
Mariners vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds
- When: Tuesday, October 7, 2025 at 4:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
- How to watch on TV: FS1
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -136 | +115 | 8 | -107 | -114 | -1.5 | +128 | -154 |
Mariners vs. Tigers Prediction
- Score Prediction: Tigers 6, Mariners 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Tigers 48%
Mariners vs. Tigers Betting Insights
- The Mariners have been favorites in 114 games this season and won 66 (57.9%) of those contests.
- Seattle has entered 68 games this season favored by -136 or more and is 43-25 in those contests.
- The Mariners have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Tigers have come away with 26 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Detroit has won nine of 20 games when listed as at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.
Mariners Recent Betting Performance
- The Mariners went 4-3 across the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
- The Mariners have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Mariners Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.13 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Mariners Player Insights
- Cal Raleigh has gone yard 60 times in the 2025 campaign while driving in 125 runs, both totals that lead the Mariners.
- Among all MLB hitters, Raleigh ranks 98th in batting average, 20th in on-base percentage, and third in slugging.
- Raleigh takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles and a walk.
- Julio Rodriguez is hitting .267 with 31 doubles, four triples, 32 home runs and 44 walks.
- Rodriguez ranks 17th in home runs and 20th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
- Rodriguez enters this matchup looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
- Josh Naylor paces the Mariners with a team-high batting average of .295.
- Eugenio Suarez is batting .228 with 28 doubles, 49 home runs and 46 walks.
Mariners Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Arozarena | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+131) | - | 0.5 (+212) |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 (-196) | 1.5 (+128) | - | 0.5 (+161) |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+121) |
| Julio Rodríguez | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+107) | - | 0.5 (+161) |
| Victor Robles | 0.5 (-135) | - | - | 0.5 (+302) |
Tigers Recent Betting Performance
- The Tigers have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 1-8-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Tigers have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Tigers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 2.79 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
Tigers Player Insights
- Gleyber Torres is hitting .256 with 22 doubles, 16 home runs and 85 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .358.
- Torres' home run total puts him 127th in the big leagues, and he ranks 73rd in RBI.
- Torres has collected a hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with a double and a walk.
- Riley Greene has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 36 home runs and 111 runs batted in.
- Greene ranks 10th in home runs and seventh in RBI among all major league batters this season.
- Spencer Torkelson is hitting .240 with 27 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 72 walks.
- Zach McKinstry paces the Tigers with a .259 batting average.
Tigers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene | 0.5 (-226) | 1.5 (+117) | - | 0.5 (+159) |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 (-185) | 1.5 (+128) | - | 0.5 (+192) |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+150) | - | 0.5 (+260) |
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 (-167) | - | - | 0.5 (+239) |
| Spencer Torkelson | 0.5 (-136) | - | - | 0.5 (+219) |
Jorge Polanco smashes solo home run to give Mariners the lead over Tigers
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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