Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 28

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 28

Updated Jun. 28, 2025 7:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to Trea Turner for continued offensive production when they square off against Marcell Ozuna and the Atlanta Braves on Saturday, in the second game of a three-game series at Truist Park. The Braves are -170 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Phillies (+142). Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under for the contest has been set at 7.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, June 28, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to watch on TV: FOX
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -170 +142 7.5 -116 -104 -1.5 +125 -150

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Phillies 49%

Braves vs. Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Braves have entered the game as favorites 63 times this season and won 33, or 52.4%, of those games.
  • This season Atlanta has won 16 of its 25 games, or 64%, when favored by at least -170 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 63% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Phillies have won in six, or 35.3%, of the 17 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Philadelphia has played as an underdog of +142 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 41.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and finished 5-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Braves are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 6
ERA 4.29
K/9 8.8

Braves Player Insights

  • Matt Olson has gone yard 15 times in the 2025 campaign while knocking in 52 runs, both totals that lead the Braves.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Olson's home run total ranks him 27th, and his RBI tally ranks him 22nd.
  • Olson has collected a hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, three walks and three RBIs.
  • Ozuna has 10 doubles, 11 home runs and 58 walks while batting .247.
  • Ozuna ranks 66th in homers and 66th in RBI on the year.
  • Ozuna carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .167 with five walks.
  • Austin Riley leads the Braves with a team-best batting average of .267.
  • Ozzie Albies has 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 31 walks while batting .223.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ozzie Albies 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+185)
Matt Olson 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+175)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+175)
Austin Riley 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+140)
Ronald Acuna 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+150)

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Phillies have a record of 1-3.
  • The Phillies and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Phillies have won six of their last 10 games against the spread.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 11
ERA 2.93
K/9 8.8

Phillies Player Insights

  • Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies in home runs (25) and runs batted in (57).
  • Schwarber ranks fourth in homers and 11th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Turner's .302 batting average is a team-high mark.
  • Turner is 66th in homers and 83rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Nick Castellanos is batting .282 with 21 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 18 walks.
  • Alec Bohm is hitting .280 with 11 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 17 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Nick Castellanos 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+185)
Alec Bohm 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+235)
Trea Turner 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+245)
Jesus Luzardo - - - -
Otto Kemp 0.5 (-150) - - 0.5 (+275)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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