
Braves vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 23
The Atlanta Braves and Matt Olson will hit the field against the New York Mets and Brandon Nimmo on Monday at 7:10 p.m. ET, in the first game of a four-game series at Citi Field. Oddsmakers list the Braves as -155 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Mets +130 moneyline odds to win. Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at +108 odds). The over/under for the matchup is set at 8.5 runs.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Braves vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX
Braves vs. Mets Game Information & Odds
- When: Monday, June 23, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to watch on TV: WPIX and FDSSO
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -155 | +130 | 8.5 | -119 | -101 | -1.5 | +108 | -130 |
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Braves 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Braves 54%, Mets 46%
Braves vs. Mets Betting Insights
- The Braves have entered the game as favorites 60 times this season and won 31, or 51.7%, of those games.
- Atlanta has a record of 19-15, a 55.9% win rate, when favored by -155 or more by bookmakers this season.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 60.8% chance to win.
- The Mets have won in nine, or 39.1%, of the 23 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, New York has been victorious one time in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Braves Recent Betting Performance
- The Braves have a 7-3 record across the 10 games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Braves are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Braves Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.13 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Braves Player Insights
- Olson paces the Braves with 15 home runs and 49 runs batted in.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Olson ranks 24th in home runs and 21st in RBI.
- Marcell Ozuna has 10 doubles, 11 home runs and 53 walks while batting .253.
- Including all major league batters, Ozuna is 57th in homers and 54th in RBI.
- Austin Riley leads the Braves with a team-best batting average of .272.
- Riley will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a home run, two walks and three RBIs.
- Ozzie Albies is batting .224 with 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 28 walks.
Braves Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+140) |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+135) |
| Austin Riley | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (+100) | - | 0.5 (+130) |
| Ronald Acuna | 1.5 (+145) | 1.5 (-125) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- The Mets have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Mets have two wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Mets Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 5.95 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
Mets Player Insights
- Juan Soto is hitting .255 with 14 doubles, 16 home runs and 64 walks.
- Soto is 17th in homers and 45th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
- Pete Alonso has hit 18 home runs with 64 RBI while batting .290. Those numbers are pace the clubhouse.
- Alonso is 12th in homers and third in RBI among all major league batters this season.
- Francisco Lindor has 14 doubles, 16 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .270.
- Nimmo has 14 doubles, 15 home runs and 24 walks while batting .254.
Mets Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Juan Soto | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+140) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
Braves vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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