Fresno State vs. Miami (OH) Prediction, Odds, Picks - December 27, 2025

Updated Dec. 27, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

The Miami (OH) RedHawks take the field against the Fresno State Bulldogs in the Arizona Bowl as 4.5-point underdogs on December 27, 2025 at 4:30 p.m. ET on The CW. The over/under is set at 40.5.

Last time around, the Bulldogs defeated the San Jose State Spartans, with 41-14 being the final score. The RedHawks lost against the Western Michigan Broncos in their most recent game, 23-13.

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Fresno State vs. Miami (OH) Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 4:30 p.m. ET
Location: Arizona Stadium in Tucson, Arizona
TV: The CW
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Fresno State vs Miami (OH) Betting Information updated as of December 27, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Fresno State	-4.5 (-114)	-203	+168	40.5	-115	-105

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Fresno State vs. Miami (OH) Prediction

Pick ATS: Miami (OH) (+4.5)
Pick OU: Over (40.5)
Prediction: Fresno State 24, Miami (OH) 22

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Fresno State Bulldogs vs. the Miami (OH) RedHawks game on FOX Sports!

Fresno State vs. Miami (OH) Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Bulldogs 22, RedHawks 18.
The Bulldogs have a 67.0% chance to collect the win in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The RedHawks have a 37.3% implied probability.
Fresno State has put together a 6-6-0 ATS record so far this year.
Miami (OH) has won eight games against the spread this year, failing to cover five times.

Fresno State vs. Miami (OH): 2025 Stats Comparison

	Fresno State	Miami (OH)
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	26.4 (85)	25.1 (81)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	20.1 (18)	22 (53)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	20 (110)	13 (35)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	24 (11)	20 (30)

Fresno State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Rayshon Luke	RB	685 YDS / 6 TD / 57.1 YPG / 6.5 YPC 36 REC / 228 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 19 REC YPG
E.J. Warner	QB	1,811 YDS (69.4%) / 12 TD / 11 INT 125 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 13.9 RUSH YPG
Bryson Donelson	RB	563 YDS / 5 TD / 46.9 YPG / 4.1 YPC 17 REC / 107 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11.9 REC YPG
Josiah Freeman	WR	45 REC / 499 YDS / 6 TD / 45.4 YPG
Jadon Pearson	LB	81 TKL / 4 TFL
Simeon Harris	DB	38 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 5 INT
Finn Claypool	DL	34 TKL / 6 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Jahzon Jacks	DL	24 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK

Miami (OH) 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
DeQuan Finn	QB	1,451 YDS (58.9%) / 9 TD / 6 INT 395 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 49.4 RUSH YPG
Kamryn Perry	WR	42 REC / 966 YDS / 6 TD / 74.3 YPG
Jordan Brunson	RB	724 YDS / 4 TD / 65.8 YPG / 4.7 YPC
D'Shawntae Jones	RB	262 YDS / 7 TD / 23.8 YPG / 4.5 YPC
Adam Trick	LB	50 TKL / 8 TFL / 8 SACK / 1 INT
Eli Blakey	DB	76 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT
Corban Hondru	LB	61 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 SACK / 3 INT
Jackson Kuwatch	LB	71 TKL / 8 TFL / 5 SACK