Fresno State vs. Hawaii Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21, 2025

Updated Sep. 20, 2025 9:04 p.m. ET

FOX Sports

Oddsmakers expect a close game between MWC opponents when the Fresno State Bulldogs (3-1) visit the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (3-1) on Sunday, September 21, 2025 at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Hawaii is a 2.5-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 46.5 for the game.

In their last action, the Bulldogs won versus the Southern University Jaguars, 56-7. Against the Portland State Vikings in their last game, the Rainbow Warriors won 23-3.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Fresno State vs. Hawaii Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 21, 2025 at TBA ET
Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, Hawaii
TV: Spectrum Sports
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Fresno State vs Hawaii Betting Information updated as of September 20, 2025, 8:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Fresno State	-2.5 (-114)	-141	+119	46.5	-110	-110

Fresno State vs. Hawaii Prediction

Pick ATS: Hawaii (+2.5)
Pick OU: Over (46.5)
Prediction: Hawaii 26, Fresno State 25

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Fresno State Bulldogs vs. the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors game on FOX Sports!

Fresno State vs. Hawaii Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Bulldogs 24, Rainbow Warriors 22.
The Bulldogs have a 58.5% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Rainbow Warriors have a 45.7% implied probability.
Fresno State has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover once.
Hawaii has covered twice in four chances against the spread this year.

Fresno State vs. Hawaii: Head-to-Head

In their last three head-to-head contests, Hawaii has defeated Fresno State two times.
The last three times the Rainbow Warriors have gone up against the Bulldogs, they have posted a 2-1 record against the spread. The scoring has gone over the total on one occasion.
In their last three head-to-head matchups, Fresno State has tallied 99 points against Hawaii, while surrendering only 61 points.

Fresno State vs. Hawaii: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Fresno State	Hawaii
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	35.3 (17)	22.3 (77)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	19.8 (81)	20.8 (88)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	8 (129)	8 (129)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	3 (77)	3 (77)

Fresno State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Rayshon Luke	RB	224 YDS / 5 TD / 56 YPG / 6.2 YPC 12 REC / 80 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 20 REC YPG
Bryson Donelson	RB	325 YDS / 2 TD / 81.3 YPG / 6.5 YPC 8 REC / 87 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 21.8 REC YPG
E.J. Warner	QB	716 YDS (72.4%) / 4 TD / 5 INT 52 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 13 RUSH YPG
Elijah Gilliam	RB	101 YDS / 2 TD / 25.3 YPG / 5.9 YPC
Jadon Pearson	LB	35 TKL / 1 TFL
Finn Claypool	DL	13 TKL / 1 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Simeon Harris	DB	10 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Camryn Bracha	DB	16 TKL / 1 TFL

Hawaii 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Luke Weaver	QB	600 YDS (59.8%) / 5 TD / 3 INT 73 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 24.3 RUSH YPG
Pofele Ashlock	WR	26 REC / 235 YDS / 3 TD / 58.8 YPG
Landon Sims	RB	154 YDS / 0 TD / 38.5 YPG / 3.9 YPC 18 REC / 155 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 38.8 REC YPG
Cam Barfield	RB	89 YDS / 0 TD / 22.3 YPG / 4.2 YPC 7 REC / 72 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 18 REC YPG
Peter Manuma	DB	20 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
De'jon Benton	DL	12 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK
Lesterlaisene Lagafuaina	DL	10 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Jackie Johnson III	DL	8 TKL / 2 TFL / 2.5 SACK