Boise State vs. Fresno State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 1, 2025

Updated Nov. 1, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

MWC opponents meet when the Boise State Broncos (6-2) host the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-3) on Saturday, November 1, 2025 at Albertsons Stadium. Boise State is favored by 17.5 points. The contest has a 48.5-point over/under.

The Broncos beat the Nevada Wolf Pack, 24-3, in their last game. The Bulldogs lost to the San Diego State Aztecs, 23-0, in their last contest.

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Boise State vs. Fresno State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho
TV: FS1
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Boise State vs Fresno State Betting Information updated as of November 1, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Boise State	-17.5 (-110)	-1000	+650	48.5	-109	-114

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Boise State vs. Fresno State Prediction

Pick ATS: Boise State (-17.5)
Pick OU: Over (48.5)
Prediction: Boise State 38, Fresno State 14

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Boise State Broncos vs. the Fresno State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Boise State vs. Fresno State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Broncos 33, Bulldogs 16.
The Broncos have a 90.9% chance to collect the win in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs hold a 13.3% implied probability.
Boise State is 6-1-1 ATS this season.
Fresno State is 3-5-0 ATS this year.

Boise State vs. Fresno State: Head-to-Head

Boise State and Fresno State have been evenly matched over their last four matchups, sharing the same 2-2 record.
The Broncos and the Bulldogs have matched up evenly over their last four contests, sporting a split 2-2 record against the spread. In those four games, the two squads have hit the over on the point total on two occasions.
In their last four head-to-head matchups, Boise State has scored 126 points versus Fresno State, while giving up only 99 points.

Boise State vs. Fresno State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Boise State	Fresno State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	35.3 (22)	25.6 (82)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	23.3 (60)	23.6 (63)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	11 (89)	16 (127)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	16 (7)	13 (28)

Boise State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Maddux Madsen	QB	1,998 YDS (60.4%) / 15 TD / 7 INT 76 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 9.5 RUSH YPG
Dylan Riley	RB	729 YDS / 7 TD / 91.1 YPG / 7.4 YPC 9 REC / 130 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 18.6 REC YPG
Sire Gaines	RB	434 YDS / 5 TD / 54.3 YPG / 4.7 YPC 8 REC / 57 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11.4 REC YPG
Ben Ford	WR	21 REC / 325 YDS / 5 TD / 46.4 YPG
Ty Benefield	DB	54 TKL / 6 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Marco Notarainni	LB	45 TKL / 3 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Jayden Virgin	DL	32 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Jeremiah Earby	DB	38 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 2 INT

Fresno State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Rayshon Luke	RB	402 YDS / 5 TD / 50.3 YPG / 6.4 YPC 24 REC / 163 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 20.4 REC YPG
E.J. Warner	QB	1,486 YDS (68.8%) / 10 TD / 9 INT 91 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 13 RUSH YPG
Bryson Donelson	RB	411 YDS / 3 TD / 51.4 YPG / 4.4 YPC 14 REC / 114 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 16.3 REC YPG
Josiah Freeman	WR	27 REC / 326 YDS / 4 TD / 46.6 YPG
Jadon Pearson	LB	63 TKL / 2 TFL
Finn Claypool	DL	27 TKL / 3 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Jahzon Jacks	DL	20 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK
K'Vion Thunderbird	LB	32 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD