2023 Air Force Falcons odds: Over/Under Win Total odds

Updated Sep. 1, 2023 3:41 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

With an over/under of 8.5 wins, bookmakers project the Air Force Falcons for the highest over/under in the MWC.

Air Force Win Total Odds

Over/Under	Over Payout	Under Payout
8.5	-127 (Bet $127 to win $100)	+102 (Bet $100 to win $102)

Based on the moneyline, Air Force's implied probability is 55.9% to finish above its regular season over/under of 8.5 wins.
The Falcons ranked 59th in total offense last year (397.7 yards per game), but they thrived on the defensive side of the ball, ranking best in FBS with 397.7 yards allowed per game.
The Falcons struggled in the passing game last season, ranking first-worst in FBS (70.5 passing yards per game). However, they ranked second-best on the other side of the ball, giving up only 157.5 passing yards per game.
Air Force excelled on both sides of the ball in the running game last season, ranking best in rushing offense (327.2 rushing yards per game) and sixth-best in rushing defense (95.3 rushing yards allowed per game).
On the defensive side of the ball, the Falcons were a top-25 unit in terms of third-down efficiency last season, ranking fourth-best by allowing a 27.9% third-down percentage. They ranked 30th on offense (44.9% third-down conversion rate).

Week	Opponent	Date	Favorite	Total
1	Robert Morris	September 2	-	-
2	@ Sam Houston	September 9	-	-
3	Utah State	September 15	-	-
4	@ San Jose State	September 22	-	-
5	San Diego State	September 30	-	-
7	Wyoming	October 14	-	-
8	@ Navy	October 21	-	-
9	@ Colorado State	October 28	-	-
10	Army	November 4	-	-
11	@ Hawaii	November 11	-	-
12	UNLV	November 18	-	-
13	@ Boise State	November 24	-	-

Air Force will have the good fortune of facing the 20th-easiest schedule this season (based on last season's combined win total of opponents this season.)
Using their MWC opponents' combined win total last year, the Falcons have been handed the 91st-ranked conference schedule in terms of toughness.
Air Force has seven games scheduled against teams that finished with winning records in 2022, including one team that recorded nine or more wins and two with fewer than four wins last year.

Last season Haaziq Daniels put together 836 yards (64.3 per game), a 48.2% completion percentage, seven touchdowns, and only two interceptions. He also added 695 rushing yards on 138 carries with eight rushing TDs (averaging 53.5 yards per game).
Brad Roberts churned out 1,728 rushing yards (132.9 per game) and 17 touchdowns last season.
John Lee Eldridge III collected 766 rushing yards on 99 carries and four touchdowns last season.
David Cormier amassed 15 receptions for 404 yards and four touchdowns last year. He was targeted 26 times, and averaged 31.1 yards per game.
Amari Terry also impressed receiving last season. He had seven receptions for 187 yards and one touchdown. He was targeted 10 times.
Dane Kinamon's stat line last season: 88 receiving yards, two catches, one touchdown, on three targets.
Vince Sanford's hard work last season put up a stat line of 6.5 sacks, 7.0 TFL and 38 tackles.
Trey Taylor was a wrecking ball on the field, collecting 50 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and two interceptions last year.
Camby Goff collected three interceptions while adding 34 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and five passes defended last year.