Chiefs vs. Texans 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 7

The Kansas City Chiefs (6-6) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5) over the Houston Texans (7-5), despite the Texans having won four games in a row. The matchup has an over/under of 41.5 points.

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Chiefs vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

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Chiefs vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Texans (+3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (41.5)
  
• Prediction: Texans 22 - Chiefs 19

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Houston

• Game date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• TV: NBC/Peacock
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Texans Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Kansas City has put up four wins versus Houston.
• Houston has been outscored by 36 points in its last five tilts against Kansas City.

Kansas City Betting Info

• Kansas City is 5-7-0 against the spread this season.
• The Chiefs have been favored by 3.5 points or more eight times this season, and covered the spread in three of those matchups.
• Kansas City contests this year have gone over the point total 33.3% of the time (four times in 12 games with a set point total).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Chiefs have won 50% of the time (5-5).
• Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 65.8%.

Chiefs Stats

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

• Patrick Mahomes ranks fourth in the NFL with 3,238 passing yards in 12 games this year, averaging 269.8 per game with a 64.6% completion percentage and 22 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) against seven interceptions.
• He has added 348 rushing yards (29.0 per game) and four touchdowns on the ground.
• Kareem Hunt's rushing statline this season includes 515 yards and seven TDs. He is averaging 42.9 yards per game and 4.0 per attempt (29th in the NFL).
• He has also hauled in 14 passes (on 18 targets) for 114 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 9.5 receiving yards and 1.2 catches per game.
• In the passing game, Travis Kelce, has racked up 719 receiving yards and five touchdowns after catching 59 balls on 78 targets. Per game, he's averaging 59.9 yards and 4.9 receptions over 12 games.
• Rashee Rice averages 7.0 receptions and 81.0 yards per game, and has 486 total receiving yards and 42 catches. He's gotten 59 total targets, and has caught five touchdown passes.

Defense

• Over on the defensive side, Nick Bolton has 100 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and five passes defended in 2025.
• Chamarri Conner has 80 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack this season.
• This season, George Karlaftis III has recorded 5.0 sacks (first on the Chiefs) as well as 8.0 TFL and 36 tackles.
• So far this season, Trent McDuffie has 62 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception.

Houston Betting Info

• Houston is 6-6-0 against the spread this season.
• The Texans have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread once.
• This season, three Houston games have gone over the point total.
• This season, the Texans have been the underdog six times and won three of those games.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 38.5% chance of a victory for the Texans.

Texans Stats

Houston's Key Players

Offense

• In nine games played this year, C.J. Stroud has racked up 1,978 passing yards, while throwing 11 touchdowns against six interceptions and completing 66.1% of his passes.
• He's added 189 yards on the ground (third on the Texans), while scoring zero rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 21.0 yards per game and 6.3 per attempt.
• Nico Collins has 795 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 57 receptions, while being targeted 95 times.
• Woody Marks is averaging 40.5 rushing yards per game this season (486 total yards), while scoring two rushing touchdowns.
• In addition to his ground game, Marks has hauled in 18 passes (on 27 targets) for 188 yards (seventh on the Texans), with two receiving touchdowns. He averages 15.7 yards per game.
• Nick Chubb puts up 39.1 rushing yards per game over 12 games (469 total yards), with three rushing touchdowns.

Defense

• So far in 2025, Will Anderson Jr. has 10.5 sacks to go with 15.0 TFL and 40 tackles through 12 games. He ranks sixth in the NFL in sacks.
• Danielle Hunter's stats include 38 tackles, 11.0 TFL, 11 sacks, and two passes defended.
• Kamari Lassiter has intercepted two passes on top of 66 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 10 passes defended in the 2025 campaign.
• Azeez Al-Shaair has totaled 1.0 TFL and 79 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Kansas City Chiefs

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