Chiefs vs. Texans 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 7

Having taken four straight, the Houston Texans (7-5) will play the Kansas City Chiefs (6-6). Despite that, the Chiefs are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -4.5). The game has an over/under of 41.5 points.

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Chiefs vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

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Chiefs vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Texans (+4.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (41.5)
  
• Prediction: Texans 23 - Chiefs 19

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Houston

• Game date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• TV: NBC/Peacock
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Texans Recent Matchups

• In their past five head-to-head contests, Kansas City has defeated Houston four times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Kansas City has scored 155 points versus Houston, while surrendering only 119 points.

Kansas City Betting Info

• Kansas City has played 12 games, posting five wins against the spread.
• The Chiefs have been favored by 4.5 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in three of those contests.
• Kansas City games this year have gone over the total in four out of 12 opportunities (33.3%).
• When playing as moneyline favorites, the Chiefs have won 50% of the time (5-5).
• The Chiefs have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 67.2%.

Chiefs Stats

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

• Patrick Mahomes has 3,238 passing yards (fourth in the NFL), 22 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 64.6% of his attempts, averaging 269.8 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
• He has tacked on 348 rushing yards (29.0 per game) and four touchdowns on the ground.
• Kareem Hunt has totaled 515 rushing yards with seven touchdowns (42.9 yards per game through 12 games). His 4.0 yards per attempt rank 30th in the NFL.
• Hunt's 18 targets as part of the passing attack have resulted in 14 catches (1.2 per game) for 114 yards (9.5 per game) and one touchdown.
• Travis Kelce has five touchdown catches this season, and has 59 catches for 719 yards on 78 targets, while averaging 4.9 catches and 59.9 yards per game.
• Rashee Rice has 42 receptions for 486 yards and five touchdowns. He's been targeted 59 times in the passing game, and averages 7.0 receptions and 81.0 yards through six games played.

Defense

• Over on defense, Nick Bolton has 100 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and five passes defended in 2025.
• Chamarri Conner has 80 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack this season.
• George Karlaftis III has recorded 36 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and five sacks this year.
• So far this season, Trent McDuffie has 62 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception.

Houston Betting Info

• Houston has gone 6-6-0 against the spread this season.
• This year, the Texans won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 4.5 points or more.
• This year, Houston games have hit the over three times.
• This season, the Texans have won three out of the six games in which they've been the underdog.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Texans have a 37.0% chance to win.

Texans Stats

Houston's Key Players

Offense

• C.J. Stroud is averaging 7.1 passing yards per attempt (17th in the NFL) and 219.8 yards per game this year, completing 66.1% of his passes on the way to 1,978 total yards, 11 touchdowns and six interceptions through nine games.
• He's added 189 yards on the ground (third on the Texans), with zero rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 21.0 yards per game and 6.3 per attempt.
• Nico Collins has 57 catches for 795 yards and four receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 95 times and averages 5.2 receptions per game through 11 games played.
• Woody Marks has rushed for two touchdowns this year, and has totaled 486 rushing yards (40.5 per game and 3.6 per carry).
• Marks has helped in the passing attack, putting up 188 receiving yards (15.7 per game) on 18 catches (1.5 per game), while being targeted 27 times. He has two receiving touchdowns.
• Nick Chubb has 469 rushing yards (second on the Texans) and three rushing touchdowns, while averaging 39.1 yards per game and 4.1 per carry (26th in the NFL).

Defense

• Will Anderson Jr. has recorded 10.5 sacks (second on the Texans and sixth in the NFL) to go with 15.0 TFL and 40 tackles over 12 games in 2025.
• Danielle Hunter's stat sheet includes 38 tackles, 11.0 TFL, 11 sacks, and two passes defended.
• In the 2025 campaign, Kamari Lassiter has 66 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and two interceptions in 12 games.
• Azeez Al-Shaair's stat sheet includes 79 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and seven passes defended in 12 games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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