Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 15

The Houston Rockets (23-14) will attempt to build on a seven-game home winning run when taking on the Oklahoma City Thunder (34-7) on January 15, 2026 at Toyota Center. The Thunder are currently 5-point favorites over the Rockets. The game's point total is 221.5.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Rockets game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Rockets Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, January 15, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV: Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction

ATS Pick: Rockets (+ 5)
O/U Pick: Over (221.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 115 - Rockets 114

Thunder vs. Rockets Betting Insights

• The Thunder have played 25 games with more than 221.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, this season.
• The Rockets games have gone over 221.5 total points scored in 21 of 37 total matchups this season.
• These two teams average 239.2 points per game combined, 17.7 more than the over/under of 221.5.
• The Thunder and the Rockets have seen their opponents average a combined 2.6 fewer points per game than the point total of 221.5 set for this outing.
• Oklahoma City has won 34, or 82.9%, of the 41 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Houston has split the two games it has played as underdogs this season.
• Oklahoma City has won its lone head-to-head meeting with Houston.
• The Rockets have a 1-0 record against the spread when facing the Thunder.
• The Rockets failed to beat the spread in their previous six games, and were the favorite in all of those contests.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 231.6 combined points in its last 10 games, 10.1 greater than this game's total of 221.5.
• In the Thunder's 41 games this year, they have 20 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Oklahoma City has been installed as favorites by a 5-point margin or more 40 times and are 20-20 ATS in those games.
• The Thunder have eclipsed the over/under in 56.8% of their opportunities this year (21 times in 37 games with a set point total).
• The Thunder score 121.3 points per game, 10.5 more points than the 110.8 the Rockets allow.
• When Oklahoma City scores more than 110.8 points, it is 20-12 against the spread and 31-1 overall.
• The Thunder are shooting 49.0% from the field this season, 2.8 percentage points higher than the 46.2% the Rockets allow to opponents.
• At home, the Thunder have a better record against the spread (12-11-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (8-10-0).
• In terms of point totals, Oklahoma City hits the over more often at home, as it has exceeded the total 12 times in 23 opportunities this season (52.2%). In road games, it has hit the over nine times in 18 opportunities (50%).
• The Thunder have won a higher percentage of their matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 20-3 (.870). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 14-4 (.778).

Thunder Recent Stats

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander posts 31.9 points, 6.4 assists and 4.5 rebounds per game.
• Chet Holmgren posts 17.9 points, 8.4 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 57.0% from the field and 36.7% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made treys per contest.
• Ajay Mitchell posts 14.1 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest, shooting 47.8% from the field and 33.9% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game.
• Jalen Williams puts up 17.7 points, 4.8 boards and 5.5 assists per game, shooting 47.8% from the floor.
• Cason Wallace averages 7.3 points, 2.1 assists and 3.0 boards.

Thunder Player Props

Rockets Recent Trends

• The Rockets are 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 games.
• Houston has averaged a total of 224.5 combined points over its last 10 games, 3.0 greater than this matchup's over/under of 221.5.
• The Rockets have played 37 games, with 18 wins against the spread.
• Houston covered the spread in its only game when underdogs by 5 points or more.
• Rockets games this season have hit the over on 19 of 37 set point totals (51.4%).
• The Rockets put up an average of 117.9 points per game, 9.8 more points than the 108.1 the Thunder give up.
• When it scores more than 108.1 points, Houston is 17-13 against the spread and 21-9 overall.
• The Rockets have shot at a 48.2% rate from the field this season, 4.6 percentage points higher than the 43.6% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
• Against the spread, the Rockets have had better results on the road (12-11-0) than at home (6-8-0) .
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Houston's games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, seven of 14) compared to away (52.2%, 12 of 23).
• The Rockets' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .857 (12-2), and on the road it is .476 (10-11).

Rockets Recent Stats

Rockets Leaders

• Kevin Durant puts up 26.1 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game for the Rockets.
• Amen Thompson is putting up 18.8 points, 7.6 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game. He's making 51.9% of his shots from the field.
• Alperen Sengun gets the Rockets 21.7 points, 8.9 rebounds and 6.6 assists per game while posting 1.4 steals and 1.0 block.
• The Rockets are receiving 15.1 points, 6.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Jabari Smith Jr. this year.
• Reed Sheppard gets the Rockets 12.9 points, 2.6 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game while posting 1.4 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.

Rockets Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.