
Thunder vs. Pacers Game 1 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - June 5
Updated Jun. 5, 2025 3:24 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
In Game 1 of the NBA Finals, the Oklahoma City Thunder will play the Indiana Pacers. Thursday's matchup between the Thunder and the Pacers features the Thunder as solid 10-point favorites. The over/under for the game is 230.
Here's everything you need to know to know about the Thunder-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Thunder vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Thursday, June 5, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- TV: ABC
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | -10 | -105 | -115 | 230 | -110 | -110 | -469 | +360 |
Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction
ATS Pick: Thunder (- 10)
O/U Pick: Under (230)
Score Prediction: Thunder 122 - Pacers 107
Thunder vs. Pacers Betting Insights
- This year, the Thunder games have finished over 230 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 40 (out of 82) times.
- A total of 49 Pacers games this season (out of 82) have had more than 230 total points scored.
- Between them, these two teams average 7.9 more points per game (237.9) than this matchup's total (230).
- Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 222.7 points per game, 7.3 fewer than the point total for this game.
- Oklahoma City has come away with 65 wins in the 78 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
- Indiana has been victorious in 14, or 45.2%, of the 31 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
- Oklahoma City has taken both of its last two head-to-head meetings with Indiana.
- The Thunder also hold a 2-0 edge against the spread when taking on the Pacers.
- The Pacers have covered for three straight games against the spread, and were the favorite in two of those contests.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span.
- Oklahoma City has averaged a total of 220.8 combined points in its last 10 games, 9.2 less than this game's over/under of 230.
- In the Thunder's 82 games this season, they have 53 wins against the spread.
- So far this season, Oklahoma City has been installed as favorites by a 10-point margin or more 35 times and are 22-10-3 ATS in those games.
- Thunder games this year have eclipsed the over/under 45 times in 82 opportunities (54.9%).
- The Thunder record 5.4 more points per game (120.5) than the Pacers allow (115.1).
- When Oklahoma City totals more than 115.1 points, it is 39-14-1 against the spread and 47-7 overall.
- The Thunder are shooting 48.2% from the field this season, 0.8 percentage points higher than the 47.4% the Pacers allow to opponents.
- Against the spread, the Thunder have performed better when playing at home, covering 28 times in 42 home games, and 25 times in 40 road games.
- Oklahoma City has gone over the over/under in 25 of 42 home games (59.5%), compared to 20 of 40 road games (50%).
- As a moneyline favorite, the Thunder have taken 35 of 41 games when playing at home, good for a .854 winning percentage. They have won 30 of 37 games on the road (.811) as a moneyline favorite.
Thunder Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 120.5 | 4 |
| Points Allowed | 107.6 | 3 |
| Rebounds | 44.8 | 11 |
| Assists | 26.9 | 12 |
| Steals | 10.3 | 1 |
| Blocks | 5.7 | 2 |
Thunder Leaders
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander posts 32.7 points, 5.0 boards and 6.4 assists per contest, shooting 51.9% from the field and 37.5% from downtown with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest.
- Jalen Williams posts 21.6 points, 5.1 assists and 5.3 rebounds per contest.
- Isaiah Hartenstein puts up 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists per contest, shooting 58.1% from the field.
- Aaron Wiggins averages 12.0 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocks.
- Luguentz Dort averages 10.1 points, 1.6 assists and 4.1 rebounds.
Thunder Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG (Reg. Season) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 33.5 | -110 | 32.7 |
| Jalen Williams | 22.5 | +100 | 21.6 |
| Chet Holmgren | 16.5 | -105 | 15.0 |
| Luguentz Dort | 9.5 | -105 | 10.1 |
| Alex Caruso | 8.5 | +100 | 7.1 |
Pacers Recent Trends
- The Pacers have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in their last 10 games.
- Indiana has averaged a total of 225.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.1 less than this matchup's over/under of 230.
- In the Pacers' 82 games this year, they have 38 wins against the spread.
- Indiana has been underdogs by 10 points or more three times this year and has covered the spread twice.
- Pacers games this year have eclipsed the over/under 53.7% of the time (44 out of 82 games with a set point total).
- The Pacers score 9.8 more points per game (117.4) than the Thunder allow (107.6).
- Indiana is 38-33-1 against the spread and 48-24 overall when it scores more than 107.6 points.
- The Pacers have shot at a 48.8% clip from the field this season, 5.2 percentage points higher than the 43.6% shooting opponents of the Thunder have averaged.
- The Pacers' winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .463. They are 19-21-1 ATS on their home court and 19-22-0 on the road.
- In terms of the over/under, Indiana's games have finished over 53.7% of the time this season, both at home (22 of 41) and on the road (22 of 41).
- When moneyline favorites, the Pacers have won a higher percentage of games at home (25-6) than away (10-9).
Pacers Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 117.4 | 7 |
| Points Allowed | 115.1 | 17 |
| Rebounds | 41.8 | 27 |
| Assists | 29.2 | 3 |
| Steals | 8.5 | 8 |
| Blocks | 5.5 | 4 |
Pacers Leaders
- On a per-game basis, Tyrese Haliburton gets the Pacers 18.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 9.2 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
- Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.2 points, 6.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest. He's draining 51.9% of his shots from the field and 38.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 triples per contest.
- The Pacers are getting 15.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Myles Turner this season.
- The Pacers are receiving 16.1 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Bennedict Mathurin this year.
- T.J. McConnell gets the Pacers 9.1 points, 2.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest while putting up 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
Pacers Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG (Reg. Season) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 19.5 | -105 | 20.2 |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 17.5 | -105 | 18.6 |
| Myles Turner | 13.5 | -130 | 15.6 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 12.5 | -105 | 12.0 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 11.5 | -110 | 10.0 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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