Yankees vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 23

The New York Yankees and Cody Bellinger head into the first of a three-game series against TJ Friedl and the Cincinnati Reds on Monday at Great American Ball Park. The Reds are listed as +105 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Yankees (-125). New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 10-run over/under has been set for the game.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, June 23, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to watch on TV: FDSOH and YES

Yankees vs. Reds Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Reds 4
• Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 51%, Reds 49%

Yankees vs. Reds Betting Insights

• The Yankees have won 42, or 61.8%, of the 68 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York is 39-23 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 55.6% chance to win.
• The Reds have won in 22, or 51.2%, of the 43 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Cincinnati has been victorious 10 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and went 3-6 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Yankees never combined with their opponents to go over the total.
• The Yankees' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Aaron Judge is the bat to watch in the Yankees lineup, leading the team in batting average (.367), home runs (27), and RBI (61).
• Of all hitters in baseball, Judge's home run total places him second, and his RBI tally puts him fifth.
• Cody Bellinger is batting .254 with 12 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 27 walks.
• Bellinger ranks 75th in homers and 65th in RBI on the season.
• Paul Goldschmidt is batting .298 with 15 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 24 walks.
• Trent Grisham is hitting .244 with five doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 34 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and have gone 2-3 in those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Reds and their opponents are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Reds have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Elly De La Cruz has a team-high 17 home runs and has driven in 52 runs.
• De La Cruz's home run total puts him 13th in MLB, and he ranks 13th in RBI.
• De La Cruz takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a double, a triple, a home run and two RBIs.
• TJ Friedl's .290 batting average leads his team.
• Friedl ranks 116th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 114th in RBI.
• Gavin Lux has 14 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 32 walks while batting .262.
• Matt McLain is hitting .209 with seven doubles, nine home runs and 28 walks.

Reds Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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