Tigers vs. Mariners ALDS Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 10

The Detroit Tigers will visit the Seattle Mariners in the fifth and final game of the ALDS on Friday at 8:08 p.m. ET, live on FOX from T-Mobile Park. The winner will advance to the ALCS after the teams split the first four games of the series. The Tigers have been listed as -120 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Mariners (-100). Detroit is a 1.5-run favorite (at +158 odds). The game's over/under has been listed at 6 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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'Mariners thought this series was over' 😬 Derek Jeter, Big Papi & A-Rod react to Tigers' Game 4 win

Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter and David Ortiz react to the Detroit Tigers' Game 4 comeback win and how the Seattle Mariners put themselves in a tough Game 5 situation against Tarik Skubal.

Tigers vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, October 10, 2025 at 8:08 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
• How to watch on TV: FOX

Tigers vs. Mariners Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Tigers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 6 runs
• Win Probabilities: Tigers 54%, Mariners 46%

Tigers vs. Mariners Betting Insights

• The Tigers have entered the game as favorites 114 times this season and won 64, or 56.1%, of those games.
• Detroit has entered 102 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 60-42 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 54.5% chance to win.
• The Mariners have been underdogs in 49 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (49%) in those contests.
• Seattle has a mark of 19-19 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by -100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• The Tigers went 1-2 over the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Tigers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
• The Tigers' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Gleyber Torres is batting .256 with 22 doubles, 16 home runs and 85 walks.
• Torres is 127th in home runs and 73rd in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Torres brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .238 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Riley Greene has shown his power as he paces his team with 36 home runs and 111 RBI.
• Greene is 10th in homers and seventh in RBI on the season.
• Spencer Torkelson is batting .240 with 27 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 72 walks.
• Torkelson is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with three doubles, two walks and five RBIs.
• Zach McKinstry is hitting .259 to lead his team.

Tigers Team Props

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Mariners have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
• The Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Mariners have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with 60 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 125.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Raleigh is first in homers and third in RBI.
• Raleigh takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .421 with a double, a home run, three walks and four RBIs.
• Julio Rodriguez is hitting .267 with 31 doubles, four triples, 32 home runs and 44 walks.
• Rodriguez ranks 17th overall in homers and 20th in RBI this year.
• Josh Naylor paces the Mariners' lineup with a .295 batting average.
• Eugenio Suarez has 28 doubles, 49 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .228.

Mariners Team Props

'Mariners thought this series was over' 😬 Derek Jeter, Big Papi & A-Rod react to Tigers' Game 4 win

Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter and David Ortiz react to the Detroit Tigers' Game 4 comeback win and how the Seattle Mariners put themselves in a tough Game 5 situation against Tarik Skubal.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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