Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 7

Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 7

Updated Aug. 7, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

The Boston Red Sox and Justin Turner ready for the first of a four-game series against Salvador Perez and the Kansas City Royals on Monday at Fenway Park. The Royals are +166 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Red Sox (-198). Boston is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -102 odds). The over/under is 9.5 runs for this matchup (with -111 odds to go over and -109 odds on the under).

The Boston Red Sox will give the start to Brayan Bello (8-6, 3.79 ERA), who is looking for win No. 9 on the season, and the Royals will turn to Cole Ragans (3-3, 4.33 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Red Sox vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, August 7, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
  • How to Watch on TV: NESN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox -198 +166 9.5 -111 -109 -1.5 -102 -118

Red Sox vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Royals 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Red Sox 59%, Royals 41%

Red Sox vs. Royals Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have entered the game as favorites 50 times this season and won 26, or 52%, of those games.
  • Boston has a record of 3-3 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -198 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Red Sox, based on the moneyline, is 66.4%.
  • The Royals have come away with 32 wins in the 98 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Kansas City has a win-loss record of 11-24 when favored by +166 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 37.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • The Red Sox did not win a game while favored on the moneyline over the last 10 games in four tries.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
  • The Red Sox's ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 13
ERA 5.22
K/9 8.2

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Red Sox Player Insights

  • Turner has 25 doubles, 17 home runs and 39 walks while batting .287.
  • In all of MLB, Turner ranks 56th in homers and 14th in RBI.
  • Turner carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a double, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
  • Rafael Devers' 26 home runs and 79 runs batted in are both team-highs.
  • Among all major league batters, Devers is ninth in homers and fifth in RBI.
  • Devers carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Masataka Yoshida leads the Red Sox with a .306 batting average.
  • Yoshida will look to build on his five-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with three doubles and an RBI.
  • Alex Verdugo is hitting .275 with 27 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 38 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alex Verdugo 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+185)
Rafael Devers 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+110)
Justin Turner 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+120)
Adam Duvall 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (-115) 0.5 (+275) 0.5 (+110)
Rob Refsnyder 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Red Sox vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Royals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Royals are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6
HR 14
ERA 4.96
K/9 7.4

Royals Player Insights

  • Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 20 home runs and 67 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .268.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Witt Jr.'s home run total ranks 31st and his RBI tally ranks 25th.
  • Perez is hitting .246 with 18 doubles, 17 home runs and 15 walks.
  • Perez ranks 56th in homers and 108th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
  • Maikel Garcia has 15 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 22 walks while hitting .279.
  • MJ Melendez is hitting .214 with 21 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 41 walks.

Royals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)
Maikel Garcia 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+185)
Salvador Pérez 1.5 (+205) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+130)
MJ Melendez 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+130)
Michael Massey 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+145)

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