Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 6

Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox meet James Wood and the Washington Nationals on Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET. The Nationals are +199 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Red Sox (-246). Boston (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. An 8-run total has been set in this game.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Red Sox-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Red Sox vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Washington Nationals.

Red Sox vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 1:35 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to watch on TV: MASN and NESN

Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Nationals 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Nationals 48%

Red Sox vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• The Red Sox have been favorites in 54 games this season and won 28 (51.9%) of those contests.
• This season Boston has won three of its four games when favored by at least -246 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 71.1% chance of a victory for the Red Sox.
• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 73 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (45.2%) in those games.
• Washington has a mark of 1-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +199 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 33.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have a 3-4 record over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Red Sox combined with their opponents to go over the total seven times.
• The Red Sox are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Duran is batting .255 with 22 doubles, 10 triples, six home runs and 26 walks.
• In all of MLB, Duran is 189th in home runs and 62nd in RBI.
• Duran has collected a hit in six straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .237 with three doubles, two triples, a home run, five walks and six RBIs.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .257 to pace his team.
• Among all major league hitters, Rafaela is 102nd in homers and 99th in RBI.
• Rafaela enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with five doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
• Wilyer Abreu paces the Red Sox with 17 home runs while putting up a team-high batting average of .257.
• Trevor Story has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 51 RBI.
• Story is riding a seven-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is hitting .385 with four doubles, two home runs, two walks and 12 RBIs.

Red Sox Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Nationals are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• Wood leads the Nationals in home runs (23), runs batted in (67) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .288.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Wood is seventh in homers and seventh in RBI.
• C.J. Abrams is hitting .286 with 18 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 24 walks.
• Abrams is 66th in homers and 137th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Luis Garcia is hitting .265 with 19 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks.
• Nathaniel Lowe is hitting .234 with 14 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Red Sox vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the Washington Nationals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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