Rays vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 25

Rays vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 25

Updated Jun. 25, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Yandy Diaz and Bobby Witt Jr. will be among the stars on display when the Tampa Bay Rays face the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday at 7:40 p.m. ET, at Kauffman Stadium. Bookmakers list the Rays as -132 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Royals +111 moneyline odds to win. Tampa Bay (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The matchup's over/under is set at 9.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, June 25, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
  • How to watch on TV: FDSKC and FDSSUN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Rays -132 +111 9.5 -101 -119 -1.5 +122 -146

Rays vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Rays 4, Royals 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Rays 52%, Royals 48%

Rays vs. Royals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rays have won 26 out of the 43 games, or 60.5%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Tampa Bay has won 14 of its 26 games, or 53.8%, when favored by at least -132 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 56.9%.
  • The Royals have come away with 23 wins in the 47 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Kansas City has come away with a win 11 times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

  • The Rays have a 4-1 record across the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rays and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Rays are 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.8
HR 12
ERA 4.00
K/9 8.4

Rays Player Insights

  • Junior Caminero leads the Rays in home runs (19) and runs batted in (50).
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Caminero ranks 10th in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
  • Caminero carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .400 with a double, two home runs, two walks and four RBIs.
  • Diaz is hitting .289 with 16 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 21 walks.
  • Diaz is 46th in home runs and 35th in RBI on the season.
  • Diaz heads into this matchup looking for his 15th game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .477 with three doubles, a triple, two home runs, two walks and five RBIs.
  • Brandon Lowe is batting .264 with 10 doubles, 15 home runs and 20 walks.
  • Lowe will look to build on his 11-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .375 with a double, two home runs, three walks and six RBIs.
  • Jonathan Aranda's .332 batting average leads his team.
  • Aranda is riding a nine-game hitting streak into this one. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .385 with three doubles, four walks and four RBIs.

Rays Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Josh Lowe 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+155)
Chandler Simpson 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+215)
Brandon Lowe 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+155)
Yandy Diaz 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+130)
Junior Caminero 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+120)

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Royals had a record of 3-2.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Royals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 10
ERA 3.47
K/9 8.1

Royals Player Insights

  • Witt has 26 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 26 walks while batting .282.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Witt's home run total is 81st and his RBI tally is 57th.
  • Maikel Garcia has a club-leading .311 batting average.
  • Garcia ranks 121st among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 79th in RBI.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has been solid source of run production for the Royals with 11 long balls and 42 runs batted in.
  • Jonathan India has 14 doubles, four home runs and 28 walks while batting .238.

Royals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+120)
Salvador Perez 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+150)
Maikel Garcia 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+190)
Jonathan India 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+190)
Jac Caglianone 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+170)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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