Phillies vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 14

Bryce Harper and Bobby Witt Jr. will be among the stars on display when the Philadelphia Phillies play the Kansas City Royals on Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET, at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -154, while the underdog Royals have +128 odds to play spoiler. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +136 odds). The over/under for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 1:35 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSKC

Phillies vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 56%, Royals 44%

Phillies vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 121 times and won 76, or 62.8%, of those games.
• This season Philadelphia has won 51 of its 72 games, or 70.8%, when favored by at least -154 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• The Royals have been underdogs in 85 games this season and have come away with the win 38 times (44.7%) in those contests.
• Kansas City has a win-loss record of 13-14 when favored by +128 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 7-1 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Phillies are 9-1-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has put up a team-best 51 home runs and 126 runs batted in.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Schwarber ranks second in home runs and first in RBI.
• Schwarber carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a double, two home runs, seven walks and six RBIs.
• Harper is batting .266 with 31 doubles, 26 home runs and 61 walks.
• Harper is 36th in home runs and 65th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Bryson Stott has 20 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 49 walks while batting .257.
• Stott is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .421 with a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
• Nick Castellanos is hitting .255 with 27 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 30 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Royals have two wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Witt paces the Royals with a .291 batting average.
• Among all batters in MLB, Witt's home run total is 61st and his RBI tally ranks 42nd.
• Maikel Garcia's .291 batting average paces his team.
• Garcia is 112th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 70th in RBI.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has been a significant run producer for the Royals with 30 home runs and 103 runs batted in.
• Salvador Perez is batting .235 with 34 doubles, 27 home runs and 23 walks.

Royals Team Props

Royals vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Enjoy the best moments between Kansas City Royals and the Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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