Phillies vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 22

Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies head into the final of a three-game series against Juan Soto and the New York Mets at Citizens Bank Park, Sunday at 7:10 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list the Phillies as -123 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Mets +103 moneyline odds. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +165 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for this contest.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Phillies vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, June 22, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to watch on TV: ESPN

Phillies vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Mets 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 52%, Mets 48%

Phillies vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 41 out of the 63 games, or 65.1%, in which they've been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 36-15, a 70.6% win rate, when favored by -123 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 55.2%.
• The Mets have been underdogs in 22 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (40.9%) in those contests.
• This season, New York has come away with a win five times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 8-1 over the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
• The Phillies are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 23 home runs and 54 runs batted in.
• Schwarber's home runs place him fifth in the majors, and he ranks 10th in RBI.
• Schwarber brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a home run, three walks and two RBIs.
• Trea Turner is hitting .298 to lead his team.
• Among all major league batters, Turner is 92nd in home runs and 81st in RBI.
• Nick Castellanos is hitting .283 with 19 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 17 walks.
• Castellanos has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
• Bohm is batting .293 with 11 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 15 walks.
• Bohm is riding a seven-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is batting .375 with two doubles, two home runs, four walks and 11 RBIs.

Phillies Team Props

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have played as underdogs four times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Mets have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Soto has 14 doubles, 16 home runs and 63 walks while batting .256.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Soto's home run total is 16th and his RBI tally is 42nd.
• Pete Alonso proven to be a run producer as he leads his team with 18 home runs and 64 runs batted in, with a team-leading .294 batting average.
• Alonso ranks 12th in home runs and third in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Francisco Lindor has 14 doubles, 15 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .267.
• Brandon Nimmo has 14 doubles, 15 home runs and 24 walks while batting .249.

Mets Team Props

Mets vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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