
Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 3
Fernando Tatis Jr. and Brendan Donovan will be among the stars on display when the San Diego Padres face the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET, at PETCO Park. The favored Padres have -155 moneyline odds against the underdog Cardinals, who are listed at +130. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +136 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the contest.
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Cardinals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Padres vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds
- When: Sunday, August 3, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
- How to watch on TV: SDPA and FDSMW
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -155 | +130 | 8.5 | -121 | +100 | -1.5 | +136 | -163 |
Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Padres 5, Cardinals 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Padres 55%, Cardinals 45%
Padres vs. Cardinals Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have been favored 58 times and won 34, or 58.6%, of those games.
- San Diego is 15-10 this season when entering a game favored by -155 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 60.8%.
- The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 57 games this year and have walked away with the win 28 times (49.1%) in those games.
- This year, St. Louis has won six of 19 games when listed as at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 43.5% chance of walking away with the win.
Padres Recent Betting Performance
- The Padres went 3-3 across the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
- The Padres have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Padres Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.31 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Padres Player Insights
- Manny Machado is the bat to watch in the Padres lineup, leading the team in batting average (.301), home runs (20), and RBI (72).
- Among all hitters in baseball, Machado is 26th in home runs and 13th in RBI.
- Machado carries a 10-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .476 with four doubles, two home runs and 12 RBIs.
- Tatis is hitting .264 with 18 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 61 walks.
- Tatis is 55th in homers and 108th in RBI on the year.
- Luis Arraez is hitting .299 with 21 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 22 walks.
- Arraez is on a 15-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .425 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and four RBIs.
- Xander Bogaerts is batting .269 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 44 walks.
- Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
Padres Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 (-255) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+190) |
| Manny Machado | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+145) | 1.5 (-105) | - | 0.5 (+200) |
| Jackson Merrill | 1.5 (+190) | 1.5 (+105) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1.5 (+175) | 1.5 (+100) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
Cardinals Recent Betting Performance
- The Cardinals have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Cardinals and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
- The Cardinals are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Cardinals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.78 |
| K/9 | 6.4 |
Cardinals Player Insights
- Donovan has 24 doubles, nine home runs and 39 walks while hitting .281.
- Among all batters in the big leagues, Donovan is 156th in home runs and 130th in RBI.
- Alec Burleson has a club-high .284 batting average.
- Burleson ranks 89th in home runs and 82nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
- Willson Contreras has been solid source of run production for the Cardinals with 15 long balls and 63 runs batted in.
- Masyn Winn is hitting .273 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 27 walks.
Cardinals Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+245) |
| Alec Burleson | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Nolan Gorman | - | - | - | - |
| Lars Nootbaar | - | - | - | - |
| Andre Pallante | - | - | - | - |
Cardinals vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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