
Dodgers vs. Phillies NLDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9
The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Philadelphia Phillies in the fourth game of the NLDS on Thursday at 6:08 p.m. ET, live on TBS, truTV, and HBO Max from Dodger Stadium. The Phillies hope to force a Game 5 as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 2-1. Bookmakers list the Dodgers as -136 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Phillies +115 moneyline odds. Los Angeles is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The contest's total is set at 8 runs.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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RED HOT Dodgers have Phillies 'Running into a BUZZSAW' 😳 Big Papi, A-Rod & Derek Jeter weigh in
Dodgers vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, October 9, 2025 at 6:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California
- How to watch on TV: TBS, truTV, and HBO Max
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | -136 | +115 | 8 | -119 | -102 | -1.5 | +150 | -181 |
Dodgers vs. Phillies Prediction
- Score Prediction: Dodgers 5, Phillies 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Dodgers 54%, Phillies 46%
Dodgers vs. Phillies Betting Insights
- The Dodgers have won 84, or 57.9%, of the 145 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Los Angeles has a record of 74-50, a 59.7% win rate, when favored by -136 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 57.6% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
- The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 34 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (50%) in those games.
- This season, Philadelphia has been victorious six times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 46.5% chance of pulling out a win.
Dodgers Recent Betting Performance
- The Dodgers went 5-1 across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings, the Dodgers and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Dodgers' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.
Dodgers Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 2.84 |
| K/9 | 11.1 |
Dodgers Player Insights
- Shohei Ohtani paces the Dodgers with 55 home runs and 102 runs batted in.
- Ohtani's home runs put him third in MLB, and he is 14th in RBI.
- Mookie Betts is batting .258 with 23 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 61 walks.
- Betts ranks 84th in home runs in MLB, and 51st in RBI.
- Betts carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .409 with three doubles, a triple, a walk and three RBIs.
- Freddie Freeman has a team-high batting average of .295.
- Andy Pages has 27 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 29 walks while batting .272.
Dodgers Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 (-234) | 1.5 (+128) | - | 0.5 (+183) |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+117) | - | 0.5 (+161) |
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 (-243) | 1.5 (+124) | - | 0.5 (+173) |
| Shohei Ohtani | 1.5 (+188) | 1.5 (-114) | - | 0.5 (+138) |
| Mookie Betts | 1.5 (+186) | 1.5 (+104) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
Phillies Recent Betting Performance
- The Phillies have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
- When it comes to hitting the over, the Phillies and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Phillies have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Phillies Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 2.93 |
| K/9 | 9.7 |
Phillies Player Insights
- Kyle Schwarber has managed a team-leading 56 home runs and has driven in 132 runs.
- Among all batters in MLB, Schwarber's home run total is second and his RBI tally ranks first.
- Trea Turner is hitting .304 to lead the lineup.
- Turner ranks 143rd in homers and 90th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
- Bryce Harper has 32 doubles, 27 home runs and 70 walks while hitting .261.
- Bryson Stott is batting .257 with 22 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 54 walks.
Phillies Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner | 0.5 (-214) | 1.5 (+136) | - | 0.5 (+230) |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 (-182) | 1.5 (+109) | - | 0.5 (+131) |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 (-194) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+159) |
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 (-212) | 1.5 (+146) | - | 0.5 (+206) |
| Nick Castellanos | 0.5 (-145) | - | - | 0.5 (+231) |
RED HOT Dodgers have Phillies 'Running into a BUZZSAW' 😳 Big Papi, A-Rod & Derek Jeter weigh in
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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