
Cubs vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 23
The Cincinnati Reds and Will Benson hit the field against Kyle Tucker and the Chicago Cubs on Friday at Great American Ball Park. The favored Cubs have -115 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Reds, who are listed at -104. Chicago is a 1.5-run favorite (at +145 odds). An 8.5-run over/under is set in the matchup.
Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Cubs' Kyle Tucker smacks a solo homer as Cubs strike first vs. Marlins
Cubs vs. Reds Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, May 23, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
- How to watch on TV: FDSOH and MARQ
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -115 | -104 | 8.5 | -106 | -114 | -1.5 | +145 | -173 |
Cubs vs. Reds Prediction
- Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Reds 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Cubs 52%, Reds 48%
Cubs vs. Reds Betting Insights
- The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 31 times this season and won 21, or 67.7%, of those games.
- This season Chicago has won 21 of its 31 games, or 67.7%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
- The Reds have been victorious in 12, or 48%, of the 25 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 11-12 when favored by -104 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Cubs Recent Betting Performance
- The Cubs went 7-2 across the nine games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Cubs combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
- The Cubs have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.
Cubs Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.37 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Cubs Player Insights
- Tucker leads the Cubs with 12 big flies on the year. He's also hitting .278 with 35 RBI.
- In all of MLB, Tucker ranks ninth in home runs and 12th in RBI.
- Tucker has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .389 with two home runs, five walks and two RBIs.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong's 12 home runs lead his team.
- Crow-Armstrong ranks ninth in home runs and fifth in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
- Seiya Suzuki has accumulated a team-high 12 home runs and 43 runs batted in.
- Suzuki has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and six RBIs.
- Dansby Swanson is hitting .262 with seven doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 17 walks.
- Swanson is riding a seven-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 outings he is batting .351 with two home runs, four walks and five RBIs.
Cubs Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 (-185) | 0.5 (-190) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.5 (-180) | 0.5 (-185) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 (-195) | 0.5 (-200) | - | 0.5 (+255) |
| Michael Busch | 0.5 (-120) | 0.5 (-125) | - | 0.5 (+235) |
Reds Recent Betting Performance
- The Reds have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and have gone 2-1 in those contests.
- Games involving the Reds have not hit the over in 10 straight contests with a total.
- The Reds have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Reds Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.56 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Reds Player Insights
- Elly De La Cruz has a team-high eight home runs and has driven in 33 runs.
- In all of the big leagues, De La Cruz is 47th in homers and 19th in RBI.
- TJ Friedl has eight doubles, two triples, three home runs and 23 walks while batting .274.
- Friedl ranks 180th overall in homers and 134th in RBI this year.
- Gavin Lux has accumulated a team-high batting average of .292.
- Austin Hays is hitting .316 with six doubles, six home runs and seven walks.
Reds Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Santiago Espinal | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+215) |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+120) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 (-155) | 0.5 (-155) | - | 0.5 (+310) |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 (-180) | 0.5 (-180) | - | 0.5 (+195) |
Reds vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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