Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC Prediction, Odds, Picks - Mar 1

Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC Prediction, Odds, Picks - Mar 1

Published Feb. 28, 2026 6:55 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Arsenal FC hosts Chelsea FC in the Premier League on Sunday, with Arsenal coming off a 4-1 victory over Tottenham Hotspur, and Chelsea a 1-1 draw against Burnley FC. Find our prediction for this matchup below.

Arsenal has scored 56 goals in 28 games this season (second in Premier League), and Chelsea has conceded 31 goals in 27 matches (fourth in league). In the Premier League, Chelsea has put up 48 goals in 27 games (third in league), and Arsenal has given up 21 in 28 matches (first). In terms of goal differential, Arsenal is first in the Premier League at +35. Chelsea's goal difference (+17) ranks third in the Premier League.

Arsenal's last game was a 4-1 win away from home against Tottenham Hotspur, taking 20 shots and outshooting Tottenham by 14. Arsenal were led by two goals each from Eberechi Eze and Viktor Gyokeres in that match against Tottenham. In its most recent game on Feb. 21, Chelsea drew with Burnley FC 1-1 at home. Chelsea outshot Burnley FC 12 to nine. Chelsea's Joao Pedro scored its only goal (on two shots) in the match.

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Arsenal vs. Chelsea Odds & Betting Lines

Arsenal vs Chelsea Betting Information updated as of February 28, 2026, 4:39 p.m. ET.
Moneyline Favorite Moneyline Underdog Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Arsenal -170 Chelsea +461 2.5 -140 +109

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Arsenal vs. Chelsea Prediction & Pick

  • Moneyline Pick: Arsenal -170
  • Total Pick: Over 2.5 goals
  • Score Prediction: Arsenal 2, Chelsea 1

Arsenal vs. Chelsea Match Info

  • Match Day: Sunday, March 1, 2026
  • Match Time: 11:30 a.m. ET
  • Location: London, England
  • Stadium: Emirates Stadium
  • TV: NBCSN (DirecTV SAT (DVB-S)), Peacock Premium
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Arsenal's Moneyline Performance

  • Arsenal has been favored in 27 matches this season, and went 18-7-2.
  • Thus far this season, Arsenal (-170) has been at least this big a favorite 20 times, and won 16.
  • The likelihood of Arsenal winning this match is 63.0%, based on the moneyline.

Arsenal's Key Players

Name Games Goals Assists Shots Chances Created
Viktor Gyokeres 26 10 0 32 16
Leandro Trossard 26 5 5 21 21
Bukayo Saka 24 5 4 35 34
Eberechi Eze 22 6 2 21 13
Declan Rice 27 4 4 24 37

Arsenal's Recent Performance

Opponent Date Home/Away Result Score Shots Opp. Shots
Tottenham 2/22/2026 A W 4-1 20 6
Wolverhampton 2/18/2026 A D 2-2 10 4
Brentford 2/12/2026 A D 1-1 7 11
Sunderland AFC 2/7/2026 H W 3-0 14 4
Leeds 1/31/2026 A W 4-0 13 3

Chelsea's Moneyline Performance

  • Chelsea has one win in four matches as an underdog this season.
  • Chelsea (+461) has been at least this big an underdog in one game, and won.
  • Based on the moneyline, Chelsea has a 17.8% chance of winning this match.

Chelsea's Key Players

Name Games Goals Assists Shots Chances Created
Joao Pedro 27 11 4 33 16
Enzo Fernandez 26 8 2 39 31
Cole Palmer 17 8 1 24 13
Pedro Neto 27 5 4 21 38
Reece James 25 2 4 11 15

Chelsea's Recent Performance

Opponent Date Home/Away Result Score Shots Opp. Shots
Burnley 2/21/2026 H D 1-1 12 9
Leeds 2/10/2026 H D 2-2 20 4
Wolverhampton 2/7/2026 A W 3-1 13 8
West Ham 1/31/2026 H W 3-2 13 10
Crystal Palace 1/25/2026 A W 3-1 9 12

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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