Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 28

Updated Feb. 28, 2026 6:13 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

At 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, Feb. 28, Tim Stutzle and William Nylander will go toe-to-toe in a contest between the Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena. Here is everything you need to know to know about the Senators-Maple Leafs game, from the puck lined, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Game Information and TV Channel

When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
TV: ESPN+
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Senators vs Maple Leafs Betting Information
Favorite	Puck Line	Favorite Puck Line Odds	Underdog Puck Line Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Senators	-1.5	190	-230	6.5	100	-120	-135	+114

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Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction

ATS Pick: Maple Leafs (+ 1.5)
O/U Pick: Over (6.5)
Score Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Senators 3

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Betting Insights

In 30 of 58 matches this season, Ottawa and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.
Toronto has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 33 of 59 games this season.
The teams combine to score 6.5 goals per game, 0.0 fewer than this game's total.
Combined, these teams give up 6.6 goals per game, 0.1 more than this game's total.
The Senators are 16th in goals scored in the league, and the Maple Leafs rank 13th.
The Maple Leafs are 30th in the league in goals allowed, and the Senators are 23rd.

Senators Stats

The Senators rank 16th in the league with 189 goals scored (3.3 per game).
Ottawa has allowed 186 total goals (3.2 per game), ranking 23rd in league action in goals against.
Their goal differential (+3) ranks 15th in the league.
The 44 power-play goals Ottawa has put up this season (on 187 chances) are the fifth-most in the NHL.
The Senators have the league's eighth-best power-play conversion rate (23.53%).
Ottawa has scored three shorthanded goals this season (21st among all NHL squads).

Senators Leaders

Name	Games	Goals	Assists	Points	Giveaways	Takeaways	Faceoff Win %
Tim Stützle	58	28	33	61	77	25	53.6%
Drake Batherson	55	19	30	49	41	19	47.4%
Jake Sanderson	58	11	37	48	69	27	-
Dylan Cozens	58	19	24	43	39	14	53.4%
Claude Giroux	58	11	27	38	40	13	63.6%

Senators Player Props

Maple Leafs Stats

The Maple Leafs have 190 goals this season (3.2 per game), 13th in the league.
Toronto's total of 202 goals given up (3.4 per game) ranks 30th in the league.
They have the 19th-ranked goal differential in the league at -12.
With 27 power-play goals (on 138 chances), Toronto ranks 29th in the NHL.
The Maple Leafs have the NHL's 18th-ranked power-play percentage (19.57).
This season, Toronto has three shorthanded goals (21st in NHL).

Maple Leafs Leaders

Name	Games	Goals	Assists	Points	Giveaways	Takeaways	Faceoff Win %
William Nylander	42	18	36	54	47	20	41.1%
Auston Matthews	53	26	23	49	47	25	59.7%
John Tavares	59	22	27	49	56	22	58.3%
Matthew Knies	56	15	33	48	51	17	0%
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	59	8	27	35	84	12	-