Major League Baseball

DraftKings MLB Picks For October 7

Published Jun. 30, 2017 6:28 p.m. ET

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Sep 12, 2015; Dallas, TX, USA; A general view of the DraftKings sign board during the match with FC Dallas playing against New York City FC at Toyota Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

DraftKings MLB Picks For October 7

We have a full day of four playoff games today, starting at noon eastern. Be sure to get your lineups in before then! We have a little more than the usual slim pickings on DraftKings with eight different pitchers to choose from. Half of them are over $10,000, so where can we go cheap? Let’s check out the past stats for some help!

NOTE: these picks are based solely on statistics. Some players have never faced their opponents, or have very little experience against them. I am not saying that none of those are good picks. The highest scorer of the day could be someone with no experience against his opponent. This is based on statistical analysis only. If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players. Check out this post from Matt McGarvey for great tips about whether to use a hot player in DFS or not.

For you first time players, if you would like $20 worth of free entry tickets, use this link for the referral bonus! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn that $20 into more!

Oct 2, 2016; Boston, MA, USA; Boston Red Sox starting pitcher David Price (24) pitches during the first inning against the Toronto Blue Jays at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

Best Bets:

Clayton Kershaw ($12,000): There is elite, then there is Kershaw. He is in a class all his own. No one comes close, except for the road playoff version of Madison Bumgarner. The Nationals are hitting .217 against Kershaw in 180 at bats, which is pretty good off of an ace. The good news ends there. Washington only has three homers, just six runs, and a shocking 56 strikeouts. Expect the best pitcher in baseball to throw like it again.

Yu Darvish ($10,200): The Blue Jays are hitting only .184 against Darvish in 98 at bats with two homers, but they have scored ten runs. That leaves him with a little above average numbers until you look at the strikeouts. Darvish has struck out 37 in those 98 at bats, leaving him with a high floor. Unless, of course, the Jays tee off on Darvish the way they did Cole Hamels yesterday.

David Price ($8,000): Cleveland is hitting a respectable .235 against Price in 255 at bats, but they have just three homers and only 15 runs. Price also owns an astronomical 83 strikeouts. I have no idea why Price is this cheap, but he enables you to stock up on hitters at this low of a price.

Honorable Mention:

Johnny Cueto ($9,900): The Cubs are hitting just .184 against Cueto in 141 at bats with only two homers and ten runs. They have struck out 37 times, which isn’t a large total, but it is good enough when you consider his other numbers. Anthony Rizzo has one of those homers, a solo shot, but he is just 3-19 against Cueto. The usual suspects aren’t the ones teeing off on Cueto.

Jon Lester ($10,600): The Giants are only hitting .220 against Lester in 100 at bats with two homers and nine RBI. The problem is that he has only struck out 13 of those 100 batters. That puts Lester in the lower tier of the day, but keep in mind that Lester had been dominant before his little hiccup against the Reds on Saturday. He could certainly put together an outing like he had against the Giants on September 2nd. Lester gave up only one run on three hits and two walks in a complete game while striking out four.

Oct 2, 2016; Boston, MA, USA; A fan holds a sign during the fifth inning in honor of Boston Red Sox designated hitter David Ortiz (34) in a game agains the Toronto Blue Jays at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

Don’t forget to check out the DFS Lineup Optimizer over at FantasyPros. You can also pick your favorite players or favorite stack, and it will optimize the lineup around that! It really is an invaluable tool for you DFS players!

Jayson Werth ($2,800) is a respectable 10-32(.313) against Kershaw with four walks and two solo homers. He has also struck out ten times. Bryce Harper ($3,400) has the other homer against Kershaw, but before you play him, look at the bigger picture. Harper is 1-15 with that solo homer and 10 strikeouts in his career against Kershaw.

Carlos Beltran ($4,100) is 10-32(.313) with three walks, a double, three homers, and six RBI against J.A. Happ. Robinson Chirinos ($3,200) has three hits in six at bats with a double and a solo homer. Jonathan Lucroy ($3,400) is 7-19(.368) with four doubles and five RBI against Happ.  Carlos Gomez ($3,900) has five hits in 20 at bats with two walks, a double, a triple, and two RBI.

Andre Ethier ($2,700) is 8-24 with two walks, two doubles, a homer, and three RBI against Max Scherzer. Josh Reddick ($3,200) has five hits in 11 at bats with a triple and two RBI.

Jackie Bradley Jr ($3,300) is 3-13(.231) against Corey Kluber with three walks, two homers, and four RBI. Mookie Betts ($4,500) has four hits in ten at bats with a walk, a double, a homer, and two RBI. David Ortiz ($4,400) has four hits in 16 at bats with two walks, a double, two homers, and four RBI against Kluber. Travis Shaw ($2,900) is 4-11 with a walk and a solo homer.

Buster Posey ($4,000) is 5-16(.313) with a walk, a double, a homer, and two RBI against Jon Lester. Hunter Pence ($3,300) also has a homer and two RBI, but the only has three hits in 15 at bats. Denard Span ($3,300) is 8-28(.286) with six walks, a double, and three RBI against Lester.

Chris Coghlan ($2,600) has five hits in 20 at bats with a walk, a double, a homer, and four RBI against Cueto. Jason Heyward ($2,900) has four hits in 18 at bats with two doubles and two RBI. Addison Russell ($2,500) is 3-6 with two doubles and a RBI. Kris Bryant ($4,000) has three hits in five at bats against Cueto, but all of the hits are singles and he has no counting stats.

Edwin Encarnacion ($3,800) is 5-16(.313) with three walks, two homers, and four RBI against Yu Darvish. Michael Saunders ($2,900) is 4-15(.267) with four walks, two doubles, and three RBI against Darvish.

Lonnie Chisenhall ($2,900) is 4-11 with a double, a homer, and three RBI against David Price. Rajai Davis ($3,200) has nine hits in 36 at bats with a walk, three doubles, and two RBI. Brandon Guyer ($3,500) is 4-14 with a cycle and three RBI against Price. Jason Kipnis ($3,600) is 8-26(.308) with two doubles against Price, but he has no counting stats. Mike Napoli ($3,300) only has eight hits in 36 at bats(.222), but he has two walks, two doubles, and a solo homer. Carlos Santana ($4,100) has picked up 10 hits in 31 at bats(.323) with six walks, four doubles, and two driven in against Price.

Good luck out there, and check out our picks for the NFL!

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