Evaluating NBA Draft decisions

Evaluating NBA Draft decisions

Published Oct. 19, 2009 4:20 a.m. ET

Now that the page has been turned on the 2008-09 season, things are a little slow on the college basketball front.

And though my life feels somewhat empty without another NCAA tournament game to be watching, the NBA Playoffs are at least here to help me maintain my basketball fix for another two months.

After all, in those 60 days, you can tell just by watching on TV that compared to the regular season, the game's level of intensity is taken up a notch.

That's because every game means a little bit more than the last. It's that time of the season when the stars shine and new ones are born.

So as we watch this year's NBA postseason action unfold, there's also a draft class being molded into place for June 25 — when Commissioner David Stern takes the podium at Madison Square Garden and reads off the league's next 60 rookies.

While underclassmen testing the waters will have until June 15 to pull out of the NBA Draft, many early entries have already made up their minds and turned pro by signing with agents.

Here's a look at those prospects and whether they're making the right move with their future.

DeJuan Blair, F, Pittsburgh: Even after a sensational sophomore season that included an appearance in the Elite Eight, Blair could afford to play one more year in college to help hone his jumper. But with Levance Fields and Sam Young having played their senior seasons, it's understandable why he's coming out now.

Draft decision: Good.


Chase Budinger, F, Arizona:
Budinger was expected by many to declare for the draft a lot sooner than waiting until after his junior season, but with a new era beginning under Sean Miller, staying in Tucson would have meant playing for a fourth different coach in four years. And with enough size at 6-foot-7 and a deadly perimeter game, he won't have a problem finding his way onto a NBA roster.

Draft decision: Good.


Earl Clark, G/F, Louisville:
Clark has the length and athleticism to play at the next level, but he'll need to add some more muscle and improve his defense significantly in order to stay in front of opposing small forwards. His offensive game remains his strong suit after averaging 14.2 points per game at Louisville, and with sidekick Terrence Williams gone, the chances of a Final Four appearance look bleak for the Cardinals next year.

Draft decision: Good.


Brandon Costner, F, N.C. State:
The Wolfpack's leading scorer last year at 13.3 points per game, Costner will have a tough time playing the power forward slot in the NBA at only 6-foot-8. The other major question mark for the junior out of Montclair, N.J., is whether he'll have the athleticism to guard opposing small forwards, which includes the likes of LeBron James, Lamar Odom and Paul Pierce.

Draft decision: Bad.


Stephen Curry, G, Davidson:
Despite not getting Davidson back to the NCAA tournament, the sharp-shooting son of ex-NBA player Dell Curry, who stole the show during March Madness two years ago, did lead the nation in scoring at 28.6 points per game this past season. With the range he has on his jump shot, Curry — projected to go anywhere from 7th to 20th in the first round — shouldn't have any trouble adjusting to the NBA 3-point line next season.

Draft Decision: Good.


DeMar DeRozan, F, USC:
The Compton native had plenty of hype surrounding him prior to his arrival at USC, but unlike one-and-done phenom O.J. Mayo, DeRozan did little over the course of the season to prove he was one of the best players in the Pac-10, let alone in the nation. The 6-foot-7 freshman, in fact, was only third on the team in scoring at 13.9 points per game, sitting behind Dwight Lewis and Taj Gibson.

Draft Decision: Bad.

Eric Devendorf, G, Syracuse:
After playing only 10 games during the 2007-08 season due to a torn ACL, Devendorf came back and finished second on the team in scoring this year at 15.7 points per game while shooting 39 percent from three. Despite the solid offensive numbers in 2008-09, it's hard to see the Bay City, Mich., native being taken in the first round with his lack of athleticism and his defensive and rebounding skills still needing a lot of work.

Draft Decision: Bad.


Wayne Ellington, G, North Carolina: Before the Final Four, many might have questioned this move by Ellington. But with the junior wingman being named the Final Four's Most Outstanding Player and helping the Tar Heels win their fifth national championship, Ellington proved over the month of March — complements of a 19.2 NCAA tournament scoring average — that he can rise to the occasion when called upon.

Draft Decision: Good.


Jonny Flynn, G, Syracuse:
He may be undersized at only 6-foot, but Flynn showed during the Big East tournament and NCAA tournament that he was clearly the Orange's most talented player this season. If the Niagara, N.Y., native can avoid more injuries and can show that he's improved the range on his jump shot, he should be one of the top three point guards taken in the draft.

Draft Decision: Good.


Blake Griffin, F, Oklahoma:
The National Player of the Year and a near deadlock to be the first pick in the draft, Griffin absolutely dominated the 2008-09 college basketball season from November all the way to March. In leading the Sooners to the Elite Eight for the first time since 2003, the 6-foot-10 sophomore shot over 65 percent from the field and averaged a double-double at 22.7 points and 14.4 rebounds per game.

Draft Decision: Good.


Daniel Hackett, G, USC:
Hackett may have been one of the best on-ball defenders in the Pac-10, but it's hard to see him going anywhere in the first round. While the 6-foot-5 junior, who finished fourth in scoring (12.3 points per game) for the Trojans, has an adequate jump shot and solid passing skills, a spectacular senior year would have made Hackett a much more attractive acquisition in potentially another weak draft class next year.

Draft Decision: Bad.


James Harden, G, Arizona State: The Pac-10 Player of the Year, Harden has a knack for scoring, whether it's inside or from the perimeter, and that should unquestionably make him a lottery pick. The All-American out of Los Angeles led the Sun Devils with 20.1 points per game this season, but he'll have to hope that a strong camp performance also overshadows his two final collegiate games, in which he tallied only nine and 10 points against the likes of Temple and Syracuse.

Draft Decision: Good.


Paul Harris, F, Syracuse:
When Harris committed to Syracuse more than two years ago, there was a buzz in upstate New York that Jim Boeheim was getting a player that could get him back to the Final Four after Carmelo Anthony had in 2003. But despite averaging 12 points and eight rebounds this season, Harris never truly lived up to his billing as a potential All-American, and there's no doubt a final year in college would have helped his draft stock come next June.

Draft Decision: Bad.


Jordan Hill, F, Arizona:
Despite a career filled with coaching changes and an up-and-down junior season, the 6-foot-10 forward out of Atlanta took his game to another level this year, averaging a double-double a game at 18.3 points and 11 rebounds. And in a draft that doesn't feature many quality big men besides Hill, National Player of the Year Blake Griffin and 7-foot-3 UConn product Hasheem Thabeet, he should go somewhere within the first 10 picks.

Draft Decision: Good.


Brandon Jennings, G, Italy: There were few point guards out of high school that were as hyped as Jennings, who spent his final two seasons at Oak Hill. But while the Los Angeles native didn't really help his draft stock by playing professionally overseas for a year (he averaged only 7.6 points, 1.6 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 1.2 steals in Euroleague games) rather than attending college at Arizona, he should go fairly high in the first round due to the lack of quality point guards available.

Draft Decision: Good.


James Johnson, F, Wake Forest:
Johnson had a solid year for the Demon Deacons in 2008-09, averaging 15 points and 8.5 rebounds per game. While the 6-foot-9, 245-pound forward ended his collegiate career with a loss in the first round of the NCAA tournament to Cleveland State, his upside and body type have him projected to go somewhere in the lottery.

Draft Decision: Good.


Ty Lawson, G, North Carolina: After this year's NCAA tournament, there was no question who the nation's best point guard was. Despite missing the Tar Heels' opening-round game against Radford with a toe injury, Lawson absolutely torched opposing backcourts during UNC's national championship run, making him almost a lock to be the first college point guard taken in this year's draft.

Draft Decision: Good.


B.J. Mullens, C, Ohio State: This is by far the worst decision made by any early entry in this draft class. Mullens did little to cement himself among the nation's top big men all season long. The 7-footer out of Columbus, Ohio, averaged a mere 8.8 points and 4.7 rebounds per game, and while he might think a weak class this year might improve his stock, Mullens is clearly still a work-in-progress for whichever team calls him to the podium.

Draft Decision: Bad.


DaJuan Summers, F, Georgetown: With the departures of Jeff Green and Roy Hibbert over the past two years, it was Summer's responsibility this season to carry the Hoyas and hopefully get John Thompson III's team back into the NCAA tournament. But Georgetown struggled significantly in Big East play, and the 6-foot-8 forward out of Baltimore failed to help the former conference champs return to such prominence.

Draft Decision: Bad.


Hasheem Thabeet, C, Connecticut:
One of the few true centers in this year's draft, Thabeet proved once again this season with his shot-blocking and rebounding skills that he's a defensive force. Though he couldn't get UConn past Michigan State in the Final Four, the 7-foot-3 Tanzanian should no doubt be one of the first three picks taken after putting up impressive numbers of 13.6 points, 10.8 rebounds and 4.2 blocks per game.

Draft Decision: Good.

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