Steelers vs. Texans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 1

Published Sep. 27, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

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The Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) are considered favorites (-3) according to the point spread ahead of their game versus the Houston Texans (1-2) on October 1, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on CBS. The matchup has an over/under of 42 points.

Steelers vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

Steelers vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Houston (+3)
  
• Pick OU: Over (42)
  
• Prediction: Pittsburgh 23 - Houston 22

How to Watch Pittsburgh vs. Houston

• Game Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: NRG Stadium
• Location: Houston, Texas
• TV: Watch on CBS

Steelers vs. Texans Recent Matchups

• In their past five head-to-head bouts, Pittsburgh has taken down Houston four times.
• Houston has been outscored by 69 points in its last five tilts versus Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

• Pittsburgh compiled a 10-6-1 record against the spread last season.
• The Steelers had no wins ATS (0-1) as a 3-point favorite or more last season.
• Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total seven times in Pittsburgh games.
• The Steelers won 66.7% of the games last season when they were the moneyline favorite (4-2).
• Pittsburgh played as a moneyline favorite of -148 or shorter in only one game last season, which it lost.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Steelers' implied win probability is 59.7%.

Steelers Stats (2022)

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

• Najee Harris rushed for seven touchdowns last year, and put up 1,034 total rushing yards (60.8 per game and 3.8 per carry).
• Harris also figured into the passing attack with 229 yards (13.5 per game) on 41 receptions (2.4 per game), while being targeted 53 times. He had three receiving touchdowns.
• In 13 games, Kenny Pickett had 2,404 passing yards, with seven touchdowns against nine interceptions and completing 63.0% of his attempts.
• Pickett also had three rushing touchdowns and 237 rushing yards.
• George Pickens registered 801 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 52 receptions while being targeted 84 times last season.
• Pat Freiermuth had 63 catches for 732 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averaged 4.2 yards per game over 15 games and was targeted 98 times.

Defense

• Alex Highsmith's 2022 effort included 63 tackles, 12.0 TFL, and 14.5 sacks over 17 games.
• For the Dolphins last season, Elandon Roberts had 4.5 sacks to go with 10.0 TFL and 104 tackles.
• Minkah Fitzpatrick had 1.0 TFL, 96 tackles, and six interceptions.
• Desmond King II totaled 10.0 TFL, 88 tackles, and two interceptions in 17 games for the Texans.

Houston Betting Info

• Houston covered eight times in 17 matchups with a spread last season.
• The Texans went 8-7-1 as underdogs of 3 points or more last season.
• Houston and its opponent combined to hit the over seven out of 17 times last season.
• The Texans were underdogs 17 times last season and won three, or 17.6%, of those games.
• Houston played as an underdog of +124 or more once last season and lost that game.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Texans have a 44.6% chance to win.

Texans Stats (2022)

Houston's Key Players

Offense

• In 15 games last year, Davis Mills totaled 3,118 passing yards, while throwing 17 TD passes and 15 INTs, connecting on 61.0% of his attempts.
• He added 108 yards on the ground, with two rushing TDs. He averaged 7.2 yards per game and 3.4 per attempt.
• Devin Singletary scored five rushing TDs, accumulating 819 rushing yards (4.6 per carry and 51.2 per game).
• Singletary also collected 280 yards receiving (17.5 per game) on 38 catches (2.4 per game). He was targeted 52 times and caught one TD pass.
• Dameon Pierce averaged 72.2 yards rushing per game last season (939 total yards), while scoring four rushing TDs.
• Pierce helped out in the passing game, putting up 165 yards receiving (12.7 per game) on 30 receptions (2.3 per game) while being targeted 39 times. He had one TD catch.
• For the Cowboys, Dalton Schultz had 57 catches for 577 yards and five TDs. He averaged 3.8 yards per game in 15 games and was targeted 89 times.

Defense

• Jalen Pitre put up 1.0 sack to go along with 5.0 TFL, 147 tackles, and five interceptions in his 17 games in 2022.
• Denzel Perryman's production for the Raiders included two INTs as well as 83 tackles, 14.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
• Christian Harris had 74 tackles, 6.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 2022.
• Jerry Hughes picked off one pass in addition to 35 tackles, 10.0 TFL, nine sacks, and one pass defended.

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NFL - Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Houston Texans - 10/01/2023