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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 128 FBS teams. We simulate thousands of games and use those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 128 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts.
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Florida State Seminoles | - | 79.1 | 30.9 | 19.2 |
| 2. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +3 | 77.3 | 28.4 | 18.2 |
| 3. | Alabama Crimson Tide | +1 | 76.0 | 27.6 | 17.9 |
| 4. | Auburn Tigers | +5 | 75.8 | 28.5 | 17.9 |
| 5. | Oregon Ducks | -3 | 75.5 | 29.9 | 20.1 |
| 6. | TCU Horned Frogs | +1 | 74.6 | 28.4 | 19.0 |
| 7. | Baylor Bears | -1 | 73.6 | 30.1 | 21.5 |
| 8. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | - | 73.1 | 28.2 | 19.3 |
| 9. | Arizona State Sun Devils | +1 | 72.9 | 29.3 | 20.5 |
| 10. | Kansas State Wildcats | +7 | 72.7 | 27.7 | 18.8 |
| 11. | Ole Miss Rebels | -8 | 72.4 | 27.2 | 18.8 |
| 12. | Michigan State Spartans | +3 | 71.4 | 26.3 | 17.9 |
| 13. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +11 | 70.2 | 26.3 | 18.8 |
| 14. | Ohio State Buckeyes | - | 70.0 | 26.9 | 18.9 |
| 15. | Oklahoma Sooners | +1 | 70.0 | 27.5 | 20.0 |
| 16. | West Virginia Mountaineers | +3 | 69.7 | 29.3 | 22.1 |
| 17. | UCLA Bruins | -6 | 69.3 | 28.0 | 20.5 |
| 18. | Arizona Wildcats | -5 | 69.1 | 28.3 | 21.8 |
| 19. | LSU Tigers | +1 | 67.2 | 25.6 | 19.2 |
| 20. | Utah Utes | +1 | 67.0 | 26.7 | 20.5 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | Missouri Tigers | +10 | 66.6 | 25.8 | 19.8 |
| 22. | Clemson Tigers | - | 66.5 | 26.8 | 20.7 |
| 23. | Georgia Bulldogs | -11 | 66.4 | 27.3 | 21.2 |
| 24. | Duke Blue Devils | +5 | 66.1 | 27.6 | 21.6 |
| 25. | USC Trojans | +1 | 65.9 | 26.9 | 20.9 |
| 26. | Marshall Thundering Herd | -3 | 64.8 | 29.5 | 23.4 |
| 27. | Louisville Cardinals | +9 | 64.3 | 24.1 | 19.1 |
| 28. | Iowa Hawkeyes | +15 | 63.6 | 24.2 | 19.4 |
| 29. | Texas A&M Aggies | -11 | 63.3 | 27.5 | 22.8 |
| 30. | Wisconsin Badgers | +5 | 63.1 | 24.4 | 19.2 |
| 31. | Washington Huskies | +2 | 62.9 | 25.1 | 20.3 |
| 32. | Florida Gators | - | 62.6 | 24.1 | 20.0 |
| 33. | East Carolina Pirates | -6 | 61.9 | 28.9 | 24.0 |
| 34. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | - | 61.9 | 25.5 | 20.5 |
| 35. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | +2 | 61.4 | 25.7 | 21.4 |
| 36. | South Carolina Gamecocks | -6 | 61.3 | 25.1 | 21.1 |
| 37. | Boise State Broncos | +9 | 59.2 | 27.6 | 24.4 |
| 38. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | -10 | 59.1 | 26.3 | 22.8 |
| 39. | Stanford Cardinal | -14 | 59.0 | 23.4 | 20.5 |
| 40. | Tennessee Volunteers | -1 | 58.8 | 23.5 | 20.5 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | Arkansas Razorbacks | +3 | 58.0 | 24.5 | 21.6 |
| 42. | Maryland Terrapins | - | 57.7 | 24.3 | 21.2 |
| 43. | Penn State Nittany Lions | +8 | 57.4 | 23.4 | 20.7 |
| 44. | California Golden Bears | -6 | 57.1 | 29.6 | 27.3 |
| 45. | North Carolina Tar Heels | -4 | 56.6 | 26.0 | 24.0 |
| 46. | Oregon State Beavers | +4 | 55.7 | 26.4 | 24.5 |
| 47. | Texas Longhorns | - | 55.7 | 23.7 | 21.4 |
| 48. | Boston College Eagles | +18 | 55.3 | 23.4 | 21.3 |
| 49. | Virginia Cavaliers | +10 | 55.1 | 22.7 | 21.1 |
| 50. | Utah State Aggies | +4 | 54.1 | 24.3 | 23.0 |
| 51. | Colorado State Rams | -6 | 54.1 | 27.6 | 25.7 |
| 52. | Virginia Tech Hokies | -4 | 54.0 | 22.5 | 21.1 |
| 53. | Kentucky Wildcats | -13 | 53.9 | 23.5 | 22.0 |
| 54. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | +1 | 53.2 | 22.4 | 21.4 |
| 55. | Washington State Cougars | -6 | 52.8 | 29.5 | 28.6 |
| 56. | Cincinnati Bearcats | -3 | 52.5 | 26.9 | 25.7 |
| 57. | Houston Cougars | +1 | 52.5 | 25.1 | 24.2 |
| 58. | Pittsburgh Panthers | -2 | 52.1 | 24.0 | 23.1 |
| 59. | Michigan Wolverines | -2 | 51.4 | 22.2 | 21.7 |
| 60. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | +7 | 51.1 | 27.9 | 27.4 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | +4 | 50.8 | 24.2 | 23.9 |
| 62. | Nevada Wolf Pack | - | 50.7 | 25.1 | 25.3 |
| 63. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -3 | 49.6 | 23.7 | 23.9 |
| 64. | BYU Cougars | +6 | 49.5 | 20.8 | 21.1 |
| 65. | UCF Knights | -13 | 49.4 | 22.8 | 23.4 |
| 66. | Northern Illinois Huskies | -3 | 48.9 | 24.0 | 24.2 |
| 67. | Memphis Tigers | -6 | 48.9 | 23.4 | 24.0 |
| 68. | Illinois Fighting Illini | +3 | 48.1 | 25.4 | 26.0 |
| 69. | Bowling Green Falcons | +12 | 47.2 | 24.0 | 25.0 |
| 70. | San Diego State Aztecs | +9 | 47.0 | 23.5 | 25.1 |
| 71. | Indiana Hoosiers | +2 | 46.8 | 24.8 | 25.5 |
| 72. | Toledo Rockets | - | 46.6 | 23.9 | 25.2 |
| 73. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | +2 | 46.5 | 22.8 | 23.9 |
| 74. | Air Force Falcons | +6 | 46.5 | 23.3 | 24.7 |
| 75. | Georgia Southern Eagles | +2 | 46.1 | 24.1 | 25.7 |
| 76. | Temple Owls | +7 | 44.9 | 22.1 | 24.1 |
| 77. | Iowa State Cyclones | -8 | 44.9 | 22.5 | 24.3 |
| 78. | Purdue Boilermakers | - | 44.9 | 23.5 | 24.8 |
| 79. | Syracuse Orange | -11 | 44.8 | 20.4 | 22.2 |
| 80. | Vanderbilt Commodores | +23 | 44.1 | 19.7 | 22.1 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Rice Owls | -5 | 43.8 | 22.8 | 25.1 |
| 82. | Western Michigan Broncos | -8 | 43.4 | 24.6 | 26.9 |
| 83. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | -1 | 43.2 | 23.2 | 25.5 |
| 84. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | - | 43.2 | 23.4 | 25.6 |
| 85. | Navy Midshipmen | +1 | 43.0 | 23.5 | 25.8 |
| 86. | Northwestern Wildcats | -22 | 42.0 | 19.2 | 22.0 |
| 87. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | +2 | 41.8 | 22.2 | 25.4 |
| 88. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | +16 | 41.4 | 18.5 | 22.1 |
| 89. | San Jose State Spartans | +9 | 41.2 | 24.3 | 27.9 |
| 90. | South Alabama Jaguars | +5 | 40.4 | 21.7 | 25.6 |
| 91. | Akron Zips | +6 | 40.0 | 21.4 | 25.5 |
| 92. | Connecticut Huskies | +4 | 39.9 | 20.8 | 24.6 |
| 93. | Texas State Bobcats | -2 | 39.5 | 21.6 | 25.2 |
| 94. | New Mexico Lobos | +6 | 39.0 | 24.2 | 28.1 |
| 95. | South Florida Bulls | -3 | 38.9 | 20.8 | 24.5 |
| 96. | Colorado Buffaloes | -8 | 38.5 | 21.7 | 25.7 |
| 97. | UAB Blazers | -10 | 38.2 | 24.3 | 28.2 |
| 98. | Wyoming Cowboys | +8 | 37.9 | 22.1 | 26.1 |
| 99. | Central Michigan Chippewas | +2 | 37.8 | 21.7 | 26.0 |
| 100. | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | -1 | 37.8 | 22.0 | 26.5 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | -8 | 37.8 | 24.8 | 29.1 |
| 102. | Tulane Green Wave | -12 | 36.5 | 19.1 | 24.5 |
| 103. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | -9 | 36.4 | 22.2 | 27.5 |
| 104. | UTEP Miners | +7 | 35.8 | 23.1 | 28.2 |
| 105. | Old Dominion Monarchs | +4 | 35.7 | 24.2 | 29.6 |
| 106. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | +6 | 35.1 | 22.7 | 28.7 |
| 107. | North Texas Mean Green | +1 | 35.0 | 19.3 | 25.1 |
| 108. | Kansas Jayhawks | -3 | 34.9 | 18.9 | 24.5 |
| 109. | UNLV Rebels | -2 | 34.6 | 21.6 | 27.5 |
| 110. | Buffalo Bulls | - | 33.8 | 21.4 | 27.7 |
| 111. | Fresno State Bulldogs | -26 | 33.4 | 22.1 | 28.0 |
| 112. | Ball State Cardinals | +2 | 33.1 | 20.3 | 26.7 |
| 113. | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | - | 32.7 | 20.7 | 27.4 |
| 114. | Ohio Bobcats | -12 | 32.4 | 20.5 | 26.5 |
| 115. | Florida Atlantic Owls | - | 32.3 | 20.2 | 26.5 |
| 116. | Army Black Knights | +1 | 32.2 | 20.7 | 27.0 |
| 117. | Massachusetts Minutemen | -1 | 30.1 | 20.2 | 27.4 |
| 118. | Appalachian State Mountaineers | +1 | 29.5 | 21.0 | 28.8 |
| 119. | UTSA Roadrunners | -1 | 28.3 | 18.6 | 26.8 |
| 120. | Troy Trojans | +1 | 26.0 | 20.5 | 30.1 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 121. | FIU Golden Panthers | -1 | 25.4 | 16.6 | 25.8 |
| 122. | New Mexico State Aggies | - | 25.0 | 20.6 | 30.1 |
| 123. | Idaho Vandals | - | 25.0 | 19.2 | 29.1 |
| 124. | Georgia State Panthers | +1 | 22.9 | 19.7 | 30.2 |
| 125. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | +2 | 22.3 | 18.0 | 29.2 |
| 126. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | - | 22.2 | 16.6 | 27.3 |
| 127. | Kent State Golden Flashes | -3 | 21.5 | 17.5 | 28.2 |
| 128. | SMU Mustangs | - | 17.5 | 16.7 | 29.6 |
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