USC's season on the line against Oregon

USC's season on the line against Oregon

Published Nov. 1, 2012 2:24 p.m. ET

It goes without saying that Matt Barkley's remark about "unfinished business" is going to remain just that — unfinished.
 
The USC quarterback, who opted to return for his senior season rather than cash in on the NFL Draft, wanted one last chance to return his team to BCS prominence without the restraints of NCAA probation.
 
His intentions had to be appreciate, but the execution failed.
 
The Trojans fell hard from their preseason No. 1 ranking when they lost to Stanford in September (on FOX). Then there was last week's loss at Arizona, which removed most of the sheen from their sold-out game Saturday against Oregon at the Coliseum. The Ducks are fourth in the BCS standings.
 
But all is not lost.

Even if its national title hopes are kaput, USC, No. 17 in the BCS, at least holds the keys to the kingdom — as well as controlling its own fate regarding the Rose Bowl.
 
The Oregon game, although it doesn't hold the importance Trojans fans had once hoped, remains important in several ways.
 
"It's good to have a game like this," USC coach Lane Kiffin said. "It's good to have the next game be a big game with a national-ranked opponent like this so you don't sit around and keep looking backwards."
 
No sense in doing that. The Trojans' biggest obstacle has been themselves. They've been assessed 82 penalties in eight games this season, including 13 in the Arizona loss, and lead the NCAA in total penalties (83) and yards (677).
 
They can right all their wrongs with a victory over the Ducks, who have a 12-game road winning streak and haven't lost since last season's 38-35 defeat to the Trojans in Eugene, Ore.
 
USC is still a contender for the Pac-12 Conference title and the Rose Bowl if it wins its remaining four games. It can also dash the national championship hopes of Oregon and Notre Dame, which it plays Nov. 24. Plus, the Trojans could beat the Ducks twice — Saturday and in the Pac-12 Championship Game (on FOX) — and earn a berth in the Rose Bowl.
 
Losses to Oregon and Notre Dame, however, would help those teams move closer to a possible national title game berth against likely opponent Alabama. The worthiness of both teams would probably be judged by how convincingly they beat the Trojans.
 
That's certainly no way for USC to finish a season that had so much promise and that Barkley believed would lead to a BCS championship and perhaps the Heisman Trophy. That was the "unfinished business" he talked about when he announced he was returning this season.
 
The Rose Bowl isn't a bad consolation prize, but beating Oregon is no simple task.

To win, here are five things the Trojans must do:
 
•  Get an early edge. Last season, USC ran out to a 14-0 lead early in the second quarter, then had to hang on after the Ducks made a second-half charge with three unanswered touchdowns. It's imperative the Trojans score quickly and keep the pressure on Oregon's explosive offense.

  Eliminate turnovers and penalties. Obvious point, but winning depends on controlling the ball and avoiding mistakes. USC has turned the ball over 18 times (10 fumbles, eight interceptions) and been penalized an average of 84.6 yards per game. Giving up the ball to Oregon invites trouble, and better discipline is the answer.

  Look for big plays. Nothing breaks an opponent quite like a quick-strike TD. Barkley's primary weapons, receivers Robert Woods and Marqise Lee, can produce massive chunks of yardage in a hurry. They've combined for 19 touchdowns and average a combined 214 yards receiving. Use them often.

  Make Oregon grind out its yardage. The Ducks average 540 yards per game, most of it on the ground. If USC can force running back Kenjon Barner, averaging 121 yards rushing per game, to work for every yard he gains and keep him from breaking long runs, the Trojans improve their chances.

  Play with a chip on their shoulder. The Trojans won last season's game against the Ducks because it was their bowl game. They were still on probation with no chance for a postseason contest. They're in a similar situation again, but eligible for the postseason, and have a chance to show a nationally televised audience that they're better than their two-loss record.

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