Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 10

Updated May. 10, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Bryson Stott and the Philadelphia Phillies square off against Jazz Chisholm and the Miami Marlins on Friday at 7:10 PM ET, in the first of a three-game series at LoanDepot park. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -197, while the underdog Marlins have +165 odds to play spoiler. Philadelphia is favored on the run line (-1.5 with -125 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for the matchup (with -107 odds on the over and -113 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Dodgers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments in this matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 10, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 7, Marlins 6
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Phillies 54%, Marlins 46%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 30 times this season and won 21, or 70%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has entered eight games this season favored by -197 or more, and won each of those games.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 66.3% chance to win.
• The Marlins have been victorious in seven, or 28%, of the 25 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a mark of 2-9 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +165 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 37.7% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

PHI 8 · MIA 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

-1.5

-200

o7.5

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+166

u7.5

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies went 6-2 over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Phillies have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm has a team-best batting average of .346 while leading the Phillies in runs batted in (32).
• Bohm is 86th in home runs and third in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Bryce Harper's nine home runs lead his team.
• Harper is eighth in home runs and 10th in RBI on the year.
• Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with nine home runs.
• Stott has four doubles, a triple, three home runs and 16 walks while hitting .250.
• Stott has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two doubles, five walks and five RBI.

Phillies Team Props

Learn more about this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 1-5.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Marlins are 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Bryan De La Cruz paces the Marlins with eight home runs and 21 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .269.
• De La Cruz's home run total places him 19th in the majors, and he ranks 41st in RBI.
• De La Cruz carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with three home runs, two walks and five RBI.
• Chisholm is batting .236 with six doubles, a triple, five home runs and 16 walks.
• Chisholm ranks 57th in home runs and 47th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Josh Bell is batting .201 with three doubles, four home runs and 14 walks.
• Nick Gordon has three doubles, five home runs and four walks while hitting .198.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Dodgers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments in this matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Los Angeles Dodgers.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - 05/10/2024