Last week's gambling picks went 6-4, but I also added two picks on Twitter, which split, 1-1. So we finished the week 7-5. The toughest part of last week's gambling picks were we were literally one play away from 9-3.
If Michigan doesn't convert their 4th and 5 in the first overtime then we go 9-3 for the week. Instead we lost the under -- which was criminal since it took double overtime to happen and was clearly the right side of the bet -- and Ohio State -6.5.
But the positive to take away is that Outkick's picks are now 85-67 on the year, for a winning percentage of 56%.
Since we won at a 60% rate last year, that's a pretty solid two year run on free picks. Pay me back by going to outkickgear.com and buying Outkick shirts, pants and hats. Everything is 20% off if you use the code "dbap" and spend more than $60.
Can we get back to 60% again this year? We can certainly try. The best way to do that? By going 8-0 this weekend.
So here we go.
Washington -7.5 vs. Colorado
The play here is simple, Washington is peaking at the right time and despite an incredible season Colorado is overmatched with talent. The Huskies put the Buffaloes away early and you've locked up a nice 1-0 start to the weekend before Friday night drinking even gets started.
Baylor at West Virginia -17.5
Baylor has lost five games in a row and has quit on the season. You know where a bad place to go is when you've quit on the season? Morgantown, West Virginia. Baylor has lost their last four games by 18 or more.
You know what I call that?
A trend.
Mountaineers by a billion. (Or at least 18)
Oklahoma State at Oklahoma, the under 77.5
I will never bet an over on a conference title game that can end with a score of 42-35 and I still lose.
Here's the deal, both teams are trying to win the Big 12 title. And it's a rivalry game. That means nerves are in play early and neither team comes out of the gate firing on all cylinders.
I know when neither team has a defense it's always scary to bet unders, but trust me on this one, 77.5 is too high.
Florida at Bama -24 and the over 41
I told you guys to bet this game at Bama -20.5 last week when it first came out. Full disclosure: I put lots of money on Bama -20.5 and I've never been more confident in a bet. I'm not sure the Gators cross midfield in this game. In fact, the only way Florida scores is via punt return or on defense. Alabama has not allowed a touchdown since October and the Gator offense is pure trash.
The line is now up to 24 and I'm still betting it.
I also love the over here because I'm confident the Tide hangs 40 on Florida by itself.
Basically, this is going to be pure destruction. I see Bama winning 42-6.
The double blood bank guarantee is at play here, Bama and the over.
Cha-ching.
And for those of you, Bama, Florida or sad Tennessee fans who bought tickets and now are using them to watch the two teams you hate the most play, I'll be in Atlanta for the SEC title game. I may even Tweet out a bar for an Outkick meet up so make sure you're following me on Twitter.
Virginia Tech vs. Clemson, the over 58
Clemson is averaging 45 points a game over the past five games and Virginia Tech doesn't have the defense to shut down this Clemson offense, which means the Hokies have to try and score with them.
The result?
The over cashes by the end of the third quarter, baby!
Penn State +2.5 vs. Wisconsin, and the over 47.5
You know how I said to always take Wisconsin and the under? Welp, I'm flipping scripts for the title game. Penn State has scored 39 or more points in every game since they beat Ohio State and Wisconsin has scored 31 or more in each of the last three weeks.
The result?
Points are coming to Indianapolis.
This will make it five of the six Big Ten title games that have gone over 48 points. (The only one that didn't was last year.)
I also love Penn State to win this game outright.
So go 2-0 on the Big Ten title game by taking Penn State and the over.
...
Bang, that's how you go 8-0 kids.
