Oklahoma State, Ole Miss shrink to fit in Cotton Bowl

Oklahoma State, Ole Miss shrink to fit in Cotton Bowl

Published Jan. 2, 2010 1:54 a.m. ET

But the Cotton Bowl is hardly a bad prize at the end of the year and the teams really weren’t that bad; they simply weren’t as good as advertised.

Oklahoma State at least has a few good excuses. All-America WR Dez Bryant played all of three games before getting suspended for the season thanks to a bizarre and vindictive NCAA ruling. Bryant didn’t get in trouble for meeting with Deion Sanders; he got in trouble for lying to the NCAA and saying he didn’t meet with Sanders. All-star RB Kendall Hunter hurt his ankle and was never quite right, and the offense that was supposed to be a lock to average 40 points per game struggled to find its explosiveness and consistency.

But even with all of the problems and a stunning early-season home loss to Houston, the Cowboys were in a position to get to the BCS with a 9-2 record and a date with struggling Oklahoma to close out the year. Instead of playing inspired football that would’ve led to a spot in the Fiesta Bowl and a date with TCU, the Cowboys got stomped in Norman, losing 27-0 and gaining just 47 passing yards and 62 on the ground. After getting blasted by Oregon in last year’s Holiday Bowl, and with the losses to Texas and Oklahoma this season, this is a program that needs to prove it can win the really big game.

Beating Georgia to start the season appeared to be special, but the Bulldogs turned out to not be very good. Beating Missouri and Texas Tech was nice, but neither game caused much of a ripple on a national scale. A victory over Ole Miss would mean a 10-win season, and even after all the problems and all the failed expectations, this would still be successful season.

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Ole Miss didn’t have the same problems that OSU did. Instead, the Rebels simply didn’t play well outside of a brilliant 42-17 destruction of Tennessee. QB Jevan Snead, who was touted as a possible Heisman candidate and a first-round NFL draft pick, had a miserable season, the defense wasn’t quite as dominant as expected, and the turnovers kept coming and coming. Like Oklahoma State, the Rebels had their chances to make big statements and failed when it seemed like things were turning around.

They were good enough to beat Tennessee and LSU in back-to-back games, and then they didn’t show up in the rivalry game loss at Mississippi State, losing 41-27. They were impressive against Arkansas and clunked against Auburn. The best road win was at Vanderbilt, there was a brutally ugly loss at South Carolina and all SEC title hopes were gone by mid-October. But there’s still plenty of firepower and plenty of talent to get excited about, and if Houston Nutt’s club can win a fourth straight bowl game (but the previous two wins came in 2002 and 2004), this will once again be one of the hot teams going into 2010.

While neither team was what everyone hoped for, they should be jacked up to end the season on a high note, and more than that, they really aren’t that bad. They’re inconsistent, but they each have loads of talent and athleticism and they can each play at a high level when everything is clicking.

Ole Miss is going for its eighth bowl win in its past nine, while Oklahoma State will try to even the score for the last time the two teams played in the Cotton Bowl, when Eli Manning’s Rebels won a 31-28 thriller in 2004.

The SEC has won five of the past six Cotton Bowls with the one loss the 2008 Missouri blowout over Arkansas, which was coachless after losing Nutt to Ole Miss. This one should be as competitive and entertaining as any of the matchup this decade.

Players to Watch: Ole Miss senior RB Dexter McCluster is the one weapon in the game who can win it by himself. A slower, less talented Chris Johnson, the diminutive playmaker isn’t built to take a pounding and he’ll rarely get the hard yards, but the coaching staff won’t be saving him for anything in his final collegiate game and will get the ball to him in a variety of ways, including as a Wildcat quarterback.

Often saved for when needed, as in the loss to South Carolina when he was unleashed late and almost pulled out the win, he can carry the ball 25 times, as he did against Tennessee, and isn’t a bad receiver out of the backfield, catching 39 passes for 475 yards and three scores. He turned on the production over the second half of the season and finished with 985 rushing yards and six scores. He’ll be a lock to hit the 1,000-yard mark after the first drive.

If it’s possible to get excited about an offensive lineman, Oklahoma State’s Russell Okung is one to keep an eye on. A certain first-round draft pick and the possible first tackle taken, the 6-5, 302-pounder has been a fixture on all-star teams over the past few years.

He’s brilliant in pass protection, keeping Texas star Brian Orakpo under wraps last year and erasing Texas A&M’s Von Miller, the nation’s leading sacker, this season. If he can neutralize Kentrell Lockett, an NFL-caliber pass rusher who made five sacks and ten tackles for loss this year, the price tag will go up and he’ll be a certain top-10 pick.

Before the season, there were some NFL types who threw out Jevan Snead as a possible top overall pick with the size, the talent, and the arm to make scouts drool.

When he gets time to set his feet and drive the ball, he can look as good as any quarterback in the country with every throw in the arsenal. But if he has make a quick read, has to improvise or is under pressure in any way, he’ll make major errors and is more than happy to give the ball to the other side, with 17 picks on the year, including five games with two picks or more. He’ll put up yards, but he has to hit 60 percent of his throws, has to throw more touchdown passes than picks and he has to get hot early.

Oklahoma State will win if ... The running game works. The Rebels run defense has been fine, but nothing special and was run over by Alabama and run around by QB Joe Webb, who ran for 121 yards and a score, and UAB. Mississippi State and Anthony Dixon were able to tear off 317 yards and two scores, and there was some help from QB Chris Relf, who ran for 131 yards and a score.

Kendall Hunter has had time to rest and should finally be healthy enough to play like the All-American he was supposed to be before his ankle gave him problems, but the big key could be Zac Robinson, the team’s second-leading rusher. The senior quarterback ran for 562 yards and eight scores last year, but he was kept under wraps this season rushing for 296 yards and four touchdowns. However, he’s not afraid to take off, running 19 times for 99 yards against Texas Tech before getting knocked out, and if he runs for 75 yards or more, OSU will win. The Cowboys are 5-0 this year when they run for 195 yards or more.

Ole Miss will win if ... Both the running and passing games click. Ole Miss can throw, and will, but it’s better when McCluster and the running game are controlling the offense. The Rebels have rushed for 20 touchdowns this year, with 19 of them coming in the eight wins. The only rushing score in the four losses came against Auburn, but Snead was awful, completing 16-of-35 passes for 175 yards and a touchdown with two interceptions. McCluster will be the star of the Ole Miss show, but the Rebels can’t win unless Snead is decent.

In the eight wins, Snead completed 143-of-209 passes (averaging 68%) with 15 touchdowns and eight interceptions, and in the four losses he completed 51-of-119 (43%) passes with five touchdowns and nine interceptions. He doesn’t have to carry the offense, but he has to not be awful while the OSU defense focuses all efforts on McCluster.

What will happen: Oklahoma State has the weapons and the improved defense to get to Snead and force him into some major mistakes. What it doesn’t have is an answer for McCluster, who’ll run for more than 150 yards and will touch the ball 30 times on his way to becoming one of the stars of the bowl season. Snead will give away two picks and Oklahoma State will take advantage, but the Rebels defensive front will get to Robinson, too, and the Cowboys running game won’t be quite enough to overcome two big home runs from McCluster.

 

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