Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 4

Updated May. 4, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

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The Arizona Diamondbacks and Christian Walker head into the second of a three-game series against Fernando Tatis Jr. and the San Diego Padres on Saturday at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks have been listed as -120 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Padres (+100). San Diego (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 9.5 runs for the contest.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks game on Friday, May 3.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Padres 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 52%, Padres 48%

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Diamondbacks have won eight, or 53.3%, of the 15 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Arizona has a record of 6-7 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
• The Padres have been victorious in five, or 38.5%, of the 13 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, San Diego has been victorious three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

SD 13 · AZ 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

San Diego Padres

SD

+1.5

-101

o8.5

Arizona Diamondbacks

AZ

-1.5

-119

u8.5

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• Over the last 10 games, the Diamondbacks were listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just one time, a game they lost.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Diamondbacks' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• The Diamondbacks best hitter so far this season is Ketel Marte, who's hitting at a team-leading .308 clip along with five homers and 15 RBI.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Marte is 42nd in home runs and 77th in RBI.
• Marte brings a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with four doubles, a walk and an RBI.
• Walker has shown his power as he paces his team with seven home runs and 22 runs batted in.
• Walker ranks 13th in homers and 15th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has accumulated a team-best 22 runs batted in.
• Blaze Alexander is hitting .299 with five doubles, three home runs and 10 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

Learn more about this Diamondbacks vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Padres have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
• The Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Padres have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Jake Cronenworth has driven in the most runs for the Padres with 25 runs batted in.
• Cronenworth's home run total puts him 25th in MLB, and he is fifth in RBI.
• Cronenworth has collected a hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .325 with five doubles, three home runs, three walks and 11 RBI.
• Tatis has hit a team-best seven home runs.
• Tatis ranks 13th in home runs and 24th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Jurickson Profar has accumulated a team-best batting average of .333.
• Ha-Seong Kim is batting .211 with four doubles, two triples, four home runs and 20 walks.

Padres Team Props

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks game on Friday, May 3.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks - 05/05/2024