Gilbert Arenas thinks he knows how to beat the Warriors

Former NBA star Gilbert Arenas has been active on Instagram lately, offering random bits of basketball-related advice and strategies to whoever will listen.

In one of his latest posts, Arenas claims he has a radical idea to stop the Warriors from the No. 8 seed’s perspective (currently the Houston Rockets): Double team and even face-guard Stephen Curry with Patrick Beverley and James Harden the entire game, hold him to 0-5 points, and live with playing defense 3-against-4:

Someone asked if I coached against #GS in the playoff could i beat them since i pay attention to details…IF the playoffs started now,I would be coaching Houston as the 8th seed…to beat any team in the playoffs u have to understand that team and what makes them GO…the most important player on #GSteam is #curry..second most IMPORTANT is #Green..but second BEST player is clay…so to beat this team u have to understand the two most IMPORTANT players..you have curry avg 30.5 and 6.6 asst..#Green avg 13.7 and 7.4 asst…so these 2 are combining for (44.2ppg)while dishing out (14 asst)..u take the (14 asst) and with #GS shooting a ton of 3's u say every asst is worth 2.5 points,giving u (35 points)..so these two players alone are producing (79.2 out of 110-120gs points)but I cant explain a full game plan in a post so ill do game 1…the percentage of a 8th seed winning game 1 is low so ill take an unorthodox approach(currys game is fast shooting,creativity and CONFIDENCE) my job is to break his confidence.. So game 1 I will run a triangle and 2 on him #highschool style #patrick #harden double team curry (double MEANS u two stay with curry AT ALL TIMES I dont want him getting no shots up..so its a 4 against 3..I know what ur thinking I will get killed playing my 3 defenders against 4 offensive players (maybe) but have u seen james defense it's usually 4 against 5 anyways so ill use him and patrick to just FACE guard curry (if curry drinks water #james #pat better be close enough to tell if it was #figi or #tap) this method will kill currys confidence no matter how much he wants to win..to be a back 2 back MVP and hottest man on the planet. score 0-5 points in a game becuz theyre doubling me even WHEN I dont have the ball….if curry takes it out both players are guarding him,james and pat will never help or defensive rebound just make sure curry dont touch the ball…To KNOW YOU WONT SCORE and HIT BIG shots for the crowd is a bad feeling to a player who strives off EACH shot he makes..(thats all I can give u is game 1) haha if imma lose IMMA lose but win #psychologicalWareGame o

A photo posted by @gilbertarenasrealrealitytv on

It’s a bold strategy, Cotton. But it almost certainly wouldn’t work.

Arenas’ argument makes some sense, in theory, but it’s not as if defenses haven’t tried similar tactics — albeit not to his extent — to no avail.

Opponents have tried to aggressively defend Curry around the 3-point arc and when he’s involved in pick-and-rolls, showing high and often doubling or trying to trap him near a sideline. There’s rarely a moment when he’s off the ball that he doesn’t have at least one defender within a couple feet of him. That’s every defense’s m.o.

The Warriors know this, though, and have perfected the subsequent actions after Curry gets rid of the ball. Draymond Green — often Curry’s screener — will flash to receive a quick pass from Curry and then attack downhill, flanked with two shooters in each corner (Klay Thompson, Harrison Barnes, Andre Iguodala, etc.) and a big man near the rim (Andrew Bogut or Festus Ezeli). 

Then, it’s pick your poison. 

Most defenses aren’t fast enough to recover, giving the Warriors a 4-on-3 advantage, which is often the kiss of death. Green can drive and score himself, dish out to an open shooter (if you dare leave one), or throw a lob to Bogut or Ezeli to slam home.

The sequence looks like this:

It doesn’t work every time, but the success rate is high enough that defenses have to think twice about committing a second defender to Curry. And if you continue to do that, he’ll make you pay continuously:

Sure, not scoring in a game would probably bother Curry to an extent, but if the Warriors continue to pick apart your defense and build an insurmountable lead, it doesn’t really matter.

Plus, there’s almost no way — even if you threw two guys at him — Curry would only score 5 points in a game. The Warriors will find a way to get him open off the ball — by using Iguodala or Shaun Livingston or Leandro Barbosa or, heck, even Draymond Green as the lead ball-handler — or use that attention to generate baskets for the rest of his teammates.

And good luck hounding him in transition:

If stopping the Warriors was as simple as throwing two defenders at Curry, someone would’ve figured that out by now. Golden State moves the ball too well and is simply too good at shooting to be bogged down by a high school defensive scheme.

Arenas has a good point, though: You can’t let Curry get his and create for his teammates. That’s obvious. It’s an either-or situation.

It’s just nearly impossible to decide which outcome is worse.

Jovan Buha covers the NBA for FOX Sports. Follow him on Twitter: @jovanbuha.