Welcome to our daily look at daily fantasy baseball. We’ll use DraftKings salaries to give you some tips and advice on the day’s action. We’ll play the 15-game main slate.
Remember to check lineups and weather as gametimes approach. We’ll publish this piece in the mornings, and a lot can happen during the day. If Dusty Baker decides to bench Bryce Harper at the last minute, don’t blame us!
I’ll plan to wager $6 per day on DraftKings - $5 on a cash lineup, $1 on a tournament version (usually single-entry) – and track my progress all season. If you’re a more serious player who doesn’t want to trust his or her bankroll on a guy who enters six bucks a day, I’ll understand.
Solid night for the main recommendations. Lock Jose Altuve homered. Bargains Trevor Cahill (29.7 DK points) and Michael Conforto (12) did well, as did the popular Yankee stack depending on how you deployed it (I had Judge, but not Gardner).
Our cash lineup missed on a night with tons of offense, but the tournament lineup paid off a little bit. Still waiting for a big score, though.
Season status: Plus $12.50
Troy Taormina-USA TODAY SportsTroy Taormina
News & notes
Jake Arrieta ($10,900) is the night’s biggest favorite at minus-192 over the Phillies … The highest projected run total is Orioles-Red Sox (Gausman-Pomeranz) at nine, with the lowest being Giants-Dodgers (Samardzija-Urias) at seven … Brewers-Cardinals is a likely postponement, with steady rain forecast for the next 48 hours in St. Louis. We’ll omit players from this game in the content below … The weather in Kansas City should clear up by mid-afternoon.
Cole Hamels was scratched Tuesday with an oblique issue; his status is TBD … Kris Bryant left Tuesday’s game with calf tightness, but expects to play tonight … Miguel Cabrera exited early after his groin tightened up again, but the Tigers don’t sound concerned … The Yankees aren’t sure if Jacoby Ellsbury (elbow) will need a DL stint, but don’t expect to see him tonight … Gary Sanchez homered in a Tuesday rehab game, and could get activated Friday … Evan Longoria (foot) and Ryan Braun (trapezius) sat again Tuesday.
It’s Robinson Cano, who is 6-for-15 with a couple of homers against Ricky Nolasco. BvP aside, Cano’s $4,200 salary is reasonable, and the alternatives at second base are pretty bad.
Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY SportsJoe Nicholson
Cash: Jay Bruce has nine homers with a .990 OPS. I have no idea why he’s only $3,200 against Bartolo Colon.
Tournaments: Rickie Weeks ($2,600) and Michael Morse ($2,200) are first basemen who will bat in the hearts of their lineups against hittable southpaws. Heck, Morse also fits at OF, so you can play both of them.
The Nats ought to be popular against Robbie Ray, as they have an outrageous .456 wOBA vs. LHP. Less so for the Red Sox versus the struggling Kevin Gausman, but they’re a little bit cheaper.
If you want to pivot, look at the Blue Jays against CC Sabathia, the Pirates against Rookie Davis, or the Angels versus Hisashi Iwakuma, who looks done and has given up six homers in 26 innings. Fastballs of 85 mph will get you in that kind of trouble. These last three teams are bad lineups facing bad pitchers.
The Guys to Avoid
I’d stay away from Arrieta against a better-than-you-think Phillies lineup. Also, with Marcus Stroman bringing his ground-ball arsenal to Yankee Stadium, you might want to get off the Aaron Judge train for one night. Stroman isn’t great, but he’s stingy with home runs (career 0.72 per nine IP).
Benny SieuBenny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
Position notes & suggestions
Starting pitcher: With 35 strikeouts over his last three starts, Jacob deGrom ($10,400) is the best of the high-priced starters. Carlos Carrasco and Stroman have tough matchups, and Arrieta has been very shaky so far … Drew Pomeranz ($8,100) faces an Orioles’ squad that owns MLB’s worst K rate vs. LHP … Hector Santiago ($7,500) is a decent mid-range target vs. an A’s team that doesn't hit lefties well, and has whiffed in 23.6 percent of their plate appearances against them … The White Sox have been horrible vs. RHP, ranking at the bottom of MLB by a decent margin. That puts Nathan Karns ($6,800) in play … Colorado’s Antonio Senzatela ($6,200) is an interesting flier at San Diego. He’s been OK so far (2.81 ERA), and the Padres could help his K rate … Lastly, I’m not one for small sample sizes, but Nick Martinez’s fastball velocity is up by almost two mph over his first two starts of this season. Facing the Astros is no easy task, though.
Catcher: Do I mention Sal Perez ($3,700) here every day? Oh, well. Against Mike Pelfrey, I have to … Buster Posey is the cash-game no-brainer vs. Julio Urias … Russell Martin ($3,500) is a solid bet to go deep vs. Sabathia … Yasmani Grandal ($3,200) has better power than most backstops, and faces Jeff Samardzija, who has given up six homers in 31 1/3 innings … Jason Castro ($2,900) is the best sub-$3K option vs. Kendall Graveman.
First base: Paul Goldschmidt ($4,900) against a lefty? Sure, if you can afford it … Ryan Zimmerman ($4,700) can certainly be considered vs. Robbie Ray, but Goldschmidt is clearly the better option … When do you buy in on Edwin Encarnacion’s slow start? Maybe when he’s just $3,900 against a mediocre lefty like Matt Boyd … Ditto for Carlos Santana ($3,800), except that he hasn’t started as slowly … If Tampa has Weeks ($2,600) back in the cleanup spot vs. Adam Conley, he and his .370 career wOBA vs. LHP will be a solid tournament option … Mike Morse ($2,200) has been batting fourth or fifth for the Giants since his call-up last week, and he has always hit southpaws well (.349 career wOBA).
Second base: Daniel Murphy ($4,800) isn’t a bad platoon split guy, so he looks pretty good vs. Ray … According to our calculations, Cano has approximately a 98.9 percent chance to homer off Ricky Nolasco tonight … Ben Zobrist ($3,900) isn’t as much of a homer threat as other second basemen, but Jerad Eickhoff allows too many flyballs … If you want to dig deep, Jed Lowrie ($2,900) against Santiago isn’t bad. I’d probably pay up for Cano or Murphy here.
Third base: So many options here … Make sure Bryant plays with his calf issue … Miguel Sano ($4,200) tops this position with 11.3 DK ppg, and faces Graveman … Evan Longoria ($4,000) would look pretty good against Adam Conley if he gets back in the lineup … If you hate Nolasco as much as I do, then you’ll like slow-starting Kyle Seager ($3,900) … Anthony Rendon is only $3,800 vs. Ray? Huh? … Justin Turner ($3,800) is a really good hitter, and Samardzija has been getting whacked … Mike Moustakas ($3,700) has seen his price go up, but he’s leading off at home vs. Mike Pelfrey, for crying out loud … Martin Prado ($3,100) has always been a lefty killer, with a .367 career wOBA against them. He’s got a matchup with Blake Snell.
Shortstop: Xander Bogaerts ($4,400) has two hits in two straight games, and should lead off vs. Gausman … Jean Segura ($4,200) is another anti-Nolasco candidate … Corey Seager ($4,200) is solid vs. the homer-prone Samardzija … Chris Owings ($3,300) usually bats second vs. LHP … Atlanta is shaping up as a hitter’s park, and Asdrubal Cabrera ($3,300) faces Bartolo Colon.
Outfield: There’s a lot to like about the high-priced guys – Bryce Harper, Mike Trout, Mookie Betts, Charlie Blackmon. I’d take Trout ($5,300) … Giancarlo Stanton ($4,300) is always tantalizing against a southpaw. Same for his cheaper teammate Marcell Ozuna ($3,400) … I like all D-backs better on the road, but A.J. Pollock is in a good spot vs. Gio Gonzalez … If you don’t believe in Hector Santiago due to his homer-happy history, consider Khris Davis ($4,100) at a reasonable price … Andrew Benintendi ($3,800) is one of many Red Sox to check out vs. Gausman … Josh Reddick ($3,700) hasn’t been hitting much, but he bats second and faces Martinez … If Jayson Werth ($3,600) bats second vs. Ray, jump on him … Michael Conforto ($3,500) remains a strong play despite his rising salary … Steven Souza ($3,500) could break out of his mini-slump vs. Conley … Kevin Pillar ($3,300) has been hitting well lately (10 DK ppg in last 10), and draws the very hittable CC Sabathia … Bruce is mentioned above … Jarrod Dyson is your cheap option at $2,900. Yes, we know he has no power.
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