Welcome to our daily look at daily fantasy baseball. We’ll use DraftKings salaries to give you some tips and advice on the day’s action. We’ll play the 10-game night slate.
Remember to check lineups and weather as gametimes approach. We’ll publish this piece in the mornings, and a lot can happen during the day. If Dusty Baker decides to bench Bryce Harper at the last minute, don’t blame us!
I’ll plan to wager $6 per day on DraftKings - $5 on a cash lineup, $1 on a tournament version (usually single-entry) – and track my progress all season. If you’re a more serious player who doesn’t want to trust his or her bankroll on a guy who enters six bucks a day, I’ll understand.
Copyright The Associated Press. All rights reserved.AP
For a $3,900 lock of the day, Andrew Benintendi’s 17 DK points were solid. The D-backs and Astros were weak in the stacking department (Nats and Red Sox were much better), and Manuel Margot notched only a single as our bargain pick. The lineups both fell short.
You know which line from Tuesday bothers me? “Michael Conforto ($4,800) and David Peralta ($4,700) look terrific in the next tier” of OFs. I played Peralta (three DK points) instead of Conforto (37). Oh, well.
Season status: Minus $4.50
News & notes
The night’s biggest favorite is Chris Sale ($13,500) at minus-285 over the Rangers. Maybe it’s because there are fewer pitchers to choose from, but Sale is more expensive than Clayton Kershaw was on Tuesday. Sale aims for a ninth consecutive start with double-digit strikeouts … Three games – Pirates-Braves, Tigers-Astros and Mariners-Nats – have projected run totals of nine. The games with the expected fireworks are during the day, so no Diamondbacks for you! … The weather in Chicago for Giants-Cubs looks shaky.
Cash: Let’s go with Rockies SP Tyler Chatwood ($6,900), who has a respectable 3.91 road ERA, and faces a slumping Phillies’ squad. A top three of Hernandez-Galvis-Altherr doesn’t scare anyone. Over the last month, the Phils are 25th in the majors in wOBA (.312) and 28th in runs (101).
Tournaments: Padres OF Manuel Margot ($2,800) has just five hits in his last 32 at-bats, but he’s inexpensive and leading off against a very hittable pitcher in Robert Gsellman. Teammate Austin Hedges ($2,500) isn't a bad all-or-nothing option at catcher, either.
The Nats, Yankees and Cubs are the best stacks, in that order of preference. If you want to be a little bit different, look to the Braves against Pirates’ rookie Trevor Williams, who came up with a reputation as a sinkerballer but keeps giving up home runs (nine in 38 MLB IP). Tuesday’s top five for the Braves was Inciarte-Phillips-Markakis-Kemp-Adams.
The Guys to Avoid
Obviously, the Rangers against Sale. Shin-Soo Choo has whiffed 10 times in 22 plate appearances versus the Red Sox ace.
Mark J. RebilasMark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Starting pitcher: If you roster Sale – you obviously want to – the low-priced SP2s to consider are Tyler Chatwood ($6,900 @PHI) or Robert Gsellman ($6,200 vs. SD). I mean, you could upgrade to Tanner Roark ($7,800 vs. SEA) or Ricky Nolasco ($7,700 @TB), but you’ll have less than $29K to spend on hitters … Luis Severino ($9,900 vs. KC) and Kyle Hendricks ($8,500 vs. SF) are both solid cash game options against bad opponents. Severino has more tournament upside, though … Charlie Morton ($8,600) faces a Tiger lineup that can score but strikes out plenty.
Catcher: Today might be a day to pay for Gary Sanchez ($4,500), since the next tier of options isn’t good … With Brian McCann on the DL, Evan Gattis ($3,600) will play vs. LHP Daniel Norris. He’s gotta start hitting more homers soon … If Alex Avila ($3,500) is in the Tigers’ lineup, he’s in play vs. Morton … Did you know that Kurt Suzuki ($3,200) has 65 DK points over his last four games? He’ll face one of the most hittable pitchers on the schedule in Trevor Williams … San Diego’s Austin Hedges ($2,500) is the cheap play. However, the bad pitcher he faces (Gsellman) is a groundball guy, making a home run less likely.
First base: Near the top of the salary list, I prefer Ryan Zimmerman ($4,600) to Hanley Ramirez and Cody Bellinger due to opposing pitcher … LoMo is $4,100 vs. Nolasco … Julio Teheran gets hit pretty hard by LHB (.800 career OPS, .347 career wOBA), making Josh Bell ($3,900) an option … Matt Adams ($3,500) has homered in two of three games since joining the Braves, and faces Williams … BvP alert: Rickie Weeks ($2,700) has 11 hits in 24 at-bats vs. Nolasco.
Second base: It’s Jose Altuve ($5,100) by a hair over Daniel Murphy among the elite options. Altuve has a career .384 wOBA vs. LHP, and Norris isn’t exactly Kershaw or Sale … Ian Happ ($4,100) vs. a shaky Matt Moore is an option, but I’d rather use Starlin Castro ($3,700) vs. Jason Hammel … Bucs’ leadoff hitter Adam Frazier ($3,800) is in a solid spot tonight for the same reason as Bell at 1B … Yangervis Solarte ($2,800) had two hits on Tuesday. It’s hard to identify that as a reason to think he’s breaking out of his slump, but at $2,800 vs. Gsellman, he’s worth a look in tournaments. Solarte isn’t as bad as he’s been lately.
Third base: Kris Bryant ($5,100) is the big-money play vs. Moore … As much as I like Luis Severino, he has allowed five homers in 23 innings at Yankee Stadium, and that’s more due to the tiny ballpark than to bad pitching. Mike Moustakas ($3,800) has to be a consideration batting in the two-hole … Anthony Rendon ($3,700) had two homers and 41 DK points on Tuesday, and faces an overmatched starter in Sam Gaviglio … Jhonny Peralta ($2,900) has four hits in nine at-bats since returning from an illness … The Padres are all cheap. That’s because they’re mostly bad hitters, but against Gsellman you could argue for one if you have to fit a small salary into a Sale lineup. Cory Spangenberg ($2,800) will probably bat sixth.
Shortstop: I’m not a big Trea Turner ($4,800) fan, but he’s the expensive pick over Bogey, Seager and Correa due to quality of opposing starter. Seager is next … Yankee Stadium slugger Didi Gregorius ($3,800) is an option vs. Hammel … I’d rather not dig deeper than Didi, but Brandon Crawford ($3,400) and Tim Beckham ($2,900) would be the options if you do. Beckham is a bad hitter who happens to bat fifth, and he has seven homer runs. If we can count on Nolasco for anything, it’s giving up homers.
Outfield: Stop me if you’ve heard this before: Bryce Harper ($5,400) is the best of the expensive options because he’s facing Gaviglio … Remember two months ago, when the Mets weren’t sure how they were going to get at bats for Michael Conforto ($4,900)? … Braves Matt Kemp ($4,800) and Ender Inciarte ($4,300) are awfully tempting vs. Williams … Jacoby Ellsbury ($3,900) looks good vs. Hammel, but he could bat anywhere between first and sixth in the order … Red Sox OF Chris Young ($3,600) is 4-for-7 with a homer vs. Martin Perez. That’s obviously an extremely small sample, but Young hits lefties very well … Adams fits here, too … Manuel Margot is $2,800 again. For a reason why you can use him, refer to the Cory Spangenberg explanation at 3B. Margot is the best cheap Padre, and I know that’s not saying much.
Copyright The Associated Press. All rights reserved.AP
Note: Gamel only stays in the cash lineup if he bats second. If he's lower, I'll make an adjustment or two.