Hopefully, you took Vanderbilt on the moneyline last week. If you did, and judging by Twitter lots of you did, you got a nice payday on that one.
The Outkick picks went 4-3 after both Arkansas and Mississippi State scored fourth quarter touchdowns to kill what would have otherwise been a near-perfect day.
That’s gambling life.
We’re back, baby.
Now 35-32 on the season.
Let’s keep making money.
Here are Outkick’s seven picks for this week.
Kentucky at Vandy -12.5
The ‘Dores are on a roll right now and Kentucky isn’t. I’m a bit nervous about Vandy’s ability to score many points with Patton Robinette at quarterback, but I’m pretty confident Vandy’s defense will shut down UK. The past two years between these teams have been blowouts.
Make it three years in a row.
Georgia +4 at Auburn
I don’t necessarily think Georgia’s going to win, but I do think the Bulldogs are in a decent place here.
Auburn’s rolling and feels invincible. Georgia’s withstood most of its injuries and Todd Gurley is back in decent health.
The Tigers are going to give up a decent amount of points and unlike Tennessee, the Dawg defense will stack the line and make Nick Marshall make plays in the passing game. Over the past three weeks, Auburn has thrown the ball just 34 times — that’s less than every other team in America.
Georgia keeps it close and just might steal this one late.
Utah at Oregon -26
I know Utah beat Stanford, but Oregon waxes everyone in the Pac-12 other than Stanford.
It happens again here with a big bounce-back performance for the Ducks.
Utah’s defense is its strength, but its offense is its weakness.
I see lots and lots of turnovers coming for Utah.
Michigan State at Nebraska +7
Dirty little Big Ten secret: Michigan State’s not that good.
What’s State’s best win all year?
It’s a road win at 6-4 Iowa.
Nebraska isn’t exactly rolling, but it managed to beat Northwestern and Michigan the past two weeks.
And that counts as rolling in the Big Ten.
The Cornhuskers cover.
Texas Tech at Baylor -27
Texas Tech has given up 101 points in its past two home games.
This game is a neutral site contest at Jerry World.
Go ahead and pencil Baylor in for 60 here.
I’d take the over, but I think Baylor’s defense could really play well against Tech and keep them from covering the number.
Florida at South Carolina -13
Steve Spurrier smells blood in the water.
That’s because there is blood in the water.
The Gators are in a total freefall and South Carolina can finish off its SEC season at 6-2 and put the pressure on Missouri for the next two weeks.
‘Cocks win big.
Alabama -24.5 at Mississippi State
Mississippi State is a bad football team. Meanwhile, Alabama is the best football team in the country.
The end result?
The Tide keeps rolling.
Outkick’s TV Viewer Guide:
1. Start off your day with us on Fox College Saturday from 10-12 ET on FS1.
Last week, you missed Nick Saban as a Dolphin!
After this, there really aren’t any good games early in the day. So I’d suggest brunch with the wife or girlfriend before things really get rolling come the afternoon.
2. Georgia at Auburn 3:30 ET, CBS
Get ready because I think this will be truly outstanding game.
I love Gus Malzahn and what he’s done at Auburn, but I think Georgia can sneak up on Auburn here. Remember that the only team to beat Georgia all season with a healthy Todd Gurley was Clemson in the first week of the season.
Auburn’s defense is suspect, especially given that Aaron Murray and crew have had a couple of weeks to get ready.
3. Oklahoma State at Texas, 3:30 ET, FOX
The most inexplicable loss of the season is Oklahoma State at West Virginia. (the second most inexplicable is South Carolina at Tennessee). If Oklahoma State wins that West Virginia game — the Cowboys were 19-point favorites — then we’re talking about OSU and Baylor’s massive undefeated Big 12 match-up.
Instead, this game is still massive, but for different reasons.
If OSU loses, the Cowboys are eliminated from the Big 12 race. If Texas can win, Mack Brown will probably roll into Baylor with a 9-2 record and the Big 12 title on the line.
Winning this game could also help set up Texas against Texas A&M in the Cotton Bowl.
4. Michigan State at Nebraska, 3:30 ET, ABC
The Big Ten has basically given up on competing with Ohio State and seems to be conspiring to drag down the entire conference instead.
As a result, Ohio State keeps hitting the football glass ceiling, the Buckeyes dominate a bad conference but can’t get any national respect.
Michigan may have five losses by the time Ohio State comes to Ann Arbor.
So the Buckeyes last, best hope is that Michigan State is 11-1.
So what does that mean?
Nebraska’s probably going to find a way to win this one and blow up the Big Ten.
5. Texas Tech vs. Baylor, 7 ET, FOX
Some of you still haven’t watched Baylor play.
Stop making excuses. The Bears are really, really good.
Plus, while Tech’s falling back to earth, Kliff Kingsbury’s hair is still spectacular.
6. Florida at South Carolina, 7 ET, ESPN 2
Remember when it was a huge upset when Steve Spurrier beat the Gators?
Now the ‘Cocks are favored by almost two touchdowns.
Given their performance on the road against Tennessee, that makes me nervous.
But Florida still can’t score no matter who the quarterback is, right?
7. Alabama at Mississippi State, 7:45 ET ESPN
Saban says Mississippi State is the best 4-5 team in the country.
There’s only one possible response: Dan Mullen gets an extension!
Of course, Saban also kept saying Derek Dooley was doing a great job at Tennessee.
How’d that turn out?
About as well as this game is going to go for Mississippi State.
8. Stanford at USC, 8 ET, ABC
The line on this game is only Stanford -3.
That shocked me.
Look out, if Coach Orgeron wins this one he could end up being seriously considered for the USC head job.
On behalf of college football fans everywhere, please let this happen.