We've reached Week 10 of the college football season. Here are my picks against the spread for this week's best games.
Last week ATS: 6-5
UCLA at Colorado (-13, Thursday)
The Bruins are a reeling sub-.500 team that can’t run the ball (ranking 127th out of 128 FBS teams) going against a veteran Buffs defense currently ranked ninth in the country (4.57 yards per play). This is not a winning formula for UCLA.
Texas’ secondary struggles badly at open-field tackling, which doesn’t bode well against Pat Mahomes and his receivers. But Texas Tech’s defense struggles at everything -- it ranks 125th nationally (6.67 YPP) -- and D’Onta Foreman may well go off for another 250-yard game.
One of college football’s fiercest rivalries of the past several years takes a damper with Art Briles’ ouster and the 4-4 Horned Frogs’ struggles. TCU’s defense keeps improving, but its offense is a mess right now.
Opponents are completing just 39.3 percent of their passes against Florida’s top-rated pass defense thanks to shutdown CBs Jalen Tabor and Quincy Wilson. That will negate Arkansas’ biggest bright spot to this point, QB Austin Allen.
NC State’s defense is pretty good, but it’s hard to imagine the Wolfpack will be able to slow down FSU star Dalvin Cook for four quarters. And if he breaks a couple of long touchdowns, NC State doesn’t have the firepower to match him.
Penn State’s offense has taken huge strides the past several games, as a vastly improved offensive line is allowing star RB Saquon Barkley to go off. He might not steamroll the Hawkeyes, but Penn State should still win comfortably.
Leonard Fournette will manage much better than last year’s 31 yards on 19 carries, and perhaps even put an early scare into Alabama. But the Tigers aren’t dynamic enough to rack up points on the Tide, who will dominate the fourth quarter.
The Buckeyes aren’t blowing out anyone these days, so it’s hard to imagine them running the Huskers out of the stadium. But Ohio State’s defense won’t allow Nebraska QB Tommy Armstrong to get much going.
Washington’s second of back-to-back road games could be trickier than expected. But the Huskies’ stout pass-rush should affect Bears QB Davis Webb, while Washington RB Myles Gaskin gashes Cal’s atrocious run defense.
Surely all those Top 10 opponents, overtime games and defensive injuries have to catch up to the Badgers at some point, right? Northwestern has the Big Ten’s No. 1 receiver (Austin Carr), No. 2 rusher (Justin Jackson) and a not-bad defense.