Bracket Watch: Teams that could reach Tournament with one more win

Thursday’s conference tourney action had only one result with bubble implications –€“ Vanderbilt fell to lowly Tennessee and in turn fell into my Last Four In. Friday, however, brings several matchups that could shape the bracket.

Michigan vs. Indiana (Noon ET): The Wolverines currently sit in my Next Four Out, but an upset of the Big Ten’s regular-season champ may just vault the Big Ten’s eighth seed into safe haven.

Florida vs. Texas A&M (1 p.m. ET): The Gators, currently in my First Four Out, would similarly benefit by knocking off the SEC’s top seed. It would become Florida’s third RPI Top 50 win.

Connecticut vs. Cincinnati (2 p.m. ET): It’s a big one for both AAC teams, but the Huskies — who barely sit on the right side of the bubble — need it more. They’d likely lock down a tourney berth.

George Washington vs. St. Joe’s (2:30 p.m. ET): St. Joe’s is currently my first team out, so the Hawks really need to avoid this upset, while GW likely needs to this and one more A-10 tourney game.

Memphis vs. Tulsa (9 p.m. ET): Tulsa, the American tourney’s No. 3 seed, cannot afford a loss to the sixth-seeded Tigers.

Davidson vs. St. Bonaventure (9 p.m. ET): The Bonnies are also among my Last Four In, and this A-10 tourney 3 vs. 6 game could be tricky for them. Davidson has won 19 games.

NOTE: Teams in ALL CAPS have secured an automatic berth. For all other conferences, the highest remaining seed in this week’s conference tournaments is designated as the automatic berth (*).

Midwest Region (Chicago)
Seed
Team
Location
1
Kansas*
at Des Moines
16
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON*/HOLY CROSS*
8
Providence
9
Cincinnati
4
Purdue
at Spokane
13
Akron*
5
Cal
12
Stephen F. Austin*
6
Texas
at Providence
11
Connecticut/St. Bonaventure
3
North Carolina*
14
IONA*
7
Oregon State
at St. Louis
10
Vanderbilt/St.Mary’s
2
Xavier
15
Middle Tennessee*