Padres vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 28

Updated Apr. 28, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Ha-Seong Kim and the San Diego Padres will take on Alec Bohm and the Philadelphia Phillies at PETCO Park in the final of a three-game series, Sunday at 4:10 PM ET. The favored Padres have -147 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Phillies, who are listed at +124. San Diego is a 1.5-run favorite (at +137 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup (with -116 odds on the over and -104 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Padres-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the San Diego Padres.

Padres vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to Watch on TV: SDPA

Padres vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Phillies 49%

Padres vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 17 games this season and won nine (52.9%) of those contests.
• San Diego is 5-1 this season when entering a game favored by -147 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• The Phillies have come away with three wins in the six contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Philadelphia has played as an underdog of +124 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

PHI 8 · SD 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

+1.5

+123

o8

San Diego Padres

SD

-1.5

-146

u8

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• The Padres were the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and went 3-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Padres are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Kim is batting .226 with four doubles, two triples, four home runs and 17 walks.
• Kim's home runs place him 54th in MLB, and he ranks 28th in RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has shown his power as he leads his team with six home runs.
• Among all major league hitters, Tatis ranks 15th in home runs and 51st in RBI.
• Jurickson Profar paces the Padres with 18 runs batted in.
• Profar has at least one base hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .255 with five doubles, a triple, three home runs and 12 walks.
• Cronenworth is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, two walks and three RBI.

Padres Team Props

Learn more about this Padres vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Phillies have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Phillies and their opponents are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Phillies have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Bohm leads the Phillies with 26 runs batted in while accumulating a team-high batting average of .354.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Bohm ranks 54th in home runs and second in RBI.
• Bohm carries an 11-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .525 with eight doubles, three home runs, four walks and 16 RBI.
• Trea Turner is hitting .336 with 10 doubles, two home runs and nine walks.
• Turner is 133rd in home runs and 153rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Bryce Harper has four doubles, six home runs and 13 walks while hitting .244.
• Kyle Schwarber has a team-best seven home runs.

Phillies Team Props

Phillies vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays in this matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the San Diego Padres.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres - 04/28/2024