Mets vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 17

Updated May. 17, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Bryan De La Cruz and the Miami Marlins take the field on Friday at LoanDepot park against Christian Scott, who gets the start for the New York Mets. First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET. The Mets are the favorite in this one, at -120, while the underdog Marlins have +100 odds to upset. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 7.5-run over/under is listed in the matchup.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Mets vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 17, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Marlins 5
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Marlins 48%

Mets vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 10, or 52.6%, of the 19 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season New York has won six of its 13 games, or 46.2%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Marlins have been victorious in 10, or 32.3%, of the 31 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Miami has been victorious 10 times in 29 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

NYM 0 · MIA 8

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-120

o7.5

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+100

u7.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only one time in the last 10 games, and lost that matchup.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mets are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso has homered 10 times this season, the highest mark on the Mets, while hitting .226 with 23 RBI.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Alonso's home run total ranks him eighth, and his RBI tally puts him 46th.
• Alonso takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo's 27 runs batted in lead his team.
• Nimmo is 55th in home runs and 27th in RBI on the year.
• Francisco Lindor is hitting .194 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks.
• Starling Marte is hitting .259 to lead his team.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 4-6.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• De La Cruz leads the lineup with a batting average of .256, while leading the Marlins in home runs, with nine and runs batted in with 24.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, De La Cruz is 16th in homers and 39th in RBI.
• Jazz Chisholm is batting .252 with eight doubles, two triples, five home runs and 18 walks.
• Chisholm is 74th overall in homers and 63rd in RBI this year.
• Josh Bell is hitting .212 with five doubles, five home runs and 18 walks.
• Nick Gordon is hitting .224 with three doubles, five home runs and four walks.

Marlins Team Props

Mets vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins - 05/17/2024