WhatIfSports NFL Week 7 predictions: Colts will top Saints
Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com’s NFL simulation engine generates predictions and box scores for every NFL game for the coming week. Our highly sophisticated algorithms simulate every play of every game to produce each team’s likelihood to win. Each matchup is simulated 501 times.
To account for injuries and roster moves announced late in the week, we will be re-simulating games on Thursdays through the season.
Note: Our predictions use the latest available team and player information, while NFL SimMatchup includes all players that were or will be available at any point during the 2015 season so that theoretical and "what if" scenarios can be simulated.
Week 6 in Review
The NFL simulation engine broke even in Week 6, going 7-7 in straight-up predictions. The engine was actually .500 in picking against the spread as well, finishing with a 4-4 record. Although the upset pick (Bears over Lions) and Game to Watch (Giants over Eagles) were both incorrect, our lock pick of Patriots over Colts was on the nose.
Wide Right: The big upset pick of the week didn’t exactly pan out. We predicted the Giants to beat the Eagles 57.8 percent of the time, by an average score of 25-23. Instead, the Eagles took care of business and won 27-7.
Week 7 Game to Watch
Saints at Colts: What should be a high-scoring battle also carries high stakes, as both teams desperately need a win to stay in the hunt. Our predictions have the Colts protecting their home field 61.3 percent of the time by an average score of 28-24.
Week 7 Upset Pick
Buccaneers (+3.5) over Redskins: A rookie quarterback on the road wasn’t enough to scare our engine away from picking this upset. According to our simulation, the Bucs win this one 53.7 percent of the time by an average score of 24-22.
Fantasy Start – LeSean McCoy, BUF: After returning to action and having a nice game against the Titans, our simulation engine has McCoy scoring the 9th most points of any fantasy running back with 14.5.
Fantasy Sit – Dion Lewis, NE: Our predictions have LaGarrette Blount as the back to start for New England this week, as Lewis is only projected to score 6.3 points, which would rank him 30th among all running backs.
Fantasy Add – Cole Beasley, DAL: Coming off a bye, the engine thinks Cole Beasley is going to have a big game out of the slot, scoring 10.0 fantasy points.
For more fantasy football tips, view our Week 7 player projections.
NFL Week 7 Predictions
|Matchup||Win %||Avg. Score|
|Baltimore Ravens||26.6||20||Box Score|
|@ Arizona Cardinals||73.4||28||Simulate Game|
|New York Jets||30.3||17||Box Score|
|@ New England Patriots||69.7||23||Simulate Game|
|New Orleans Saints||38.7||24||Box Score|
|@ Indianapolis Colts||61.3||28||Simulate Game|
|Philadelphia Eagles||41.1||18||Box Score|
|@ Carolina Panthers||58.9||22||Simulate Game|
|Oakland Raiders||43.5||25||Box Score|
|@ San Diego Chargers||56.5||27||Simulate Game|
|Houston Texans||43.4||19||Box Score|
|@ Miami Dolphins||56.6||21||Simulate Game|
|Dallas Cowboys||45.5||23||Box Score|
|@ New York Giants||54.5||25||Simulate Game|
|Cleveland Browns||49.7||23||Box Score|
|@ St. Louis Rams||50.3||24||Simulate Game|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||53.7||24||Box Score|
|@ Washington Redskins||46.3||22||Simulate Game|
|Buffalo Bills||57.9||24||Box Score|
|@ Jacksonville Jaguars||42.1||21||Simulate Game|
|Minnesota Vikings||64.1||24||Box Score|
|@ Detroit Lions||35.9||20||Simulate Game|
|Pittsburgh Steelers||67.1||27||Box Score|
|@ Kansas City Chiefs||32.9||21||Simulate Game|
|Seattle Seahawks||69.4||27||Box Score|
|@ San Francisco 49ers||30.6||20||Simulate Game|
|Atlanta Falcons||74.5||29||Box Score|
|@ Tennessee Titans||25.5||20||Simulate Game|