WhatIfSports 2015 NFL Locks and Upset Picks

Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com provides NFL predictions for the upcoming week, including straight up and against the spread, using its NFL simulation engine. We break down our performance from previous weeks and offer upset and lock picks for the current week. View our 2014 performance.

Additional weekly NFL content includes player projections and power rankings

Super Bowl 50

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 0.0% (0-1)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 100.0% (1-0)

Super Bowl 50: Panthers 20 vs. Patriots 16 – 61.4 win% (incorrect, Broncos won 24-10)

View Super Bowl 50 Pick

NFL Conference Championship Round

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 50.0% (1-1)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 0.0% (0-1)

AFC Conference Championship: Patriots 22 @ Broncos 20 – 56.2 win% (incorrect, Broncos won 20-18)

NFC Conference Championship: Cardinals 19 @ Panthers 20 – 50.7 win% (correct, Panthers won 49-15)

View Conference Championship NFL Picks

NFL Divisional Round

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 100.0% (4-0)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 100.0% (1-0)

AFC Divisional: Chiefs 19 @ Patriots 26 – 70.7 win% (correct, Patriots won 27-20)

NFC Divisional: Packers 19 @ Cardinals 25 – 70.5 win% (correct, Cardinals won 26-20)

NFC Divisional: Seahawks 19 @ Panthers 21 – 56.1 win% (correct, Panthers won 31-24)

AFC Divisional: Steelers 21 @ Broncos 23 – 58.7 win% (correct, Broncos won 23-16)

View Divisional NFL Picks

NFL Wild Card

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 100.0% (4-0)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 75.0% (3-1)

AFC Wild Card: Chiefs 23 @ Texans 20 – 60.8 win% (correct, Chiefs won 30-0)

AFC Wild Card: Steelers 25 @ Bengals 24 – 51.8 win% (correct, Steelers won 18-16)

NFC Wild Card: Seahawks 25 @ Vikings 21 – 58.2 win% (correct, Seahawks won 10-9)

NFC Wild Card: Packers 25 @ Redskins 21 – 60.9 win% (correct, Packers won 35-18)

View Wild Card NFL Picks

NFL Week 17

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 62.5% (10-6)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 63.6% (7-4)

Game to Watch: Vikings 23 @ Packers 24 – 54.5 win% (incorrect, Vikings won 20-13)

Lock Pick: Patriots over Dolphins – 85.8 win% SU (incorrect, Dolphins won 20-10)

Upset Pick: Eagles (+3.5) over Giants (correct, Eagles won 35-30)

View Week 17 NFL Picks

NFL Week 16

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 68.8% (11-5)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 45.5% (5-6)

Game to Watch: Packers 22 @ Cardinals 25 – 57.8 win% (correct, Cardinals won 38-8)

Lock Pick: Steelers over Ravens – 84.5 win% SU (incorrect, Ravens won 20-17)

Upset Pick: Redskins (+3) over Eagles (correct, Redskins won 38-24)

View Week 16 NFL Picks

NFL Week 15

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 62.5% (10-6)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 23.1% (3-10)

Game to Watch: Broncos 21 @ Steelers 23 – 53.9 win% (correct, Steelers won 34-27)

Lock Pick: Seahawks over Browns – 82.1 win% SU (correct, Seahawks won 30-13)

Upset Pick: Dolphins (+1) over Chargers (incorrect, Chargers won 30-14)

View Week 15 NFL Picks

NFL Week 14

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 43.8% (7-9)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 66.7% (6-3)

Game to Watch: Vikings 21 @ Cardinals 25 – 60.9 win% (correct, Cardinals won 23-20)

Lock Pick: Panthers over Falcons – 84.4 win% SU (correct, Panthers won 38-0)

Upset Pick: 49ers (+1.5) over Browns (incorrect, Browns won 24-10)

View Week 14 NFL Picks

NFL Week 13

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 62.5% (10-6)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 61.5% (8-5)

Game to Watch: Seahawks 20 @ Vikings 24 – 60.5 win% (incorrect, Vikings won 38-7)

Lock Pick: Bengals over Browns – 80.0 win% SU (correct, Bengals won 37-3)

Upset Pick: Texans (+3) over Bills (incorrect, Bills won 30-21)

View Week 13 NFL Picks

NFL Week 12

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 62.5% (10-6)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 50.0% (6-6)

Game to Watch: Patriots 23 @ Broncos 18 – 65.8 win% (incorrect, Broncos won 30-24)

Lock Pick: Cardinals over 49ers – 86.6 win% SU (correct, Cardinals won 19-13)

Upset Pick: Vikings (+2.5) over Falcons (correct, Vikings won 20-10)

View Week 12 NFL Picks

NFL Week 11

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 57.1% (8-6)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 55.6% (5-4)

Game to Watch: Bengals 22 @ Cardinals 25 – 57.6 win% (correct, Cardinals won 34-31)

Lock Pick: Panthers over Redskins – 81.8 win% SU (correct, Panthers won 44-16)

Upset Pick: Rams (+2) over Ravens (incorrect, Ravens won 16-13)

View Week 11 NFL Picks

NFL Week 10

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 42.9% (6-8)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 58.3% (7-5)

Game to Watch: Patriots 29 @ Giants 18 – 79.2 win% (correct, Patriots won 27-26)

Lock Pick: Packers over Lions – 89.9 win% SU (incorrect, Lions won 18-16)

Upset Pick: Cardinals (+3) over Seahawks (correct, Cardinals won 39-32)

View Week 10 NFL Picks

NFL Week 9

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 69.2% (9-4)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 80.0% (8-2)

Game to Watch: Eagles 25 @ Cowboys 23 – 56.9 win% (correct, Eagles won 33-27)

Lock Pick: Bengals over Browns – 88.2 win% SU (correct, Bengals won 31-10)

Upset Pick: Panthers (+2.5) over Packers (correct, Panthers won 37-29)

View Week 9 NFL Picks

NFL Week 8

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 71.4% (10-4)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 70.0% (7-3)

Game to Watch: Packers 24 @ Broncos 20 – 59.8 win% (incorrect, Broncos won 29-10)

Lock Pick: Patriots over Dolphins – 77.2 win% SU (correct, Patriots won 36-7)

Upset Pick: Chargers (+3.5) over Ravens (incorrect, Ravens won 29-26)

View Week 8 NFL Picks

NFL Week 7

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 64.3% (9-5)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 58.3% (7-5)

Game to Watch: Saints 24 @ Colts 27 – 59.0 win% (incorrect, Saints won 27-21)

Lock Pick: Cardinals over Ravens – 72.9 win% SU (correct, Cardinals won 26-18)

Upset Pick: Buccaneers (+3) over Redskins (incorrect, Redskins won 31-30)

View Week 7 NFL Picks

NFL Week 6

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 50% (7-7)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 50% (4-4)

Game to Watch: Giants 25 @ Eagles 23 – 57.8 win% (incorrect, Eagles won 27-7) 

Lock Pick: Patriots over Colts – 72.6 win% SU (correct, Patriots won 34-27)

Upset Pick: Bears (+3) over Lions (incorrect, Lions won 37-34)

View Week 6 NFL Picks

NFL Week 5

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 71.4% (10-4)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 45.5% (5-6)

Game to Watch: Seahawks 21 @ Bengals 22 – 51.5 win% (correct, Bengals won 27-24) 

Lock Pick: Patriots over Cowboys – 74.5 win% SU (correct, Patriots won 30-6)

Upset Pick: Jaguars (+2.5) over Buccaneers (incorrect, Buccaneers won 38-31)

View Week 5 NFL Picks

NFL Week 4

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 60.0% (9-6)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 50.0 (4-4)

Game to Watch: Texans 22 @ Falcons 24 – 53.9 win% (correct, Falcons won 48-21)

Lock Pick: Colts over Jaguars – 75.2 win% SU (correct, Colts won 16-13)

Upset Pick: Steelers (+3) over Ravens (incorrect, Ravens won 23-20)

View Week 4 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 3

Winning Percentage Straight Up:  81.3% (13-3)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 53.8% (7-6)

Game to Watch: Chiefs 21 @ Packers 25 – 62.0 win% (correct, Packers won 38-28)

Lock Pick: Seahawks over Bears – 82.9 win% SU (correct, Seahawks won 26-0)

Upset Pick: Chargers (+2.5) over Vikings (incorrect, Vikings won 31-14)

View Week 3 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 2

Winning Percentage Straight Up:  37.5% (6-10)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 41.7% (5-7)

Game to Watch: Seahawks 22 @ Packers 23 – 51.8 win% (correct, Packers won 27-17)

Lock Pick: Colts over Jets – 74.9 win% SU (incorrect, Jets won 20-7) 

Upset Pick: Lions (+3.0) over Vikings (incorrect, Vikings won 26-16)

View Week 2 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 1

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 68.8% (11-5)

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 61.5% (8-5)

Game to Watch: Ravens 20 @ Broncos 27 – 72.6 win% (correct, Broncos won 19-13)

Lock Pick: Packers over Bears – 82.8 win% SU (correct, Packers won 31-23)

Upset Pick: Chiefs (+1) over Texans (correct, Chiefs won 27-20)

View Week 1 NFL Picks 

Note: Any pick below 52.5% to win ATS is a NO PICK