WhatIfSports college football Week 9 predictions: Temple suffers first defeat

One-loss Notre Dame predicted to top undefeated Temple in Week 9.

Brian Spurlock/Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com’s college football simulation engine generates predictions for every Division I FBS game for the coming week. Our highly sophisticated algorithms simulate every play of every game to produce each team’s likelihood to win. Each matchup is simulated 101 times.

Week 8 in Review

The winning continues for our simulation machine. Last week, out of the 56 games, the results produced 80.4 percent winners (45-11). With the 20 games involving teams ranked in the AP Top 25, 80 percent of the predictions were correct (16-4).

Week 8 Highlight: Arkansas State 37 – Louisiana-Lafayette 27

The computer simulations suggested a 33.4-28.9 win for the Red Wolves. Vegas listed this game with an over/under of 55.5 total points. The projected results pegged this game with an average total of 62.3 points. The actual game ended with 64 points.

Week 8 Lowlight: Ole Miss 23 – Texas A&M 3

Even with our computers predicting a win for the Aggies, A&M dropped their second straight game. Though the Rebels also have two losses, they remain undefeated at home. However, the machine projected 59.2 points. That was 7.3 points fewer than the O/U (66.5 points).

Track our 2015 performance or view our accuracy last season, when we correctly picked the winner in 77.6 percent of all games involving FBS teams.

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Week 9 Top 25 vs. Top 25 Matchup

No. 9 Notre Dame vs. No. 21 Temple

There is only one contest between two Top 25-ranked teams. The Temple Owls are 7-0 and are one of the three undefeated teams in the AAC. They currently reside in the top spot in the AAC East. The Owls defense has been relentless. Temple has allowed the eighth-fewest points per game this season in the entire FBS (14.6 points). The Owls are also sixth in the country in rushing yards allowed per matchup (only 91.9 yards per game). It will be an interesting contrast since ND’s C.J. Prosise is 11th in the nation with 922 rushing yards (7.1 yards per carry). The Irish’s only loss all season has been to No. 3-ranked Clemson (24-22). After 101 simulated games, Notre Dame won 69.3 percent of the time by an average score of 31.4-25.1.

Week 9 Upset Pick

Oregon (+1.5) over Arizona State

The Ducks have yet to string together back-to-back wins. Arizona State has a lose one, win two trend this season. However, the computer believes both streaks will come to an end. When the 101 simulations concluded, Oregon won the day 57.9 percent of the time by an average score of 31.2-28.4.

College Football Week 9 Predictions
Matchup Win % Avg. Score  
Syracuse Orange 29.7 21.0 Box Score
@ Florida State Seminoles 70.3 30.2  
Miami (FL) Hurricanes 39.6 27.0 Box Score
@ Duke Blue Devils 60.4 29.0  
North Carolina Tar Heels 51.6 30.5 Box Score
@ Pittsburgh Panthers 48.4 30.3  
Virginia Tech Hokies 52.9 24.1 Box Score
@ Boston College Eagles 47.1 23.0  
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 60.9 26.9 Box Score
@ Virginia Cavaliers 39.1 23.6  
Clemson Tigers 67.3 31.5 Box Score
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack 32.7 24.0  
Louisville Cardinals 69.3 28.5 Box Score
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons 30.7 20.9  
Maryland Terrapins 32.7 23.3 Box Score
@ Iowa Hawkeyes 67.3 29.0  
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 34.7 23.0 Box Score
@ Wisconsin Badgers 65.3 28.3  
Illinois Fighting Illini 48.5 25.5 Box Score
@ Penn State Nittany Lions 51.5 26.6  
Michigan Wolverines 56.9 26.2 Box Score
@ Minnesota Golden Gophers 43.1 23.4  
Nebraska Cornhuskers 62.9 28.9 Box Score
@ Purdue Boilermakers 37.1 24.7  
Massachusetts Minutemen 45.5 30.9 Box Score
@ Ball State Cardinals 54.5 31.1  
Central Michigan Chippewas 54.3 30.1 Box Score
@ Akron Zips 45.7 28.5  
Buffalo Bulls 61.4 34.4 Box Score
@ Miami (OH) RedHawks 38.6 29.9  
Western Michigan Broncos 78.2 34.4 Box Score
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles 21.8 26.0  
Colorado Buffaloes 29.7 27.3 Box Score
@ UCLA Bruins 70.3 33.1  
Oregon State Beavers 33.7 24.3 Box Score
@ Utah Utes 66.3 31.0  
Arizona Wildcats 45.5 27.2 Box Score
@ Washington Huskies 54.5 29.3  
USC Trojans 50.5 32.7 Box Score
@ California Golden Bears 49.5 31.8  
Stanford Cardinal 56.4 34.6 Box Score
@ Washington State Cougars 43.6 30.8  
Oregon Ducks 57.9 31.2 Box Score
@ Arizona State Sun Devils 42.1 28.4  
UT Martin Skyhawks 5.0 9.1 Box Score
@ Arkansas Razorbacks 95.0 48.9  
South Carolina Gamecocks 34.7 27.5 Box Score
@ Texas A&M Aggies 65.3 31.8  
Georgia Bulldogs 41.6 22.7 Box Score
@ Florida Gators 58.4 25.6  
Tennessee Volunteers 51.4 28.9 Box Score
@ Kentucky Wildcats 48.6 28.3  
Ole Miss Rebels 52.6 28.3 Box Score
@ Auburn Tigers 47.4 27.0  
West Virginia Mountaineers 38.6 29.2 Box Score
@ TCU Horned Frogs 61.4 33.1  
Oklahoma State Cowboys 53.5 31.5 Box Score
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders 46.5 30.4  
Texas Longhorns 63.4 28.9 Box Score
@ Iowa State Cyclones 36.6 25.6  
Oklahoma Sooners 74.3 28.8 Box Score
@ Kansas Jayhawks 25.7 20.8  
UTEP Miners 45.4 30.0 Box Score
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles 54.6 31.1  
FIU Golden Panthers 51.5 28.5 Box Score
@ Florida Atlantic Owls 48.5 28.2  
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 59.1 30.7 Box Score
@ Rice Owls 40.9 27.6  
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 70.3 37.7 Box Score
@ Old Dominion Monarchs 29.7 31.0  
UTSA Roadrunners 71.8 26.7 Box Score
@ North Texas Mean Green 28.2 20.1  
Marshall Thundering Herd 80.2 35.2 Box Score
@ Charlotte 49ers 19.8 26.5  
Wyoming Cowboys 38.6 27.8 Box Score
@ Utah State Aggies 61.4 32.6  
San Diego State Aztecs 55.4 30.8 Box Score
@ Colorado State Rams 44.6 29.6  
Air Force Falcons 57.9 29.1 Box Score
@ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 42.1 26.6  
Boise State Broncos 65.8 30.5 Box Score
@ UNLV Rebels 34.2 24.9  
Georgia State Panthers 30.7 31.4 Box Score
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves 69.3 35.9  
Texas State Bobcats 38.1 28.0 Box Score
@ Georgia Southern Eagles 61.9 33.0  
Troy Trojans 39.6 26.6 Box Score
@ Appalachian State Mountaineers 60.4 31.4  
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 40.6 25.9 Box Score
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns 59.4 29.2  
Idaho Vandals 50.5 30.8 Box Score
@ New Mexico State Aggies 49.5 29.9  
Tulane Green Wave 29.7 22.0 Box Score
@ Memphis Tigers 70.3 29.2  
UCF Knights 31.2 25.1 Box Score
@ Cincinnati Bearcats 68.8 32.1  
South Florida Bulls 42.1 28.0 Box Score
@ Navy Midshipmen 57.9 29.6  
Vanderbilt Commodores 44.1 26.7 Box Score
@ Houston Cougars 55.9 29.0  
Tulsa Golden Hurricane 53.5 30.0 Box Score
@ SMU Mustangs 46.5 29.5  
East Carolina Pirates 58.9 30.5 Box Score
@ Connecticut Huskies 41.1 27.3  
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 69.3 31.4 Box Score
@ Temple Owls 30.7 25.1  

In addition, view our Week 9 power rankings or visit our college football archive for predictions from past weeks. For more statistics, view our weekly college football predictions.