WhatIfSports 2014 College Football Week 9 Predictions

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com’s NCAA college football simulation engine provides game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team’s chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. 

Check out our 2014 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team’s roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team’s game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Ole Miss at LSU

This goal line Vine of Notre Dame’s last-second touchdown against Florida State provides a great view of Irish wide receiver C.J. Prosise engaging with the defensive back and providing the ref enough evidence to throw the flag and call the pick play. The cloudy-gray area on pick plays in football remains, but this view makes the controversial call tough(er) to argue.

With the win, Florida State remained one of four undefeated squads, and the only team outside the SEC West currently ranked inside the top five. Mississippi State, Mississippi, Alabama and Auburn are in, but a familiar brand in LSU has fallen on "tough times" and currently sits at No. 24 in the latest poll. The Tigers host the third-ranked Rebels in our WhatIfSports.com Game of the Week.

LSU is very young on offense. Statistically speaking, they are led by sophomore quarterback Anthony Jennings, freshman Leonard Fournette and sophomore Travin Dural. Jennings is only completing 50 percent of his passes for just over 1,000 yards with seven touchdowns and three interceptions. The offense ranks 28th on the ground (220 RYPG), but 98th in pass offense at less than 200 yards per contest.

The good news for Les Miles is a week after his Tigers escaped with a last-second win over an overly-flawed Florida team, LSU dominated Kentucky on both sides of the ball, holding the Wildcats to 2.6 yards per rush, while racking up 303 rush yards with three scores on offense.

The Tigers rank eighth in scoring defense (17.0 PAPG), 14th in total defense, fourth against the pass (156 yards allowed per game) and 69th against the rush although the run game isn’t Ole Miss’ main approach on offense.

The Rebels are now on the right side bookend of nationally ranked back-to-back contests. Ole Miss’ climb up the charts began with their upset win over Alabama followed by a convincing win over Texas A&M in which the Rebels defense held the up-tempo offense to just 20 points. Their rush defense held Tennessee to zero rushing yards in Week 8 and have allowed only six touchdowns all season. That’s six touchdowns allowed heading into Week 9. Young Fournette will face the toughest defense of his young career.

On offense, Bo Wallace is closing in on 2,000 passing yards with 17 touchdowns and six interceptions, although he hasn’t tossed a pick in three games. Wallace continues to spread the wealth; Laquon Treadwell, Vince Sanders and Cody Core each have four touchdowns with a combined 1,227 receiving yards.

We simulated the Rebels and Tigers 101 times and the computers like Ole Miss to win 69.3-percent of the time by an average score of 25-19.

College Football Week 9 Predictions
Matchup Win % Avg. Score  
Syracuse Orange 33.7 17.9 Boxscore
Clemson Tigers 66.3 24.1  
Miami (FL) Hurricanes 42.6 20.4 Boxscore
Virginia Tech Hokies 57.4 23.2  
North Carolina Tar Heels 49.5 21.9 Boxscore
Virginia Cavaliers 50.5 20.8  
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 65.3 24.4 Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers 34.7 20.2  
Boston College Eagles 68.3 21.6 Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons 31.7 15.0  
Michigan Wolverines 29.7 17.5 Boxscore
Michigan State Spartans 70.3 25.2  
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 32.7 18.3 Boxscore
Nebraska Cornhuskers 67.3 25.7  
Maryland Terrapins 38.6 19.8 Boxscore
Wisconsin Badgers 61.4 23.3  
Ohio State Buckeyes 66.3 23.7 Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions 33.7 18.0  
Minnesota Golden Gophers 73.3 28.1 Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini 26.7 20.9  
Massachusetts Minutemen 19.8 19.6 Boxscore
Toledo Rockets 80.2 28.6  
Kent State Golden Flashes 41.6 20.1 Boxscore
Miami (OH) RedHawks 58.4 20.6  
Ohio Bobcats 48.5 24.4 Boxscore
Western Michigan Broncos 51.5 25.3  
Akron Zips 50.5 22.9 Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals 49.5 22.5  
Central Michigan Chippewas 60.9 25.7 Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bulls 39.1 22.3  
Northern Illinois Huskies 88.1 30.2 Boxscore
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles 11.9 17.4  
Oregon State Beavers 40.6 22.0 Boxscore
Stanford Cardinal 59.4 27.1  
USC Trojans 51.5 25.4 Boxscore
@ Utah Utes 48.5 24.1  
Oregon Ducks 62.4 31.4 Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears 37.6 28.0  
Arizona State Sun Devils 61.9 25.8 Boxscore
@ Washington Huskies 38.1 21.0  
Arizona Wildcats 68.3 34.6 Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars 31.7 28.0  
UCLA Bruins 78.2 29.8 Boxscore
@ Colorado Buffaloes 21.8 18.9  
Vanderbilt Commodores 21.8 15.0 Boxscore
Missouri Tigers 78.2 25.5  
UAB Blazers 31.2 22.1 Boxscore
Arkansas Razorbacks 68.8 29.3  
South Carolina Gamecocks 37.1 19.1 Boxscore
Auburn Tigers 62.9 23.0  
Mississippi State Bulldogs 69.3 24.8 Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats 30.7 19.2  
Ole Miss Rebels 69.3 25.3 Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers 30.7 19.2  
Alabama Crimson Tide 74.3 24.2 Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers 25.7 15.3  
San Jose State Spartans 47.0 23.5 Boxscore
Navy Midshipmen 53.0 24.6  
Texas Tech Red Raiders 22.8 22.9 Boxscore
TCU Horned Frogs 77.2 32.2  
Texas Longhorns 40.6 21.4 Boxscore
Kansas State Wildcats 59.4 25.4  
West Virginia Mountaineers 48.5 27.8 Boxscore
Oklahoma State Cowboys 51.5 27.1  
Florida Atlantic Owls 19.8 20.0 Boxscore
Marshall Thundering Herd 80.2 30.9  
North Texas Mean Green 39.6 21.1 Boxscore
Rice Owls 60.4 23.3  
Old Dominion Monarchs 43.6 28.1 Boxscore
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 56.4 30.1  
UTEP Miners 46.5 24.2 Boxscore
UTSA Roadrunners 53.5 24.9  
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 57.4 24.9 Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles 42.6 22.7  
UNLV Rebels 26.7 21.2 Boxscore
Utah State Aggies 73.3 26.8  
Wyoming Cowboys 33.7 23.2 Boxscore
Colorado State Rams 66.3 29.4  
BYU Cougars 43.6 22.4 Boxscore
Boise State Broncos 56.4 25.0  
Nevada Wolf Pack 77.2 28.8 Boxscore
@ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 22.8 21.6  
Troy Trojans 31.7 22.2 Boxscore
South Alabama Jaguars 68.3 28.4  
Texas State Bobcats 46.5 24.0 Boxscore
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 53.5 26.4  
Arkansas State Red Wolves 67.3 28.4 Boxscore
@ Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns 32.7 22.8  
Georgia Southern Eagles 73.3 31.5 Boxscore
@ Georgia State Panthers 26.7 22.9  
Connecticut Huskies 27.7 20.7 Boxscore
East Carolina Pirates 72.3 27.3  
South Florida Bulls 29.2 21.8 Boxscore
Cincinnati Bearcats 70.8 28.4  
Temple Owls 41.6 22.1 Boxscore
UCF Knights 58.4 24.6  
Memphis Tigers 87.1 30.0 Boxscore
@ SMU Mustangs 12.9 16.5  

For additional statistics, view our weekly college football predictions.