WhatIfSports 2014 College Football Week 6 Predictions

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com’s NCAA college football simulation engine provides game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team’s chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. 

Check out our 2014 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team’s roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team’s game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: No. 3 Alabama at No. 11 Ole Miss

Another week, another monster matchup in the SEC West Division. Alabama and Ole Miss have a few things in common through the first month of the season, a pass-heavy offense with top 10 scoring defensive units.

However, unlike in years past, it’s the Rebels who boast the statistically stronger scoring defense – 8.5 PAPG, third-best in the country – heading into the contest. To be fair, if not for a stumble out of the gate against West Virginia, the Crimson Tide’s defense would be right there with Hugh Freeze’s crew. Per the norm, Nick Saban’s defense has looked dominant the last three games. It’s worth noting, the combined records of Ole Miss’ opponents is currently 7-11, while the Tide’s is 7-8.

On offense, Ole Miss is led by quarterback Bo Wallace who has started for the Rebels the last three years. He’s completing 71 percent of his passes for nearly 1,300 yards with 11 touchdowns and six interceptions. Laquon Treadwell and Cody Core have combined for 37 receptions and 584 yards with seven touchdowns.

The ground game ranks 75th in the country, but is a two-man tandem of Jaylen Walton and I’Tavius Mathers who average 5.9 yards per carry with five scores to-date.

The Tide lost A.J. McCarron, but reloaded with Blake Sims behind center. The senior trigger has tossed eight touchdowns with only one interception his last three games and is completing more than 73 percent of his passes.

Derrick Henry and T.J. Yeldon carry the load in the backfield with 110 carries for 604 yards with only four scores. Kenyan Drake is acting as the closer with four touchdowns on the year on only 22 carries through four games.

We simulated the Tide and Rebels 101 times and the computers like Alabama to win 54.5 percent of the time by an average score of 23-20.

College Football Week 6 Predictions
Matchup Win % Avg. Score  
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 15.8 14.0 Boxscore
Florida State Seminoles 84.2 28.9  
North Carolina State Wolfpack 30.7 20.0 Boxscore
Clemson Tigers 69.3 26.5  
Pittsburgh Panthers 45.5 19.4 Boxscore
Virginia Cavaliers 54.5 20.0  
Virginia Tech Hokies 50.5 20.8 Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels 49.5 20.3  
Miami (FL) Hurricanes 55.4 22.1 Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 44.6 20.7  
Louisville Cardinals 68.3 22.8 Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange 31.7 16.7  
Purdue Boilermakers 31.2 23.0 Boxscore
Illinois Fighting Illini 68.8 28.1  
Nebraska Cornhuskers 38.6 20.0 Boxscore
Michigan State Spartans 61.4 21.8  
North Texas Mean Green 44.1 23.8 Boxscore
Indiana Hoosiers 55.9 25.4  
Michigan Wolverines 47.5 20.2 Boxscore
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 52.5 22.0  
Ohio State Buckeyes 69.3 24.4 Boxscore
@ Maryland Terrapins 30.7 18.6  
Wisconsin Badgers 75.7 24.3 Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats 24.3 15.9  
Eastern Michigan Eagles 28.7 20.0 Boxscore
Akron Zips 71.3 27.9  
Buffalo Bulls 33.7 22.5 Boxscore
Bowling Green Falcons 66.3 26.8  
Kent State Golden Flashes 35.6 21.9 Boxscore
Northern Illinois Huskies 64.4 27.7  
Massachusetts Minutemen 49.0 20.2 Boxscore
Miami (OH) RedHawks 51.0 19.8  
Ohio Bobcats 52.5 25.0 Boxscore
@ Central Michigan Chippewas 47.5 23.7  
Toledo Rockets 60.4 27.4 Boxscore
@ Western Michigan Broncos 39.6 21.3  
Utah Utes 20.3 19.3 Boxscore
UCLA Bruins 79.7 27.7  
Arizona Wildcats 28.7 21.5 Boxscore
Oregon Ducks 71.3 28.9  
Arizona State Sun Devils 39.1 22.5 Boxscore
USC Trojans 60.9 24.9  
California Golden Bears 49.5 28.0 Boxscore
Washington State Cougars 50.5 28.7  
Oregon State Beavers 66.3 31.3 Boxscore
@ Colorado Buffaloes 33.7 22.9  
Vanderbilt Commodores 14.9 14.2 Boxscore
Georgia Bulldogs 85.1 26.6  
LSU Tigers 46.5 23.2 Boxscore
Auburn Tigers 53.5 24.7  
Alabama Crimson Tide 54.5 22.6 Boxscore
@ Ole Miss Rebels 45.5 20.2  
Texas A&M Aggies 57.4 25.1 Boxscore
@ Mississippi State Bulldogs 42.6 22.9  
Florida Gators 59.4 21.1 Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers 40.6 19.2  
South Carolina Gamecocks 65.3 23.5 Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats 34.7 18.2  
Utah State Aggies 24.3 18.6 Boxscore
BYU Cougars 75.7 24.8  
Stanford Cardinal 41.6 24.3 Boxscore
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 58.4 25.0  
Ball State Cardinals 60.4 26.5 Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights 39.6 22.8  
Texas Tech Red Raiders 24.8 22.9 Boxscore
Kansas State Wildcats 75.2 31.0  
Kansas Jayhawks 25.7 16.8 Boxscore
West Virginia Mountaineers 74.3 24.8  
Iowa State Cyclones 35.1 21.5 Boxscore
Oklahoma State Cowboys 64.9 27.2  
Oklahoma Sooners 63.9 24.7 Boxscore
@ TCU Horned Frogs 36.1 20.2  
Baylor Bears 66.3 28.1 Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns 33.7 21.5  
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 27.2 18.9 Boxscore
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 72.8 26.2  
UAB Blazers 31.7 25.2 Boxscore
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 68.3 30.8  
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 34.7 22.5 Boxscore
Rice Owls 65.3 26.7  
UTEP Miners 36.6 22.4 Boxscore
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 63.4 25.4  
New Mexico Lobos 44.6 26.5 Boxscore
UTSA Roadrunners 55.4 28.0  
Florida Atlantic Owls 77.2 27.5 Boxscore
@ FIU Golden Panthers 22.8 17.3  
Marshall Thundering Herd 80.2 35.3 Boxscore
@ Old Dominion Monarchs 19.8 25.3  
Tulsa Golden Hurricane 37.6 23.9 Boxscore
Colorado State Rams 62.4 28.1  
UNLV Rebels 43.6 25.7 Boxscore
San Jose State Spartans 56.4 27.1  
Navy Midshipmen 44.6 23.0 Boxscore
Air Force Falcons 55.4 25.0  
San Diego State Aztecs 55.4 26.3 Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs 44.6 24.7  
Boise State Broncos 59.4 28.3 Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack 40.6 24.5  
Georgia State Panthers 34.7 23.8 Boxscore
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns 65.3 27.5  
Idaho Vandals 40.6 21.9 Boxscore
Texas State Bobcats 59.4 25.9  
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 45.5 24.2 Boxscore
Arkansas State Red Wolves 54.5 25.3  
Georgia Southern Eagles 55.4 27.6 Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies 44.6 26.7  
South Alabama Jaguars 71.3 27.4 Boxscore
@ Appalachian State Mountaineers 28.7 20.2  
SMU Mustangs 10.9 15.5 Boxscore
East Carolina Pirates 89.1 35.3  
Memphis Tigers 45.0 22.0 Boxscore
Cincinnati Bearcats 55.0 26.1  
UCF Knights 48.0 25.3 Boxscore
Houston Cougars 52.0 25.8  

For additional statistics, view our weekly college football predictions.