WhatIfSports 2014 College Football Week 13 Predictions

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com’s NCAA college football simulation engine provides game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team’s chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. 

Check out our 2014 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team’s roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team’s game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: USC at UCLA

If not for some clutch second-half play by the Horned Frogs and Seminoles, the inaugural College Football Playoff picture would have experienced its first major shake-up. Three TCU turnovers allowed Kansas to compete, Hurricanes’ freshman quarterback Brad Kaaya torched Florida State in the first half before the defense placed the clamps down in crunch time, and despite the five-point margin of victory, the Crimson Tide truly dominated Dan Mullen’s Mississippi State Bulldogs Saturday.

While the Oregon Ducks have once again run away with the Pac-12 North, the South Division remains up for the grabs. Los Angeles’ crosstown rivalry between those Trojans and Bruins is WhatIfSports.com’s Featured Game of the Week!

UCLA has won four in a row by an average margin of victory of just seven points, but their defense has allowed 30-or-more points in three of those wins. As you would expect, the Bruins rank 79th in the country in total defense as they yield 162 (64th) rushing and 247 (97th) passing yards per game.

On offense, one-time Heisman Trophy candidate Brett Hundley has managed to author another impressive statistical resume despite the two losses. He’s completing 72 percent of his passes with 17 touchdowns and only four interceptions. His balanced offense – 31st-ranked pass offense and 29th-ranked rush offense – does include his mobility with 564 rush yards and a team-high seven rushing scores.

Hundley’s favorite target is by far Jordan Payton who has hauled in 58 passes for 839 yards with seven touchdowns.

The No. 24 USC Trojans are the de facto Pac-12 leaders in the South Division (6-2) with the Bruins playing one less game to-date (5-2).

Statistically speaking, Trojans’ quarterback Cody Kessler remains one of the best quarterbacks in the country, completing better than 70 percent of his passes with 29 touchdowns and only three interceptions. USC ranks 19th in the nation in passing offense at nearly 295 passing yards per game. Nelson Agholor paces the receiving corps with over 1,000 receiving yards and a team-high 10 touchdowns.

Despite the USC running game ranking 66th in the nation at 163 yards per contest, Javorius Allen is a top 15 running back nationally with nearly 1,200 rushing yards and eight touchdowns.

Their pass defense – ranked 105th in the country – allows 261 yards per game, while their rush defense allows 135 yards per game – 31st in the nation.

We simulated the Bruins and Trojans 101 times and the computers like UCLA to win 57.4 percent of the time by an average score of 25-22.

College Football Week 13 Predictions
Matchup Win % Avg. Score  
Georgia State Panthers 7.9 16.0 Boxscore
Clemson Tigers 92.1 33.8  
Boston College Eagles 28.2 19.6 Boxscore
Florida State Seminoles 71.8 27.1  
Syracuse Orange 35.6 18.7 Boxscore
Pittsburgh Panthers 64.4 23.6  
North Carolina Tar Heels 39.6 23.7 Boxscore
Duke Blue Devils 60.4 27.1  
Miami (FL) Hurricanes 56.4 21.3 Boxscore
@ Virginia Cavaliers 43.6 19.1  
Virginia Tech Hokies 66.8 20.2 Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons 33.2 16.3  
Indiana Hoosiers 15.8 17.8 Boxscore
Ohio State Buckeyes 84.2 29.5  
Minnesota Golden Gophers 29.7 17.1 Boxscore
Nebraska Cornhuskers 70.3 23.6  
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 32.2 17.8 Boxscore
Michigan State Spartans 67.8 25.1  
Maryland Terrapins 54.5 20.9 Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines 45.5 20.0  
Northwestern Wildcats 57.4 22.0 Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers 42.6 20.9  
Wisconsin Badgers 59.4 21.0 Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes 40.6 17.4  
Penn State Nittany Lions 60.4 25.3 Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini 39.6 21.8  
Eastern Michigan Eagles 29.7 19.0 Boxscore
Ball State Cardinals 70.3 26.0  
Kent State Golden Flashes 30.7 21.5 Boxscore
Buffalo Bulls 69.3 28.4  
Massachusetts Minutemen 42.1 22.0 Boxscore
Akron Zips 57.9 24.5  
Bowling Green Falcons 43.6 24.2 Boxscore
Toledo Rockets 56.4 28.0  
Western Michigan Broncos 54.5 27.1 Boxscore
@ Central Michigan Chippewas 45.5 25.1  
Northern Illinois Huskies 64.4 25.5 Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats 35.6 21.0  
Colorado Buffaloes 17.8 16.5 Boxscore
Oregon Ducks 82.2 29.5  
Washington State Cougars 36.6 26.7 Boxscore
Arizona State Sun Devils 63.4 32.1  
USC Trojans 42.6 21.7 Boxscore
UCLA Bruins 57.4 25.1  
Oregon State Beavers 45.5 24.5 Boxscore
Washington Huskies 54.5 26.2  
Stanford Cardinal 53.0 26.6 Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears 47.0 25.5  
Arizona Wildcats 64.4 25.8 Boxscore
@ Utah Utes 35.6 20.9  
Samford Bulldogs 5.0 8.1 Boxscore
Auburn Tigers 95.0 49.6  
Western Carolina Catamounts 5.0 6.1 Boxscore
Alabama Crimson Tide 95.0 50.0  
Charleston Southern Buccaneers 5.0 8.0 Boxscore
Georgia Bulldogs 95.0 53.3  
Eastern Kentucky Colonels 5.0 7.9 Boxscore
Florida Gators 95.0 44.8  
Vanderbilt Commodores 19.8 15.9 Boxscore
Mississippi State Bulldogs 80.2 27.1  
South Alabama Jaguars 30.7 18.4 Boxscore
South Carolina Gamecocks 69.3 26.9  
Missouri Tigers 56.4 22.7 Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers 43.6 20.0  
Ole Miss Rebels 69.3 24.6 Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks 30.7 19.7  
Savannah State Tigers 5.0 7.9 Boxscore
BYU Cougars 95.0 43.1  
Fordham Rams 5.0 7.5 Boxscore
Army Black Knights 95.0 41.2  
Louisville Cardinals 48.5 19.9 Boxscore
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 51.5 21.2  
Kansas Jayhawks 20.8 16.4 Boxscore
Oklahoma Sooners 79.2 26.1  
Oklahoma State Cowboys 28.7 23.5 Boxscore
Baylor Bears 71.3 28.9  
Kansas State Wildcats 59.4 26.7 Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers 40.6 24.9  
Texas Tech Red Raiders 61.9 29.1 Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones 38.1 24.9  
UTSA Roadrunners 42.1 24.8 Boxscore
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 57.9 26.6  
UTEP Miners 44.6 25.2 Boxscore
Rice Owls 55.4 27.3  
FIU Golden Panthers 46.5 18.3 Boxscore
North Texas Mean Green 53.5 21.1  
Florida Atlantic Owls 46.5 21.6 Boxscore
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 53.5 24.4  
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 54.5 27.8 Boxscore
@ Old Dominion Monarchs 45.5 24.9  
Marshall Thundering Herd 74.3 34.5 Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers 25.7 24.1  
New Mexico Lobos 30.7 26.9 Boxscore
Colorado State Rams 69.3 32.0  
San Jose State Spartans 30.7 22.3 Boxscore
Utah State Aggies 69.3 27.5  
UNLV Rebels 39.6 22.4 Boxscore
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 60.4 25.6  
Fresno State Bulldogs 43.6 25.8 Boxscore
Nevada Wolf Pack 56.4 28.6  
Air Force Falcons 64.9 24.1 Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs 35.1 19.6  
Boise State Broncos 64.9 29.0 Boxscore
@ Wyoming Cowboys 35.1 24.8  
Appalachian State Mountaineers 48.0 25.6 Boxscore
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns 52.0 25.0  
Arkansas State Red Wolves 52.5 25.3 Boxscore
@ Texas State Bobcats 47.5 23.9  
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 64.4 26.8 Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies 35.6 21.3  
SMU Mustangs 16.8 15.4 Boxscore
UCF Knights 83.2 28.3  
Tulane Green Wave 22.8 20.1 Boxscore
East Carolina Pirates 77.2 30.3  
South Florida Bulls 33.7 20.6 Boxscore
Memphis Tigers 66.3 25.3  
Tulsa Golden Hurricane 35.6 21.7 Boxscore
Houston Cougars 64.4 27.0  
Cincinnati Bearcats 74.3 28.4 Boxscore
@ Connecticut Huskies 25.7 20.0  

For additional statistics, view our weekly college football predictions.