WhatIfSports 2014 College Football Week 12 Power Rankings

Ohio State wins at Michigan State, climbs to No. 3 in power rankings.

Andrew Weber/Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sports

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 128 FBS teams. We simulate thousands of games and use those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 128 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts.

  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
1. Mississippi State Bulldogs +1 77.3 28.7 18.4
2. Florida State Seminoles -1 76.9 29.9 19.2
3. Ohio State Buckeyes +11 75.2 28.3 18.6
4. Oregon Ducks +1 74.8 30.1 20.6
5. TCU Horned Frogs +1 74.8 29.3 19.4
6. Kansas State Wildcats +4 74.5 28.1 18.8
7. Alabama Crimson Tide -4 74.1 28.1 18.3
8. Arizona State Sun Devils +1 73.2 28.7 20.4
9. Ole Miss Rebels +2 72.8 27.0 18.6
10. Auburn Tigers -6 72.8 28.1 19.4
11. Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3 72.1 27.9 19.7
12. Baylor Bears -5 72.1 29.5 21.2
13. UCLA Bruins +4 71.5 28.4 20.3
14. Michigan State Spartans -2 70.5 25.9 18.4
15. LSU Tigers +4 68.8 25.6 18.9
16. Arizona Wildcats +2 68.0 28.5 21.8
17. Georgia Bulldogs +6 67.9 27.9 21.0
18. Marshall Thundering Herd +8 67.5 29.8 23.3
19. USC Trojans +6 67.4 27.0 20.9
20. Nebraska Cornhuskers -7 67.2 26.0 19.4
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
21. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +13 67.1 26.8 20.3
22. Duke Blue Devils +2 66.4 27.9 21.7
23. Oklahoma Sooners -8 66.4 26.5 20.4
24. West Virginia Mountaineers -8 66.2 28.6 23.1
25. Missouri Tigers -4 65.5 25.6 19.7
26. Texas A&M Aggies +3 65.3 27.7 22.5
27. Clemson Tigers -5 65.0 26.5 20.7
28. Washington Huskies +3 64.9 25.2 20.3
29. East Carolina Pirates +4 64.3 28.6 23.6
30. Florida Gators +2 63.1 24.3 19.9
31. Utah Utes -11 62.8 25.5 20.5
32. Wisconsin Badgers -2 62.0 24.1 19.4
33. Iowa Hawkeyes -5 61.0 23.5 19.8
34. Louisville Cardinals -7 61.0 23.8 19.6
35. Miami (FL) Hurricanes 60.9 25.6 21.5
36. South Carolina Gamecocks 60.3 24.9 21.0
37. Oklahoma State Cowboys +1 60.0 26.8 23.1
38. Tennessee Volunteers +2 57.9 23.6 20.3
39. Maryland Terrapins +3 57.9 24.3 21.2
40. Stanford Cardinal -1 57.9 23.4 20.5
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
41. Boston College Eagles +7 57.3 23.4 20.8
42. California Golden Bears +2 57.1 29.9 27.5
43. Penn State Nittany Lions 56.4 22.5 20.3
44. North Carolina Tar Heels +1 55.6 26.1 24.0
45. Arkansas Razorbacks -4 55.3 24.2 21.7
46. Kentucky Wildcats +7 55.0 23.9 22.1
47. Virginia Cavaliers +2 55.0 22.6 21.3
48. Colorado State Rams +3 54.7 27.3 25.4
49. Boise State Broncos -12 54.6 26.9 25.0
50. Washington State Cougars +5 54.6 29.6 28.3
51. Texas Longhorns -4 54.4 23.6 21.8
52. Cincinnati Bearcats +4 53.7 27.1 25.7
53. Minnesota Golden Gophers +1 53.6 22.0 20.6
54. Pittsburgh Panthers +4 53.1 24.0 23.0
55. Virginia Tech Hokies -3 53.1 22.2 21.1
56. Michigan Wolverines +3 53.0 21.9 21.4
57. Utah State Aggies -7 52.5 24.3 23.3
58. BYU Cougars +6 50.6 21.5 21.1
59. Memphis Tigers +8 50.5 24.2 23.8
60. Nevada Wolf Pack +2 50.3 25.7 25.3
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
61. Oregon State Beavers -15 50.3 26.1 25.9
62. Northern Illinois Huskies +4 50.1 24.1 24.1
63. Texas Tech Red Raiders -3 50.0 27.7 27.5
64. UCF Knights +1 49.9 23.1 23.5
65. Illinois Fighting Illini +3 48.9 25.6 25.9
66. Indiana Hoosiers +5 47.6 24.8 25.6
67. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +6 47.6 22.9 23.7
68. Rutgers Scarlet Knights -5 47.3 23.5 24.1
69. Georgia Southern Eagles +6 47.2 24.7 25.8
70. North Carolina State Wolfpack -9 47.0 23.7 24.6
71. Air Force Falcons +3 46.2 23.4 24.7
72. Arkansas State Red Wolves +12 46.0 23.8 25.0
73. Syracuse Orange +6 45.7 19.8 21.7
74. Purdue Boilermakers +4 45.4 23.5 25.1
75. Toledo Rockets -3 45.3 24.2 25.5
76. Temple Owls 45.2 22.2 23.7
77. Bowling Green Falcons -8 44.8 23.8 25.2
78. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +5 44.2 23.4 25.3
79. Navy Midshipmen +6 44.2 23.8 25.8
80. Vanderbilt Commodores 44.2 19.9 22.2
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
81. Houston Cougars -24 43.8 23.1 25.1
82. Rice Owls -1 43.8 22.4 24.6
83. Western Michigan Broncos -1 43.5 24.8 26.9
84. Northwestern Wildcats +2 43.3 19.2 21.7
85. Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns +15 43.0 22.5 25.4
86. Colorado Buffaloes +10 42.7 22.3 25.5
87. Wake Forest Demon Deacons +1 42.0 18.6 21.8
88. Texas State Bobcats +5 41.9 22.1 25.2
89. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +12 41.1 25.4 28.8
90. South Alabama Jaguars 40.7 21.5 25.2
91. Appalachian State Mountaineers +27 40.6 24.0 27.0
92. UAB Blazers +5 40.5 24.5 28.1
93. San Diego State Aztecs -23 40.5 21.8 25.2
94. Ohio Bobcats +20 40.5 21.9 25.5
95. South Florida Bulls 40.0 20.8 24.5
96. Fresno State Bulldogs +15 39.9 23.5 27.5
97. Iowa State Cyclones -20 39.8 21.6 25.3
98. Central Michigan Chippewas +1 39.5 21.7 25.8
99. New Mexico Lobos -5 38.9 24.3 28.4
100. Wyoming Cowboys -2 38.4 22.2 26.5
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
101. Akron Zips -10 37.6 21.2 25.6
102. Old Dominion Monarchs +3 36.9 24.4 29.7
103. San Jose State Spartans -14 36.8 23.2 28.0
104. Kansas Jayhawks +4 36.7 19.2 24.1
105. UTEP Miners -1 36.6 23.1 28.0
106. UNLV Rebels +3 35.7 21.3 26.7
107. Tulsa Golden Hurricane -4 35.6 22.2 27.5
108. Army Black Knights +8 35.0 20.8 27.0
109. North Texas Mean Green -2 34.8 18.9 24.5
110. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks -23 34.1 20.1 25.8
111. Buffalo Bulls -1 34.0 21.4 26.9
112. Southern Miss Golden Eagles -6 33.9 22.2 28.1
113. Florida Atlantic Owls +2 33.7 20.4 26.3
114. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors -1 33.2 20.9 26.7
115. Ball State Cardinals -3 33.0 20.1 26.1
116. Tulane Green Wave -14 32.3 18.8 24.8
117. Connecticut Huskies -25 32.2 18.2 24.7
118. Massachusetts Minutemen -1 31.0 20.5 27.4
119. UTSA Roadrunners 28.5 18.8 26.9
120. Troy Trojans 26.4 20.7 29.9
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
121. New Mexico State Aggies +1 25.6 20.8 30.1
122. Idaho Vandals +1 25.4 19.0 28.2
123. FIU Golden Panthers -2 24.9 16.8 26.1
124. Kent State Golden Flashes +3 24.8 17.7 28.1
125. Miami (OH) RedHawks +1 23.0 16.8 27.4
126. Georgia State Panthers -2 21.8 19.5 30.5
127. Eastern Michigan Eagles -2 20.6 17.4 29.3
128. SMU Mustangs 17.7 16.6 29.5