Skip Bayless: ‘Despite the Eagles having a more talented team, you can’t bet against Tom Brady’

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In a discussion with Shannon Sharpe and Joy Taylor, Skip Bayless explains why Tom Brady and the New England Patriots will Super Bowl LII, although Nick Foles and the Philadelphia Eagles have a better overall team.

- You've got the Eagles, they're the underdogs and they love it. So they're feeding on that. And now, it looks like a Patriot's staffer was photographed yesterday carrying what looked like a script for Tom Brady's acceptance speech for MVP. And I'm not going to be shocked if he wins MVP. But the Eagles are going to be like, oh. It's almost like the Heisman winner has to go play a bowl game now. Right?


- What happened to Matt Ryan last year. He won the MVP on Saturday night, and he kind of stunk it up on Sunday, wouldn't you say?

- No, Skip. He played really well.

- I don't think he played that well.

- Skip, he only missed six throws.

- OK. But again, when the money was on the table the other quarterback played far better.

- Well here's the thing, he had the game won. They already had an eight point lead. He throws a what, 22 yard completion?

- Mhm.

- If you don't get another yard your guys are going to try to come out on the field and kick a 42-yard field goal to put you up a 11, and basically ice the ball game. He made a mistake . He knows he can't take a sac in that situation, Skip. You can't. You just can't.

- OK. So all of that said, motivation on Eagles side, strategy, maybe not strategy, but just X's and O's, the talent, it's all on Eagles side.

- Mhm

- I wrestled. I slept on it. I woke up. And I still come down to this. I'm going to say it one more time, there's one man in sports I don't bet against and it's number 12 for the New England Patriots. And all I know is that in five Super Bowls that he has won, he has conducted game-winning drives in all five of them, in the fourth quarter, game-winning drives.

So wouldn't history scream at you that this game sets up perfectly for here we go again?


- Because Tom Brady has won his five Super Bowls by total points of 3, 3, 3, 4, and then 6 in overtime last year. And in the two that he lost, he lost by 3 and 4, OK. So wouldn't you think this is going to just go the wire--

SHANNON SHARPE: It's going to be a close game again

- --in every game, nail-biter, barn burner, down to the wire. Right?

SHANNON SHARPE: All the games that they've played in is about a 5 points differential.

- Mhm.

SHANNON SHARPE: And all the rest of the Super Bowl games is like--

- --is 3 points.

SHANNON SHARPE: Sixteen. I'm talking about if you look at the games the Patriots were involved in.

- OK. But the Patriots wins--


- --they've won by an average of 3.7 points.


- And all the other Super Bowls are--


- --almost 16.

SHANNON SHARPE: --almost 16, correct.

- That's shocking to me.

SHANNON SHARPE: It's unbelievable.

- OK. So I'm going to go with history, but I'm going to go lower scoring because I think this is going to be yet another grind for Tom Brady's offense.

I think it's a really good defense playing at an extremely high level under Jim Schwartz. So I'm going much lower scoring than I see other people pick. I'm going to go Tom Brady, 22 to Eagles, 17, 20 to 17, which would be reminiscent of the first Super Bowl that Tom Brady won as a, quote unquote, "game manager." And it may feel like he's having to manage this game because I don't think it's going to be a lot of pitch and catch going on.