UFC 205 Staff Predictions: Main Card and FS1 Prelims

UFC Featherweight Champion Conor McGregor

UFC Featherweight Champion Conor McGregor: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

UFC 205 is finally here, and Cage Pages is predicting more fights than ever to commemorate the historic New York debut.

With four champions, three title fights, three former champions, and plenty of top-10 talent, there has never been a card like UFC 205. Even with the late cancellations of Tim Kennedy vs. Rashad Evans, and Donald Cerrone vs. Kelvin Gastelum, this is still a can’t miss card.

UFC Mexico was a solid card for the Cage Pages staff, with 13 of 19 writers hitting at least 50-percent of the six fight main card correctly. Most notably Mitch Williams who correctly picked all six fights. Three new writers will also be giving their first predictions this week.

First up is the main card, but make sure you scroll all the way to the bottom for our preliminary picks.

  • (C) Eddie Alvarez vs. (C) Conor McGregor – For Alvarez’s Lightweight Title
  • (C) Tyron Woodley vs. #1 Stephen Thompson – For Welterweight Title
  • (C) Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs. #2 Karolina Kowalkiewicz – For Strawweight Title
  • #2 Chris Weidman vs. #3 Yoel Romero
  • #1 Miesha Tate vs. #7 Raquel Pennington

Check out our predictions in the chart below, which is ordered by 2016 winning percentage

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Cage Pages UFC 205 Predictions
Staff Writers Tate vs. Rocky Yoel vs. Chris JJ vs. KK Tyron vs. Stephen Eddie vs. Conor
Nick Dwyer
(5-1)
Tate Weidman Jedrzejczyk Thompson McGregor
Harry Davies
(5-1)
Tate Romero Kowalkiewicz Woodley McGregor
Farzin V.
(5-1)
Tate Weidman Jedrzejczyk Thompson McGregor
Nick S.
(4-2)
Tate Weidman Jedrzejczyk Thompson McGregor
P. Pande
(4-2)
Tate Romero Jedrzejczyk Woodley Alvarez
G. Youngs
(4-2)
Tate Weidman Jedrzejczyk Thompson McGregor
Jake Krier
(102-56)
Tate Romero Jedrzejczyk Thompson McGregor
Mitch W.
(81-48)
Tate Weidman Jedrzejczyk Woodley Alvarez
Jack K.
(80-49)
Pennington Weidman Kowalkiewicz Thompson McGregor
A. Mazziotti
(93-59) 
Tate Weidman Jedrzejczyk Thompson Alvarez
G. Gonzalez
(22-14) 
Tate Romero Jedrzejczyk Woodley McGregor
Ryan Wagner
(31-20)
Tate Romero Jedrzejczyk Thompson Alvarez
Sean Bio
(98-65) 
Tate Romero Jedrzejczyk Thompson McGregor
Jason Payne
(19-13)
Tate Weidman Jedrzejczyk Woodley Alvarez
Dan Doherty
(94-69) 
Pennington Weidman Jedrzejczyk Thompson McGregor
Dalton G.
(34-26)
Tate Romero Jedrzejczyk Thompson Alvarez
Eddie Law
(3-3) 
Tate Romero Kowalkiewicz Thompson Alvarez
Ryan Thomas
(2-4)
Tate Romero Jedrzejczyk Thompson McGregor
Tyler Matlock
(0-0) 
Pennington Weidman Jedrzejczyk Thompson McGregor
Dan Forkapa
(0-0)
Pennington Romero Jedrzejczyk Thompson Alvarez
Alex Solano
(0-0)
Tate Weidman Jedrzejczyk Thompson McGregor

The most heavily favored main card fighter by Cage Pages is also the oddsmakers’ heaviest favorite: Joanna Jedrzejczyk with 18 votes to Karolina Kowalkiewicz’s three. Miesha Tate and Stephen Wonderboy Thompson are slam dunk picks according to the staff, with only four going to each of their opponenents. The main event is relatively close, with 13 writers siding with the featherweight champion, and eight siding with the lightweight king. The closest fight on the card is the middleweight toss-up between Chris Weidman and Yoel Romero. Weidman edged Romero by just one vote.

UFC Featherweight Frankie Edgar

Joshua Dahl-USA TODAY Sports

FOX Sports 1 Prelims

The FOX Sports 1 Prelims took a hit when Rashad Evans failed to pass a physical, but great fights still remain on the card. Frankie Edgar looks to rebound from his tough loss against Jose Aldo, and Khabib Nurmagomedov receives his first top-10 test in years.

  • #3 Frankie Edgar vs. #7 Jeremy Stephens
  • #1 Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. #6 Michael Johnson
  • Rafael Natal vs. Tim Boetsch
  • Vicente Luque vs. Belal Muhammad
Cage Pages UFC 205 Predictions
Staff Writers Luque vs. Belal Natal vs. Boetsch Johnson vs. Khabib Edgar vs. Stephens
Nick Dwyer
(5-1)
Muhammad Natal Nurmagomedov Edgar
Harry Davies
(5-1)
Muhammad Natal Nurmagomedov Edgar
Farzin V.
(5-1)
Luque Natal Nurmagomedov Edgar
Nick S.
(4-2)
Luque Boetsch Nurmagomedov Edgar
P. Pande
(4-2)
Muhammad Boetsch Nurmagomedov Edgar
G. Youngs
(4-2)
Muhammad Natal Nurmagomedov Edgar
Jake Krier
(102-56)
Luque Natal Nurmagomedov Edgar
Mitch W.
(81-48)
Luque Natal Johnson Edgar
Jack K.
(80-49)
Muhammad Boetsch Nurmagomedov Edgar
A. Mazziotti
(93-59) 
Muhammad Boetsch Johnson Edgar
G. Gonzalez
(22-14)
Luque Natal Nurmagomedov Edgar
Ryan Wagner
(31-20)
Muhammad Natal Nurmagomedov Edgar
Sean Bio
(98-65)
Muhammad Natal Nurmagomedov Edgar
Jason Payne
(19-13)
Muhammad Natal Johnson Edgar
Dan Doherty
(94-69) 
Muhammad Natal Nurmagomedov Edgar
Dalton G.
(34-26)
Muhammad Boetsch Nurmagomedov Edgar
Eddie Law
(3-3)
Luque Boetsch Nurmagomedov Edgar
Ryan Thomas
(2-4)
Muhammad Boetsch Nurmagomedov Edgar
Tyler Matlock
(0-0)
Muhammad Natal Nurmagomedov Edgar
Dan Forkapa
(0-0)
Muhammad Natal Nurmagomedov Edgar
Alex Solano
(0-0)
Muhammad Natal Nurmagomedov Edgar

Although he is not the heaviest favorite odds-wise, no one was bold enough to pick against Frankie Edgar. The return of Khabib against a top-10 opponent has many excited, but three of our writers believe he will succumb to the strikes of Michael Johnson. Fan-favorite Belal Muhammad received 15 of the 21 votes, and New York resident Rafael Natal received 14 votes.

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