September gifted us just one major upset, all but putting the Pac-12's College Football Playoff hopes on life support. While the defending national champions avoided a similar plight, the first month of the season did can be seen as a setback for Clemson's poster boy in terms of the Heisman Trophy race.
Lawrence is 34th in passing yard (1,131), tied for 40th in touchdown passes (eight) and comes in 57th in efficiency (143.7). He has now thrown eight TDs to five interceptions and after hitting passes at a 65.2 percent clip last season, is down to 61.8.
The Tigers, who slipped to No. 2 in the rankings after narrowly beating North Carolina last weekend -- are off in Week 6, but there are few opportunities to impress amid a schedule that includes just one team (No. 22 Wake Forest) that's currently more than a game above .500.
Clemson will stay in the CFP hunt, but without a major uptick in his production, it's hard to see Lawrence meeting the hype in his first full season as starter.
Before we dive into the players who will rise and fall in the Heisman race this week, here's where the Forecaster's real-time rankings stand.
1. Tua Tagovailoa, Alabama QB 2. Joe Burrow, LSU QB 3. Justin Fields, Ohio State QB
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ON THE RISE: Justin Fields, Ohio State QB
Fields is the first Big Ten QB with at least one rushing TD and one through the air through five games since Antwan Randle-El in 1999. But he has yet to face a ranked opponent. That changes Saturday as the Buckeyes take on No. 25 Michigan State, which is 14th in scoring defense. Another big game there could push Fields to the very top of the field.
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ON THE RISE: Joe Burrow, LSU QB
Burrow comes into Week 6 ranked third in the nation in total offense and second in passing yards per game. Ahead of a stretch that includes three current top-10 teams in four weeks in Florida, Auburn and Alabama, the LSU QB gets a tune-up against Utah State, which is 103rd vs. the pass, allowing over 260 yards per game.
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ON THE RISE: Bo Nix, Auburn QB
The freshman has a month that's primed for him to enter the conversation in a crowded SEC with Alabama's Tua Tagovailoa and LSU's Joe Burrow, and it begins Saturday in Gainesville vs. 10th-ranked Florida. Nix just keeps getting better, coming off a 390-yard, three-TD day vs. Mississippi State and he now faces a Gators defense that is 89th in passing vs. Power-5 teams.
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FALL GUY: Shea Patterson, Michigan QB
After the Wisconsin debacle two weeks ago, Patterson's candidacy is hanging by a thread. It could be all but over after this weekend vs. No. 14 Iowa and a defense that's yielding 251 yards per game (fifth in FBS) and 8.5 points per (third). Granted, the Hawkeyes are going to Ann Arbor and have played four opponents -- Miami (Ohio), Rutgers, Iowa State and Middle Tennessee State -- that have combined for six wins. But like the Badgers, who are second in time of possession, the Hawkeyes -- third in that department in holding the ball for 36:07 a game -- can keep the ball out of Patterson's hands to deliver the win.
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FALL GUY: Charlie Brewer, Baylor QB
Brewer has seen his odds increase as he's put together back-to-back games with at least 303 yards passing and the junior is one of seven QBs with at least 972 yards who has yet to thrown an interception. That's come against just one Power-5 team in Iowa State and this week's opponent, Kansas State, is second in the nation and first among major programs in allowing a paltry 127.3 yards per game through the air.
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FALL GUY: Alan Bowman, Texas Tech QB
Not to harp on Big 12 passers, but while Bowman threw for 300-plus yards last week, he also tossed a pair of picks in the loss to Arizona. While Texas' Sam Ehlinger got to Oklahoma State for four TDs on Sept. 21, the Cowboys have yielded six combined scores through the air in their other three games and held unranked teams under 200 passing yards a game.